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Republic of Moldova

Availability and use of data on children for policy monitoring, Iuliana Velcov (National Bureau of Statistics, Republic of Moldova)

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English

The Republic of Moldova:

Availability and use of data on children for policy monitoring

Iuliana Velcov, e-mail: [email protected] NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS OF THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA

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UNECE/UNICEF Expert Meeting on Statistics on Children Geneva, 4-6 March, 2024, Palais des Nations, Geneva, Switzerland

Content

• NBS mission and regulatory framework

• Key sources of data on children

• Cooperation with the line ministries ( children at risks, juvenile justice, disability, education )

• Dissemination of statistics on children

• Use of data on children for policies and programmes

• Way forward

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2. Medium-term Program (2023- 2026) - APPROVED (GD no.503/2023)

National Statistical System Strategic planning

1. Long-term Strategy of the NSS (2023- 2030) APPROVED (GD no.954/2022)

3. Including Action plan with implementation costs and deadlines – APPROVED (GD no.503/2023)

O1. INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT

O2. GOVERNANCE & LEADERSHIP

O3. DATA PRODUCTION/DATA SUPLY

O4. USE & ANALYSIS = DATA DEMAND

5. Law nr.231/2022 on Population and Housing census 6. Annual Programs of statistical works

4. Law no. 93/2017 on official statistics - amended to strengthen access to administrative and private data sources ensure secure access to personal/individual data from SDA for statistical purposes

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NATIONAL DEVELOPEMENT STRATEGY „MOLDOVA 2030”

Ensuring a child protection system that responds promptly and effectively to the needs of each child (social protection)

Holistic development of children in early childhood education for lifelong learning and well-being (education) Stopping abuse, neglect,

exploitation, trafficking and all forms of violence against children (safety)

Specialization of judges for the examination of cases related to the protection of children's rights (justice)

Reduction by 30% of premature mortality caused by non- communicable diseases, through prevention and treatment until Universal Coverage in 2030 (health)

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NBS mission - to collect, process and disseminate objective, credible and timely official statistics needed for policy and decision-making, research, forecasting and general information to society.

Agenda 2030 and EU accession • National framework for monitoring the implementation of the Sustainable Development

Agenda 2030 (GD 953/2022) • National Action Plan for Moldova's accession to the European Union for the years 2024-

2027 (GD829/2023) • The National Program for social inclusion of people with disabilities for the 2017-2022

(including children) • GD 357/2018 on persons with disabilities, the Matrix of statistical indicators on the

rights of persons with disabilities (including children) has been developed • National Child Protection Programme for 2022-2026

NBS mission and regulatory framework

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National Bureau of Statistics

- 2024 Population and Housing Census

- Household Budget Survey (HBS) – indicators on children – living conditions. Family composition, expenditures of HHs with children etc. Analysis of monetary poverty and wellbeing of households with children [ UNICEF support]

- Labour Force Survey - Vital and population statistics

- Education statistics

Other data sources

- Social protection statistics (6) - Health Statistics (5) - Justice statistics (4)

Key sources of data on children

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In accordance with GD 979/2023, the annual program of statistical works is the basic instrument through which the NBS, jointly with other producers of official statistics produces official statistics in order to provide users with the necessary information ❖ Ministry of Labour and Social protection reports annually on the number of children at

risk, children separated from their parents and children in the residential system ❖ Ministry of Interior and the Ministry of Justice present data on children's delinquency

(children who have committed crimes, crimes not committed by children, convicted children, children detained in penitentiary institutions).

❖ Ministry of Education and Research is maintaining the Education Management Information System (EMIS) to collect data on pre-school, primary, general secondary and VET education institutions, pedagogical staff etc.

❖ Ministry of Health – immunization, morbidity, disability ,etc. ❖ Public services agency – vital and population statistics ❖ National Office of Social Insurance – indemnities for families with children, etc..

Cooperation with the line ministries

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Dissemination of statistics on children (1) ❖ Regular dedicated editions

• Annual statistical release on Situation of children ( including 40+ statistical tables) • Analysis of monetary poverty and well-being of children • Education Statistics • Children of Moldova (thematic publication) • National database, which is published on the page of the National Council for the

Protection of Children's Rights

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Children of Moldova - annual snapshot ( infographics)

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USE OF DATA FOR POLICIES, SDG AND CRC MONITORING

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Contribution to the global and ECA agenda on data for children

• NSO Country consultations for selected child-related global SDG Indicators • ECA regional programme TransMonEE • Country Reporting and Validation Exercise (CRAVE) Cross sectorial and Agenda 2030 • National Development Strategy “European Moldova 2023” • 2020VNR Progress report • The report on the situation of young people fromMoldova and the

interactionthem with the Objectives of Sustainable Development • 2023 Progress report on implementation of 2030 Agenda Sectorial strategies and programmes • National Child Protection Programme 2022-2026 and Action Plan • National Strategy Education 2030 • National Strategy Health 2030

WAY FORWARD

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2024 Population and Housing Census, including Post Enumeration Survey

Household-based surveys • Child Labour survey ( 2024-2025) • EU-SILC – transition from Household Budget Survey ( 2025-2026) • Multidimensional poverty (AROPE)

Classifications and methodological guidance • ISCED-2011 and ISCED-F 2013: revision of National Classification of Educational Programmes • ESSPROS - The European System of integrated Social Protection Statistics

Databases and Digital space • Collaboration on Digital SitAn - State of the Child Rights (SOCR) platform developed by UNICEF to

harvest additional ( national ) indicators from the StatBank • Use of the regional TransMonEE Dashboard at national level

• SDG Road map, including child-related SDG indicators

Administrative Statistics • Harmonization of education

statistics and transition to EMIS

• CRC Reporting

Thank you!

Iuliana Velcov, e-mail: [email protected]

NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS OF THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA

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  • Slide 1
  • Slide 2
  • Slide 3
  • Slide 4: NATIONAL DEVELOPEMENT STRATEGY „MOLDOVA 2030”
  • Slide 5
  • Slide 6
  • Slide 7
  • Slide 8
  • Slide 9
  • Slide 10
  • Slide 11: Use of data for policies, SDG and CRC monitoring
  • Slide 12: Way forward
  • Slide 13

North Macedonia Economic Review

REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA

Economic overview

Languages and translations
English

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REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA

Despite sustained growth, economic disparities remain substantial

The Moldovan economy expanded over the last decade, growing at a compound growth rate of 2.9%. The important agricultural sector, which accounts for around 10% of GDP, has been a source of volatility. The COVID-19 crisis represented a severe setback from which it had already bounced back by the time the negative spillovers of the war in Ukraine hit the country, clouding economic prospects. Years of sustained growth have resulted in significant reductions in poverty. However, there is a large income and access to services gap between urban and rural areas. Remittances, accounting for around 15% of GDP, are critical to complement income and plug a persistently large trade deficit.

Source: IMF, World Bank

An open economy but high trading costs hold back exports

Moldova is a small economy, displaying a high degree of integration with global markets. However, most of the openness, as measured by the trade to GDP ratio, reflects large imports. A landlocked country, it has nevertheless a river-to-sea Danube port, which is now being used as an alternative route for Ukrainian grain exports. Increased volume flows are putting pressure on logistics and increasing prices. Trade facilitation indicators suggests there is room for improvement to facilitate connectivity while the quality of roads and other infrastructure is relatively low.

Source: OECD, World Bank Development Indicators

Labour market shortcomings constrain growth potential, despite a competitive environment

The economic dynamism of the Republic of Moldova is hampered by a still large state footprint and shortcomings in the competitive environment. Large migratory outflows have provided a critical

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source of income but resulted in the loss of human capital and accelerated aging. Remittance-led consumption has favoured the development of non-tradables and the export basis remains narrow. A high degree of employment informality contributes to poor productivity performance. The development of the private sector requires improving the regulatory framework but also better access to critical inputs.

Source: SDG UNECE database, EBRD

Energy dependency and climate change vulnerability add urgency to the green transformation

Energy efficiency is rather low, although it has been improving in recent years. The country has a large negative energy balance, with undiversified imports that make it very vulnerable to disruptions. Energy self-sufficiency is among the lowest in the world, with only around one fifth of energy demand covered by domestic production. Moldova has high potential for renewable energy but its share in generation and consumption, although not among the lowest in the region, remains limited, consisting mostly of biomass. Vulnerability to climate change is high, with negative consequences to the important agriculture sector, which is undermined further by the water management shortcomings.

Source: IEA, SDG UNECE database

Private engagement will be key for infrastructure development

The Republic of Moldova faces severe fiscal constraints, which limit its ability to finance public services and support growth. Almost two thirds of public debt is owned to foreign creditors, mostly multilateral financial institutions. The country has received growing amounts of ODA in recent years, reaching 4.3% of GNI in 2020-21. Recent shocks (COVID-19, Ukrainian war) have strained public finances further. Addressing the infrastructure gap would require increased private participation, including PPP.

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Source: IMF, World Bank Development Indicators

The impact of COVID-19 on the trade and business development prospects of female owned enterprises in the Republic of Moldova

This report assesses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the development prospects of female-owned MSMEs in the Republic of Moldova. It traces the way that NTMs governing trade in goods combined with lockdown measures in the Republic of Moldova and partner countries to influence the female owned MSMEs’ end-to-end supply chains and their long-term development prospects.

Languages and translations
English

The impact of COVID-19 on the trade and business development prospects of

female-owned enterprises in the Republic of Moldova

NOTE

The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

This report is issued in English and Romanian.

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Copyright © 2021 United Nations All rights reserved worldwide

United Nations publication issued by the Economic Commission for Europe

PREFACE

As the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic continues to spread, its disruptive impact is becoming more pronounced, posing unprecedented challenges for all countries. Governments have seen their priorities shift overnight towards upscaling public health preparedness and emergency support measures to cater for the vulnerable segments of their populations. The challenges facing Governments are further complicated by supply chain disruptions, which have left enterprises struggling to survive. Pay cuts and furloughs have been increasing, so that losses in lives are compounded by a livelihood crisis.

If anything, countries across the globe are suffering setbacks that are akin to complex humanitarian emergencies associated with disasters. Businesses and State agencies have been exhausting their coping strategies, with lingering effects on productive capacities, institutional flexibility and business confidence. It, therefore, stands to reason to avoid treating the pandemic as a temporary shock whose impact can be swiftly reversed once normality is attained.

The implication is that any attempt to assess the impact of COVID-19 must proceed from a clear understanding of the development challenges that occupied Governments’ agendas at the eve of the pandemic and ground the analysis in the context of economic vulnerability. For if there is one lesson to draw from development experiences, it would be that disasters aggravate deep-seated structural weakness. Without an understanding of these weaknesses, relief and development efforts might miss the target.

It is from this perspective that the impact of the pandemic on Moldovan female-owned micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) is assessed. Consistent with the UNECE Steering Committee on Trade Capacity and Standards mandate,1 the assessment traces the way non-tariff measures (NTMs) governing trade in goods combined with lockdown measures in the Republic of Moldova and partner countries to influence these enterprises’ end-to-end supply chains and long-term development prospects.

The assessment is based on a survey of agricultural and manufacturing female-owned MSMEs with active engagement in international trade. The focus on MSMEs is consistent with their important contribution to income generation. SMEs accounted for 98.6 per cent of active enterprises in 2019, employed 61.6 per cent of the labour force and generated around 40 per cent of the enterprise sector’s total output, while micro enterprises stood as an important source of jobs, particularly in rural areas.2

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1See https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/trade/documents/ToR_SCTCS_

Appendix5.pdf.

2National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, see https://sta-

tistica.gov.md/newsview.php?l=ro&idc=168&id=6716. The statistics do not

include data on the Region of Transnistria and the municipality of Bender.

However, despite the country’s progress in achieving gender equality, female-owned enterprises constitute a limited segment (about 34 per cent of registered enterprises in 2017), are concentrated in the services sector and are dominated by micro enterprises.3

The assessment was carried out over the course of January-March 2021. It used a comprehensive questionnaire that was developed by UNECE, with a view to informing gender-responsive trade policies. The questionnaire drew on the knowledge gained from the UNECE COVID-19 impact assessment, “The impact of COVID-19 on trade and structural transformation in the Republic of Moldova: Evidence from UNECE’s survey of micro, small and medium enterprises” (2020)4, and was pilot-tested in December 2020. In total, 101 female-owned MSMEs from across the country participated in the survey, all of which were actively engaged in trade.

UNECE shared the report with the United Nations Resident Coordinator Office in the Republic of Moldova to inform the United Nations Country Team planning processes. The findings of this assessment were reported to UNECE member States during the 2022 session of the Steering Committee on Trade Capacity and Standards and formed the basis for discussions over future activities in the area of trade. In addition, the report will be shared with United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UNDESA) as part the UNECE contribution to the United Nations effort to address the pandemic.

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3National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova (2020) “Analytical

Report on participation of women and men in entrepreneurship in the

Republic of Moldova”; available at: https://statistica.gov.md/public/files/

publicatii_electronice/Antreprenoriat_feminin/Antreprenoriat_Femei_Bar-

bati_2020.pdf.

4The studies are available at: https://unece.org/trade/studies-regulato-

ry-and-procedural-barriers-trade.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

This report was prepared by Ms. Hana Daoudi (UNECE, Economic Affairs Officer, Market Access Section, Economic Cooperation and Trade Division) under the supervision of Mr. Mika Vepsäläinen (UNECE, Chief, Market Access Section, Economic Cooperation and Trade Division).

UNECE would like to acknowledge the contribution of UNECE national consultant, Mr. Veaceslav Sterbet, who supervised the implementation of the phone interviews with the female-owned MSME and compiled the main results in a background document that was used for preparing this report.

UNECE would also like to acknowledge the contribution of the international polling institute SATISCAN Sàrl, which designed the electronic database for compiling the results of the interviews, carried out data validation and reconciled the survey results.

The report benefited from comments by Ms. Elisabeth Tuerk (UNECE, Director, Economic Cooperation and Trade Division), Mr. Anders Jönsson (UNECE, Chief Innovative Policies Development Section, Economic Cooperation and Trade Division and Mr. José Palacín (UNECE, Senior Economic Affairs Officer, Office of the Executive Secretary).

The report was edited by Mr. David Winch.

This assessment was funded by the United Nations Development Account (UNDA) project “Global initiative towards post-COVID-19 resurgence of the MSME sector”.

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CONTENTS

Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . II

Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . IV

Abbreviations and acronyms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . VIII

Executive summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

1. Trade disruptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1

2. The impact of trade disruptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2

3. The ripple effects of trade disruptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3

4. Income fallout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3

5. Growth bottlenecks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

6. Policy implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Section one Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

1.1 Reform achievements and pre-pandemic challenges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

1.2 Women’s participation in economic activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7

1.3 COVID-19-induced economic crisis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

1.4 Scope of the assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

1.5 Report outline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Section two Profile of the MSME owners . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

2.1 Opportunity driven but with limited engagement in exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

2.2 Highly educated but lack business skills . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

2.3 Major contributors to their households’ income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

2.4 Occasional networkers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

Section three Trade disruptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

3.1 Transmission channels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

3.2 Impact on the female-owned MSMEs supply chains . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26

Section four The ripple effects of trade disruptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29

4.1 Limited engagement in electronic commerce. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30

4.2 Limited engagement in production repurposing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31

4.3 Export development plans put on hold . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

Section five Income fallout . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

Section six Growth bottlenecks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38

6.1 Lack of adequate skills. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38

6.2 High exploratory market access costs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39

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6.3 Insufficient business networks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40

6.4 Weak production capacities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40

6.5 Other factors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

Section seven Conclusion and recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42

Annexes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51

Annex 1 Country background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51

Annex 2 The Government of the Republic of Moldova’s relief and support measures . . . . 56

Annex 3 Profile of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57

Annex 4 Proposed measures for stronger and more resilient Moldovan MSMEs. . . . . . . . . . 61

TABLES

Table 1.1 Breakdown of the Republic of Moldova’s female labour force by sector

(percentage share) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Table 1.2 Moldovan entrepreneurs across MSMEs by ownership, 2017 (percentage shares). . . . . . . 10

Table 1.3 The national strategy for ensuring equality between women and men

in the Republic of Moldova for the years 2017–2021 (percentage shares) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

Table 1.4 Percentage change in exports and imports of the Republic of Moldova

(value, year-over-year, 2020) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Table 1.5 Breakdown of the COVID-19 affected employed workforce by sex (percentage shares . . .17

Table 7.1 Proposed measures for increasing the resilience of the Republic

of Moldova’s female-owned MSMEs and boosting their exports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45

Table A1.1 The Republic of Moldova’s top 10 knowledge-intensive products, 2018 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54

FIGURES

Figure 1.1 The Republic of Moldova's labour market: Urban-rural disparities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7

Figure 1.2 The Republic of Moldova's human development index values,

key indicators (2000, 2019) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Figure 1.3 The Republic of Moldova's labour market: Gender gaps (percentage) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

Figure 1.4 Moldovan female entrepreneurs by sector, 2017 (percentage share) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

Figure 1.5 The Republic of Moldova: Net FDI inflows, percentage of GDP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Figure 1.6 The Republic of Moldova: Remittances, percentage of GDP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15

Figure 1.7 Evolution of the Moldovan labour participation rate 2019–2021 (percentage) . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Figure 2.1 Breakdowm of the female MSME owners by establishment date

(number of respondents) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

Figure 2.2 Breakdowm of the female MSME owners by age group (number of respondents). . . . . . 19

Figure 2.3 The female MSME owners' reasons for venturing into business

(percentage of respondents) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Figure 2.3 MSME owners' contribution to their households' income (percentage of respondents).. 22

Figure 3.1 The female-owned MSMEs' most affected export destinations

(percentage of responses) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

Figure 3.2 Percentage change in the female-owned MSMEs' export earnings, 2020

(year over year, percentage of respondents) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29

Figure 4.1 The female-owned MSMEs' pre-pendmeic export expansion plans by destination

(percentage of respondents) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

Figure 5.1 Changes in female-owned MSMEs' domestic sales and total income, 2020

(year over year, percentage of respondents) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

Figure 5.2 The female-owned MSMEs' deferred business payments, January 2020-March 2021

(percentage of respondents) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34

Figure 5.3 The female-owned MSMEs' deferred household payments, January 2020–March 2021

(percentage of respondents) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

Figure 5.4 Government assistance received by the female-owned MSMEs,

January 2020–March 2021 (percentage of responses) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36

Figure 5.5 The female-owned MSMEs' urgent needs to maintaining operations, March 2021

(percentage of respondents) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37

Figure 5.6 Changes in the female MSME owners' perceptions of living conditions

(percentage of respondents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38

Figure 6.1 MSME owners' use of time (% of responses) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39

Figure A1.1 Breakdown of GDP and labor force by sector (2019) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51

Figure A1.2 The Republic of Moldova's main exports by sector, 2005–2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52

Figure A1.3 The Republic of Moldova's main export markets (percentage share) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53

Figure A1.4 Moldova's exports to CIS and the Russian Federation (USD thousand) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54

Figure A1.5 Moldova's exports to Romania and the EU (USD thousand) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54

Figure A1.6 The Moldovan economy's position in the ECI (2008-2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55

Figure A1.7 Top 10 comparative exports (RCA Index. 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55

Figure A3.1 The female-owned MSMEs surveyed by ownership (percentage of respondents) . . . . . . . 57

Figure A3.2 The female-owned MSMEs by geographic location (percentage of responses) . . . . . . . . . 58

Figure A3.3 The female-owned MSMEs by size (percentage of responses) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59

Figure A3.4 The female-owned MSMEs by sector (percentage of responses) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60

BOXES

Box 3.1 Non-tariff barriers caused by incomplete trade-related reforms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Box 7.1 Empretec programme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44

VII

ABBREVIATIONS

AA Association Agreement

BCP Border crossing point

CEFTA Central European Free Trade Agreement

CIS Commonwealth of Independent States

DCFTA Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement

EN European harmonized standards

EU European Union

GDP Gross domestic product

GFCF Gross fixed capital formation

ICT Information and communication technology

MCS Moldovan Customs Service

MDL Moldovan leu

MSMEs Micro, small and medium-sized enterprises

NTM Non-tariff measure

ODIMM Organization for Small and Medium Enterprises Sector Development

OEC Observatory of Economic Complexity

PCI Product Complexity Index

PPE Personal protective equipment

PPP Purchasing power parity

RCA Revealed comparative advantage

SDGs Sustainable development goals

VIII

UN/CEFACT United Nations Centre for Trade Facilitation and Electronic Business

UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development

UNDESA United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs

UNECE United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

USD United States dollar

VAT Value-added tax

WHO World Health Organization

WTO World Trade Organization

IX

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report assesses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the development prospects of female-owned MSMEs in the Republic of Moldova. It traces the way that NTMs governing trade in goods combined with lockdown measures in the Republic of Moldova and partner countries to influence the female- owned MSMEs’ end-to-end supply chains and their long-term development prospects.

The report is based on a survey of 101 female-owned MSMEs involved in agriculture and manufacturing from across the country. The owners were highly educated (with formal training up to the university level) and the majority (79 per cent) were opportunity-driven, who ventured into business to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

The female-owned MSMEs surveyed were hard hit by the pandemic, despite the Government’s limited use of trade restrictions, upscaled trade-facilitation measures and relief measures. The majority were operating at a loss and were unsure as to their ability to maintain operations.

1. Trade disruptions

The female-owned MSMEs surveyed saw their supply chain operations disrupted by lockdown measures as well as the special health and safety arrangements at main border crossing points (BCPs) in the Republic of Moldova and in partner countries. The impact of the resulting disruptions was compounded by capacity shortfalls within State agencies, which manifested themselves in the form of non-tariff barriers. These barriers acted as negative transmission channels, which amplified supply chain disruptions by creating the operational bottlenecks set out below:

• Lack of clarity over trade-related regulations and administrative procedures being applied. Almost all the MSME female owners outsourced the preparation of trade documents to freight forwarders to cut down on their workload. However, with supply chain disruptions causing many of their traditional freight either forced to suspend activities or shut down, the female-MSME owners were struggling to familiarize themselves with applied trade-related regulations and procedures. The owners noted that published information is not sufficiently detailed, is fragmented across different websites and, in most cases, is difficult to understand.

• Extended wait time for obtaining trade documents. The issuance of trade documents was slowed down by continued reliance on paper-based procedures as the Government has yet to fully transition to a paperless trading environment.

1

• High product-certification costs. For products that should be accompanied by conformity assessment certificates for demonstrating compliance with regulatory requirements in export markets, delays in obtaining the required trade documents were compounded by high product testing costs. The female-owned MSMEs reported having to ship samples for testing in neighbouring European countries, given the lack of internationally recognized testing laboratories.

The above supply chain bottlenecks are not specific to the female-owned MSMEs surveyed. They are faced by all the enterprises operating in the country and were reported by male-owned MSMEs surveyed as part of the UNECE previous COVID-19 impact assessment. However, the female-owned MSMEs surveyed seem to be less resilient, as they are faced with gender specific challenges. These bottlenecks have also been acting as growth bottlenecks, evidenced by the MSMEs’ limited engagement in exports. While the majority of the female MSME owners emphasized exports as a pre-requisite for growing their business, only 46 per cent sold their products abroad.

2. The impact of trade disruptions

Around 26 per cent of the exporting female-owned MSMEs lost all their export earnings in 2020, having been forced to suspend exports. Another 19 per cent saw their export earnings decrease by up to 19 per cent in 2020 in relation to the pre-pandemic period and another 13 per cent lost up to 50 per cent of these earnings. This declining trend continued, with many reporting that they were operating at a loss in March 2021. These losses were triggered by:

• Loss of traditional partners. Many of the export-oriented lost their traditional international buyers, who were forced to suspend production or shut down altogether under the weight of the pandemic-induced economic crisis.

• Supply shortages. These were caused by the closure of non-essential businesses in partner countries, delayed deliveries and increased prices. The owners reported experiencing difficulties in finding new international suppliers. Agri- enterprises were particularly affected as the supply shortages and inflated transport costs came on the heels of the severe draught, which has already harmed their increasingly thin profit margins.

• Inflated transport costs. Transport by road became more expensive as freight forwarders raised their fees to cover additional operating cost that were out of their control. The higher fees, combined with the COVID-19 induced delivery delays, forced several female MSME owners to shift to air transport at additional costs.

2

3

3. The ripple effects of trade disruptions

The impact of supply chain disruptions was compounded by the MSME owners’ coping strategies. Only a limited segment used growth enabling coping strategies, such as production repurposing and e-commerce, with many held back by gender specific obstacles.

• Reduced productive capacity: The majority of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed reduced production under the weight of dwindling demand and supply shortages.

• Limited production repurposing: Production repurposing was pursued by 22 of the female MSME owners surveyed. The majority belonged to the clothing industry, and repurposed production to face cloth masks and disposable gowns for health care workers and medical professionals thanks to medium and large Moldovan enterprises. The latter subcontracted the female-owned MSMEs during the early period of the pandemic to fulfil large purchase orders by European buyers.

• Limited engagement in e-commerce: Only 10 of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed reported using e-commerce. These were already engaged in e-commerce before the outbreak of the pandemic for selling domestically. The remainder were not engaged in e-commerce.

• Export expansion plans cancelled or put on hold: This was the case for around 56 per cent of MSMEs, the majority of which were planning to increase exports to traditional markets.

4. Income fallout

In March 2021, many of the exporting female-owned MSMEs had stopped selling their products abroad and were operating at a loss. The impact of these losses was compounded by the MSME owners’ erosive coping strategies, which are outlined below. These strategies increased the enterprises’ economic vulnerability and undermined the welfare of owners’ families.

• MSMEs that saw their exports rebound were unsure as to their ability to maintain exports: This was the case for 35 per cent of the female- owned MSMEs surveyed that regained their pre-pandemic earning levels in 2020. Another 7 per cent registered up to 50 per cent increases in export earnings in relation to 2019. MSMEs belonging to this group were occasional exporters who sold small volumes and were able to find new international buyers with the support of family and friends. However, the majority were operating at a loss in March 2021. They were unsure of their ability to maintain exports, with the inflated transport costs placing a strain on their budgets and aggravating supply shortages.

• Sharp increase in the MSMEs’ debt burden: Some of the female MSME owners and managers were able to mitigate the stress on their wage bill and other operating costs by borrowing from relatives or using their spouses’ income. These coping measures appear to be insufficient, with around 45 per cent of the owners surveyed postponing business payments over the period January 2020-March 2021, particularly salaries and loan repayments.

• Marked deterioration in the living conditions of the MSMEs’ households: Around 66 per cent of the owners also used personal savings to maintain operations over the period January 2020-March 2021. This came at the expense of their families’ welfare.

• Dire need of government support: In March 2021. around 92 per cent of the MSMEs emphasized the need for government assistance to maintain operations. Of this group, 72 per cent struggled to maintain operations for more than six months, having effectively depleted their personal savings.

Beyond the above, the assessment suggests that more needs to be done to facilitate the female-owned MSMEs’ access to relief measures. As of March 2021, around 17 per cent of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed received government support in the form of grants and about 40 per cent said that they were not familiar with available support schemes. In addition, many noted that they were unable to benefit from government support, owing to the cumbersome application procedures or because they did not meet the eligibility criteria.

5. Growth bottlenecks

The assessment shows female-owned MSMEs as being challenged by ongoing, deep-seated growth bottlenecks:

• Lack of skilled staff

• High market access exploratory costs

• Insufficient business networks

• Weak production capacities

• Lack of extended hour childcare at a reasonable cost.

These bottlenecks, which are specific to female-owned MSMEs, have translated into high production costs, which, combined with the prevalence of counterfeits, have been undermining female-owned MSMEs’ ability to compete in domestic markets, let alone to boost exports. The current conditions have aggravated these bottlenecks with adverse consequences for the MSMEs’ development prospects and the welfare of their families and communities.

4

6. Policy implications

The assessment shows that the course of the female-owned MSMEs’ recovery depends on addressing the lingering effects of the pandemic. Section 7 provides action-oriented recommendations for the Government’s consideration as it forges ahead in rebuilding stronger and more resilient female-owned MSMEs. The recommendations aim at:

• Addressing the female-owned MSMEs’ financial crisis

• Reducing the female-owned MSMEs’ trade-related exploratory costs

• Bolstering the female MSME owners’ participation in trade policymaking processes

• Supporting the female-owned MSMEs’ business growth

• Further enabling the MSME owners to strike a work-family balance

• Supporting knowledge generation for gender-responsive trade policies

The recommendations comprise emergency-support measures for improving the MSMEs’ resilience and strategic measures for addressing the enterprises’ structural weaknesses. The emphasis is on expanding the range of support services available to female-owned MSMEs through leveraging existing women’s and enterprise support organizations. This will enable the Government to ensure a high level of outreach and create dynamic synergies between relief and long-term development objectives.

The proposed recommendations support ongoing efforts to bridge the gender gap in economic activities. They provide action-oriented recommendations clustered under thematic action areas that can be mainstreamed into the new strategy for gender equality as well as the MSME post-COVID-19 strategy. The recommendations directly contribute to the achievement of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 5 (gender equality) and stimulate spill over effects in support of SDGs 4 (quality education), 8 (decent work and economic growth), 9 (industry, innovation and infrastructure), 16 (peace, justice and strong institutions) and 17 (partnerships for the Goals).

UNECE stands ready to assist the Government in implementing the recommendations in collaboration with the United Nations Resident Coordinator Office in the Republic of Moldova, United Nations agencies and international development partners.

5

1. INTRODUCTION

Situated between Ukraine and Romania, the Republic of Moldova is a small landlocked country,5 which belongs to the lower-middle-income group.6 The Government has been pursuing a trade-led development strategy, anchored in the multilateral trading system7 and regional trade agreements.8 These agreements have been complemented with reduced or duty-free access to, among others, Canada, Japan, Norway, Switzerland, Turkey, and the United States of America within the context of the generalized system of preferences schemes.9

The Government’s development efforts entered a new phase in 2014 following the implementation of the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) with the European Union (EU). The DCFTA, which crowned a series of integration arrangements between the EU and the Republic of Moldova,10 provided new impetus for trade reforms. The agreement, which came into full force in June 2016, sets out detailed provisions for achieving full and complete compliance with the requirements of the EU Acquis communautaire relating to, among other things, tariffs and NTMs.11

1.1 Reform achievements and pre-pandemic challenges Despite progress in bringing the trade system up to the requirements of the Acquis Communautaire,12 the Republic of Moldova has yet to realize the full potential of the DCFTA, other free trade agreements and economic reforms. As shown in Annex 1, exports continue to be dominated by a narrow range of products, with Romania standing as the main outlet. Moreover, trade has yet to stimulate the much-needed structural transformation, evidenced by the economy’s continued reliance on low-value-added manufacturing and agriculture for income generation.

5The Republic of Moldova covers 33,851 square kilometres of land area and

is located 50 kilometres from the Black Sea. The country’s distance from

the seacoast is relatively short compared to other landlocked countries.

Kazakhstan has the longest distance from the nearest seacoast (3,750 km),

followed by Afghanistan, Chad, Niger, Zambia and Zimbabwe, where the

distance from the nearest seacoast is in excess of 2,000 km. A brief over-

view of landlocked countries and their profiles is available at the United Na-

tions Office of the High Representative for the Least Developed Countries,

Landlocked Developing Countries and the Small Island Developing States

website /http://unohrlls.org/about-lldcs/country-profiles/).

6The World Bank’s income classification system assigns countries with a

GNI per capita between USD 1,036 and USD 4,045 to the lower middle-in-

come countries group. Updated country income classifications are availa-

ble at: https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-

world-bank-country-and-lending-groups.

7The Republic of Moldova joined World Trade Organization on 26 July 2001.

8As of 2015, the latest WTO Trade Policy Review, the Republic of Moldova

had 14 regional trade agreements with 45 partners, including: Albania,

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, the EU-28, Georgia,

Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Montenegro, North Macedonia, the Russian Feder-

ation, Serbia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan. WTO (2015)

Trade Policy Review: Republic of Moldova (https://www.wto.org/english/

tratop_e/tpr_e/s323_e.pdf).

9WTO (2015) Trade Policy Review: Republic of Moldova (https://www.wto.org/eng-

lish/tratop_e/tpr_e/s323_e.pdf).

10In 2006, the EU granted preferential treatment for Moldovan exports within the

context of the EU GSP scheme, which was extended in 2007 through the GSP

“plus” scheme before being replaced by the comprehensive Autonomous Trade

Preferences (ATP) in 2008. The ATP was replaced by the DCFTA in September

2014, which marked the provisional implementation of the Association Agree-

ment between the Republic of Moldova and the EU. The AA was signed in June

2014 and entered into full force in June 2016. A detailed overview of the Republic

of Moldova’s trade relations with the EU is available at: https://ec.europa.eu/trade/

policy/countries-and-regions/countries/moldova/. The text of the AA between the

Republic of Moldova and the EU is available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-con-

tent/EN/TXT/?uri=uriserv%3AOJ.L_.2014.260.01.0004.01.ENG.

11For a detailed overview of NTM reforms, see UNECE study on regulatory and

procedural barriers to trade in the Republic of Moldova; https://www.unece.org/

fileadmin/DAM/trade/Publications/ECE_TRADE_433E.pdf.

12The Government of the Republic of Moldova (http://dcfta.md/eng).

Section 1 Introduction

6

Section 1 Introduction

Hence, the situation whereby the economy remains incapable of generating enough jobs for its labour force. This is manifested in the continued reliance on remittances, which accounted for 15.97 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2019.13 With many Moldovans seeking jobs abroad, around 27 per cent of the labour force in 2019,14 unemployment remained below 10 per cent over the past decade. These rates masked a persistent rural-urban gap. The rural areas, home to around 60 per cent of the population, have been lagging the urban areas in terms of labour participation and exhibiting higher unemployment rates (Figure 1.1).

13World Bank Database; https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.TRF.PWKR.

DT.GD.ZS?locations=MD).

14National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, Labour force in

the Republic of Moldova: employment and unemployment in 2019; https://

statistica.gov.md/newsview.php?l=ro&idc=168&id=6617.

15World Bank Database.

16The highest paying jobs in the Republic of Moldova are in the country’s

capital of Chisinau and the lowest pay is in the southern regions. National

Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova; https://statistica.gov.md/

category.php?l=en&idc=107&.

17In 2019, the Republic of Moldova ranked at 90th out of the 189 countries

and territories covered. In 2018, the country ranked 112 among the 189

countries and territories covered. See, the United Nations Development

Programme, Human Development Index Report (http://hdr.undp.org/en/

data).

Figure 1.1 - The Republic of Moldova's labour market: Urban-rural disparities (pecentage)

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

7

Furthermore, poverty remains a challenge, with 12.8 per cent of the population living below the upper middle-income poverty line of USD 5.50 per day (2011 purchasing power parity, PPP),15 amidst persisting income disparities between urban and rural areas16 and, as shown below, a gender gap in economic activities.

1.2 Women’s participation in economic activities

The Republic of Moldova has been registering continued progress in achieving gender equality. As shown in Figure 1.2, female as well as male human development index (HDI) scores have registered continued improvement. This enabled the country to maintain its position in the high HDI category in 2019,17 and resulted in higher scores on the gender development and gender inequality indexes.

Section 1 Introduction

8

Figure 1.2 - The Republic of Moldova's human development index values, key indicators (2000, 2019)

Source: United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Data

However, these improvements proved to be insufficient for bridging the persistent gender gap in economic activity. Female labour market participation rates lagged behind those of men and have been declining over the past few years (Figure 1.3). Furthermore, the female labour force exhibits a marked concentration in a limited range of activities; namely, in public administration, education, health, social work, domestic wholesale and retail trade, and tourism, where women have been consistently more present than men (Table 1.1).

Breakdown of the Republic of Moldova’s female labour force by sector (percentage share)

Sector 2017

Agriculture, forestry, and fishing

Industry

Mining and quarrying

Manufacturing

Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply

Water supply; sewerage, waste management and

remediation

Construction

Services

Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and

motorcycles

Table 1.1

2018 2019

28.4

49.7

11.4

55.1

24.8

26.5

14.0

50.6

29.0

50.0

13.0

55.1

24.8

26.2

14.1

49.7

28.6

49.2

11.6

54.3

24.8

26.0

14.5

50.1

2016

29.7

50.1

12.9

55.9

25.0

26.7

15.7

50.5

Breakdown of the Republic of Moldova’s female labour force by sector (percentage share)

Sector 2017

Transportation and storage

Accommodation and food service activities

Information and communication

Sector

Financial and insurance activities

Real estate activities

Professional, scientific and technical activities

Administrative and support service activities

Public administration and defence; compulsory social security

Education

Health and social work

Arts, entertainment, and recreation

Other service activities

Total

Table 1.1

2018 2019

30.3

64.1

47.3

69.0

42.4

53.7

35.5

44.3

75.5

80.8

58.1

61.7

53.0

30.4

62.6

47.9

68.9

42.5

52.4

36.9

43.6

75.4

80.1

57.6

63.9

52.7

30.2

64.2

47.2

70.1

41.6

50.9

39.1

44.8

75.4

80.6

56.7

62.2

52.7

2016

30.4

64.8

47.0

68.4

43.1

54.2

36.1

44.8

75.7

80.6

59.7

61.4

53.4

Moldovan women also accept lower pay than men. Women earn about 14 per cent less than men on a monthly average basis, even though around 33 per cent of employed women are educated up to the university level, compared to 24 per cent, the corresponding figure for employed men.18 Women’s lower participation rates and willingness to accept lower pay means they are less likely to be unemployed than men (Figure 1.3).

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

9

18According to the National Bureau of Statistics, in the Republic of

Moldova, the salary of men was 14.4 per cent higher than the average

salary of women in 2018. The pay gap decreased slightly in 2019, with

men earning 14 per cent more than women on a monthly average

basis; https://statistica.gov.md/public/files/publicatii_electronice/Anu-

ar_Statistic/2020/Anuar_statistic_editia_2020.pdf.

Figure 1.3 - The Republic of Moldova's labour market: Gender gaps (percentage)

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

Figure 1.4 – Moldovan female entrepreneurs by sector, 2017 (percentage share)

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

Moldovan entrepreneurs across MSMEs by ownership, 2017

Size

Micro (0–9

employees)

Table 1.2

Male-owned enterprises

64

Female-owned enterprises

Total Owner Co-Owner Manager Total Owner Co-Owner Manager

63.3 72 58.9 36

36.7 28 41.1

Small (10–49

employees)

77 76 81.7 73.8 23 24 18.3 26.2

Large (250

employees and

above)

82.2 92.3 76.7 82.3 17.8 7.7 23.3 17.7

Total 66.1 64.8 74.4 62.9 33.9 35.2 25.6 37.1

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

Women are also less likely to venture into business. While the share of registered female-owned enterprises (including sole proprietorships and enterprises co-owned by women) increased by 6.4 per cent over the period 2009–2017 to 33.9 per cent, this share remains modest.19 Moreover, female- owned enterprises are concentrated in retail trade (Figure 1.4) and are dominated by micro enterprises (Table 1.2). These salient features have meant a limited engagement in exports.20

19National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova (2020) “Analytical Report on participation of women and men in entrepreneurship in the Re-

public of Moldova”; available at: https://statistica.gov.md/public/files/publicatii_electronice/Antreprenoriat_feminin/Antreprenoriat_Femei_Barbati_2020.

pdf.

20Official statistics shows a positive correlation between the enterprises’ size and engagement in trade, and this applies to both male and fe-

male-owned businesses. Only 6 per cent of micro-enterprises and about 18 per cent of small enterprises were engaged in exports in 2017 compared to

47 per cent, the corresponding figure for large enterprises. This positive correlation between the enterprises’ size and engagement in trade applies to

both male and female-owned businesses. National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova (2020) “Analytical Report on participation of women

and men in entrepreneurship in the Republic of Moldova”; available at: https://statistica.gov.md/public/files/publicatii_electronice/Antreprenoriat_femi-

nin/Antreprenoriat_Femei_Barbati_2020.pdf.

10

Section 1 Introduction

21The gender gap is much more pronounced and important to address when you look at female-owned innovative entrepreneurs by different measures. Inno-

vative entrepreneurship is far too low anyway, and women, even if they have the right degrees often more than men, make up around 1 per cent. See UNECE

(2021) Sub-regional Innovation Policy Outlook 2020: Eastern Europe and the South Caucasus; https://unece.org/sites/default/files/2021-06/UNECE_Sub-region-

al_IPO_2020_Publication.pdf.

22The Moldovan Government has ratified the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women and various ILO Conventions, in addi-

tion to passing laws for promoting gender equality. Most recently, through Law No. 71 (2016), the Government amended 15 national laws, including the Electoral

Code, the Law on Government and the Labour Code, which, among other things, provide for 14 calendar days of paid paternity leave; ban sexist advertising; and

introduce 40 per cent quota for women in political party and cabinet nominees’ lists. These amendments, along with the Law on Equality of Opportunities for

Men and Women (2006) and the Law on Equality (2012), laid the ground for equal opportunities with protection of victims of gender-based violence strength-

ened through Law No. 196 (2016). The Government also adopted the National Program for implementation of the United Nations Security Council Resolution 1325

on Women, Peace and Security for 2018–2021 and the Action Plan for its implementation. In addition, the Government signed the Council of Europe Conven-

tion on Preventing and Combatting Violence against Women and Domestic Violence as part of its commitments under the Association Agreement with the

European Union (EU) and several EU directives to national law, including Directive 2006/54/EC (which provides for equal treatment in labour law) and Directive

2004/113/EC (which provide to equal treatment in access to and supply of goods and services). A detailed review of progress made towards the achievement

of gender equality till 2020 is provided in the Government’s report to the 25th anniversary commemoration of the Beijing Declaration and Platform for Action;

https://unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/Gender/Beijing_20/Moldova.pdf.

23Government Decision No. 281 of 3 April 2018 “The National Strategy for prevention and combating violence against women and domestic violence for the years

2018–2023”; http://lex.justice.md/.

24National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova; https://statistica.gov.md/public/files/publicatii_electronice/Violenta/Raport_violen_fem_eng.pdf

25See Law No. 5-XVI “On ensuring equal opportunities for women and men in the Republic of Moldova”.

26The Ministry of Labour and Social Protection was established in August 2021 as part of the Government reform to act as the centralized line Ministry for de-

veloping and implementing labour, social and demographic policies. These policy areas were previously under the Ministry of Health, Labour, Social Protection,

which was divided into two ministries: the Ministry of Health and the Ministry of Labour and Social Protection.

27Government Decision No. 259 of 28 March 2017; http://lex.justice.md/md/370442/.

28https://www.euneighbours.eu/en/east/stay-informed/cards/you-can-too-how-eu-supports-women-entrepreneurs-moldova.

Bridging the gender gap in economic activities21 has been ranking high on the national development agenda, and the period since 2006 has seen the Government ratify numerous international conventions on gender equality.22 The Government also adopted its first national plan for preventing and addressing violence against women,23 an important milestone since violence affected about 63 per cent of women in 2016.24

Efforts to ensure gender equality supported by a dedicated coordination body, the Committee for Gender Equality between Men and Women, which was established in 2006 to scale up reforms in this area.25 The Committee is responsible for developing and coordinating the implementation of the national gender equality strategy, based on sector-specific plans set out by line ministries and, since August 2021, is supported by the Ministry of Labour and Social Protection.26 The ministry, which serves as the lead agency for overseeing the implementation of the national strategy on gender equality, is responsible for approving the sectoral plans and ensuring proper mainstreaming of gender dimensions.

The previous “Strategy for ensuring equality between women and men in the Republic of Moldova for the years 2017–2021 and of the Action Plan on its implementation” provided for a sound basis for accelerating reforms. It covered a range of policy areas, including, among others, health, education, social services, labour market, women, peace and security, climate change and disaster management, political participation.27 Implementation is supported by the donor community, particularly the EU, which is financing a range of initiatives for promoting female entrepreneurship.28

However, efforts have been undermined by recurrent Government restructuring, which has been slowing delivery and complicating the task of building on achievements. These conditions have rendered it difficult to address the systemic challenges to increasing women’s participation in economic activities. Most notable among these challenges are:

11

Section 1 Introduction

29For example, a study by the Women’s Law Center and Center for Investi-

gation and Consultation, Sociopolis (2015) “Men and gender equality in the

Republic of Moldova”, showed that 90.5 per cent of men and 81.5 per cent

of women consider women’s most important priority to be domestic work;

https://menengage.unfpa.org/en/resources/men-and-gender-equality-re-

public-moldova.

30A joint study by the United Nations and the National Bureau of Statistics

of the Republic of Moldova (2011), “Violence against women in the family in

the Republic of Moldova”, shows that about 63 per cent of women suffered

from at least one form of violence perpetrated by their partners; https://

statistica.gov.md/public/files/publicatii_electronice/Violenta/Raport_vio-

len_fem_eng.pdf.

31International Finance Corporation (2018) “Supporting women’s entrepre-

neurship in Moldova: Review, assessment, and recommendations”.

32International Finance Corporation (2018) “Supporting women’s entrepre-

neurship in Moldova: Review, assessment, and recommendations”.

33International Finance Corporation (2018) “Supporting women’s entrepre-

neurship in Moldova: Review, assessment, and recommendations”.

• Stereotypes and social perceptions of gender roles.29

• Gender-based violence.30

• Lack of female entrepreneurial role models. This tends to discourage women from venturing into business.31

• Lack of early childhood education services.32

• Limited access to external finance at reasonable costs, with evidence pointing to unequal treatment of women by banks. The percentage of female entrepreneurs pledging fixed assets and land as collateral is higher than their male counterparts, and evidence shows that female entrepreneurs are charged higher interests.33

At the same time, there is a need to mainstream enterprise development and export promotion into the gender strategy. As shown in Table 1.3, while the previous strategy provided for consolidating a conducive environment for bridging the gender gap in economic activities, it did not feature a focus on enterprise development. As the Government proceeds in developing a new strategy for the coming years, it is important to integrate targeted efforts for increasing the share of female-owned enterprises and equipping existing ones with the necessary support to compete in global markets.

The national strategy for ensuring equality between women and men in the Republic of Moldova for the years 2017–2021

General Objectives

Table 1.3

Policy areas

1: Ensure a comprehensive approach to promoting gender equality

Specific objectives

Women’s participation in deci- sion-making

Labour market and gender wage gaps

Social protection and family policies

Health care

Education

Climate change

1.1: Strengthen institutional and legal mechanisms for the advancement of women in decision-making

1.2: Harmonize national legislation with European standards on equal pay for work of equal value

1.3: Amend laws to ensure equitable representation of the needs of wom- en and men in social policies

1.4: Improve social policies on child- care families to ensure equitable in- volvement of both parents in child- care

12

Section 1 Introduction

The national strategy for ensuring equality between women and men in the Republic of Moldova for the years 2017–2021

General Objectives

Table 1.3

Policy areas

1: Ensure a comprehensive approach to promoting gender equality

Specific objectives

Education

Climate change

1.5: Improve social assistance policies and services through integrating the gender dimension

1.6: Incorporate the gender dimen- sion in medical staff training

1.7: Promote healthy behaviours dur- ing life cycles for men and women aiming at increased accessibility to health care services

1.8: Integrate gender dimension into teacher’s training aiming to over- come gender stereotypes and in- crease awareness on gender-related issues

1.9: Incorporate the gender dimen- sion in career consulting services to facilitate access to less conventional professions.

1.10: Integrate the gender dimension into in sectoral strategies for ad- dressing climate change

2: Strengthen national institutional mechanisms for promoting on gen- der equality

Institutional mechanisms 2.1: Strengthen human resources within existing institutional mecha- nisms at the level of ministries and central administrative authorities

2.2: Increase the efficiency of the Government Committee on Gender Equality

2.3: Strengthen human resources within existing institutional mecha- nism at the local level

3: Combat gender stereotypes and advancing non-violent communica- tion

Stereotypes in society and nonvio- lent communication

3.1: Promote gender-balanced con- tent in media and publicity indus- tries

3.2: Raise public awareness of gen- der stereotypes and non-violent communication

13

The national strategy for ensuring equality between women and men in the Republic of Moldova for the years 2017–2021

General Objectives

Table 1.3

Policy areas

4: Ensure gender equality in security and defence

Specific objectives

Gender equality in the security and defence sector

4.1 Ensure equal participation of women and men

4.2 Integrate the gender dimension into security and defence policies

: Integrate gender sensitive budget- ing in budgetary planning processes

Gender sensitive budgets 5.1: Promoting gender mainstream- ing in budget programs by estab- lishing gender-sensitive indicators

5.2: Strengthen the capacity of min- istries and other central and local public authorities to ensure gen- der-sensitive budgeting.

Source: Government of the Republic of Moldova Decision No. 259 of 28 March 2017

1.3 COVID-19-induced economic crisis

The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic dealt a strong blow to the Moldovan economy, causing GDP to plummet by 7 per cent year-over-year in 2020.34 The economy appears to have bounced back, with GDP growing by 10.3 per cent year-over-year in January-September of 2021.35 This growth was driven by gross fixed capital formation (GFCF),which reached around USD 1.024 billion in the third quarter of 2021 up from about USD 623.1 million in the first quarter of 2021.36 While modest compared to the same period in 2020 (2.1 per cent growth), the increase in GFCF cannot be understood in isolation of, among other things, the rise in net foreign direct investment (FDI) as shown Figure 1.5).

34National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova; https://statistica.

gov.md/newsview.php?l=en&idc=30&id=6765&parent=0. The Statistics do

not include data on the Region of Transnistria and the municipality of

Bender.

35National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, preliminary data;

https://statistica.gov.md/newsview.php?l=en&idc=168&id=7215.

36National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, preliminary

data; https://www.bnm.md/ro/content/conturile-internationale-ale-repub-

licii-moldova-trimestrul-iii-2021-date-provizorii.

Figure 1.5 – The Republic of Moldova: Net FDI inflows, percentage of GDP

Source: National Bank of Moldova

14

Also contributing to GDP growth was the rise in consumer spending, which following a 2.49 per cent decline year-over-year in 2020, recorded positive growth in 2021. Consumer spending increased by 11.5 per cent in the first nine months of 2021 and reached around USD 3.06 billion in the third quarter up from USD 2.33 billion in the previous quarter,37 fuelled by the Government’s relief measures (Annex 2), higher wages and remittances. Monthly wages increased to 9,176 MDL (Moldovan leu) in the third quarter of 2021 up from MDL 8,469 in the first quarter.38 Remittances showed resilience in the face of the pandemic and continued to grow to account for 15.1 per cent of GDP in January-September 2021 on average (Figure 1.6).

The labour market, which appeared to be more immune to the economic crisis in 2020, also registered a positive performance record in 2021. Influenced by the Government’s relief measures, unemployment stood at 3.6 per cent in the second quarter of 2021 down from 4.2 per cent in the previous quarter, so that it remained below the pre-pandemic rate of 5 per cent in 2019.39

Given the above positive trends, GDP growth is projected at around 4 per cent in the medium term.40 However, evidence suggests that the Moldovan economy’s recovery remains fragile. The improved employment rates were underscored by low labour participation rates, which despite improvements remain a challenge (Figure 1.7).

37National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, preliminary

data; https://www.bnm.md/ro/content/conturile-internationale-ale-repub-

licii-moldova-trimestrul-iii-2021-date-provizorii; and, https://statistica.gov.

md/category.php?l=en&idc=191.

38National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, Earnings Statis-

tics; https://statistica.gov.md/category.php?l=en&idc=452.

39National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova; https://statistica.

gov.md//newsview.php?l=ro&idc=168&id=7115.

40Word Bank (2021); https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/moldova/over-

view#3.

Figure 1.6 – The Republic of Moldova: Remittances, percentage of GDP

Source: National Bank of Moldova

15

Section 1 Introduction

Furthermore, poverty has worsened, with the percentage of population living below USD 5.50 PPP/day increasing by 3.6 percentage point year-over-year to reach 14.2 per cent in 2020.41 At the same time, the Government appears to be struggling to curb inflation, which reached 13.94 per cent in October 2021,42 as the prices of food and fuel, particularly gas,43 increased. These pressures come in addition to those resulting from the sweeping relief measures, which are placing a strain on the public purse, with the public debt’s share of GDP accounting for 33.4 per cent in November 2021.44

Another challenge relates to the trade deficit, as imports continued to outstrip exports. As shown in Table 1.4, following a sharp contraction during the lockdown period, imports picked up steam as of June 2020 as enterprises restocked their inventories. In contrast, exports registered a slow rebound under the weight of the enterprises’ weakened production capacities and dwindling international demand and remained below pre-pandemic levels.

41https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/moldova/brief/moldova-econom-

ic-update.

42See National Bank of Moldova; https://www.bnm.md/en/content/inflation.

43https://balkaninsight.com/2021/11/03/government-promises-aid-as-moldo-

vans-anxiously-await-higher-gas-bills/.

44Government of the Republic of Moldova; https://mf.gov.md/sites/default/

files/Buletin%20statistic%2011.2021.pdf.

Percentage change in exports and imports of the Republic of Moldova (value, year-over-year, 2020)

JAN

Table 1.4

Imports

Exports

FEB MAR APR MAJ JUN JUL AVG SEP OKT NOV DEC

-6.3 1.6 -18.3 -30.5 -26.0 -6.2 -13.2 -20.4 -11.1 -7.1 -1.7 0.00

JAN - DEC 2020

-11.2

2.0 5.6 -6.2 -44.6 -31.6 -7.2 -0.5 -6.6 1.3 -6.0 3.7 5.1 -7.3

Source: Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

Figure 1.7 – Evolution of the Moldovan labour participation rate 2019–2021 (percentage)

Source: National Bureau of Statsitics of the Republic of Moldova

16

Section 1 Introduction

This trend persisted in 2021, with exports increasing by 25.4 per cent year- over-year in January-November in relation to the same period in 2020. Imports increased by 32.4 per cent year over year over the same period under the weight of the rising prices of gas imports.45 This has increased trade deficit, which accounted for 27.2 per cent of GDP in the third quarter of 2021, compared to 25.2 per cent the corresponding figure in 2022.46

In addition, the pandemic has aggravated the country’s systemic inequalities. Available statistics show unemployment affecting 4.6 per cent of the population in rural areas in the first quarter of 2021, compared with 3.9 per cent in urban areas,47 suggesting higher layoffs and job cuts. Moreover, labour participation in urban areas stood at 46.5 per cent in 2020 down from 49.4 per cent in 2019, compared to 36 and 37.6 per cent, the corresponding figures in rural areas.

The pandemic has also rendered the task of bridging the gender gap in economic activities more challenging. Working women were more affected than men, as lockdown measures exacerbated inequalities in the division of care responsibilities.48 This caused greater withdrawal of women from the labour market in 2020, causing female participation rate to worsen. It stood at 36.1 per cent in 2020 down from 38 per cent in 2019, compared to 45.1 per cent and 47 per cent the corresponding figures for male labour force.

Women with at least one pre-school-age child were particularly affected. They registered a participation rate of 37 per cent in 2020 compared to 65.3 per cent, the corresponding figure for men. In contrast, women without pre-school-age children exhibited higher participation rates, which also exceeded those registered by men (58 per cent compared to 53.6 per cent).50 This trend continued in 2021, with statistics showing worsening female labour participation rates (Table 1.5).

45National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, preliminary

data; https://www.bnm.md/ro/content/conturile-internationale-ale-repub-

licii-moldova-trimestrul-iii-2021-date-provizorii.

46National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, preliminary

data; https://www.bnm.md/ro/content/conturile-internationale-ale-repub-

licii-moldova-trimestrul-iii-2021-date-provizorii.

47National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova; https://statistica.

gov.md/category.php?l=en&idc=107.

48National Center for Studies and Information on Women's Issues Partner-

ship for Development and UN-Women (2021) “The impact of the pandemic

on gender equality”; https://progen.md/despre-centrul-parteneriat-pent-

ru-dezvoltare/.

49National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, Statistical Year-

book of the Republic of Moldova, 2020; https://statistica.gov.md/pageview.

php?l=en&idc=263&id=2193.

50National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova, labour force

statistics, 2020; https://statistica.gov.md/category.php?l=en&idc=107&.

Breakdown of the COVID-19 affected employed workforce by sex (percentage shares)

Men

Woman

Table 1.5

2020

46.3

53.7

I II III IV

39.5

60.5

34.4

65.6

46.1

53.9

38.7

61.3

44.7

55.3

2021

I II

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

17

Section 1 Introduction

1.4 Scope of the assessment

This assessment draws on a survey of 101 female-owned manufacturing and agricultural MSMEs with active engagement in international trade from across the Republic of Moldova, with a view to capturing:

1. The transmission channels of the COVID-19 pandemic effects and the influence of NTMs governing trade in goods therein.

2. Supply chain disruptions and their impact on trade activities.

3. The MSMEs’ coping strategies, understood in terms of the way they used their assets to maintain operations.51

4. The ripple effects of the pandemic on the development prospects of female-owned MSMEs, particularly those generated by the owners’ coping strategies.

1.5 Report outline

This report is organized in seven sections. The introduction is followed, in section 2, by the profile of the female-owned enterprises surveyed. Section 3 describes the transmission channels of the pandemic’s effects. It shows how NTMs, combined with lockdown measures deployed by the Government of the Republic of Moldova and partner countries, created supply chain disruptions

Section 4 traces the ripple effects of these disruptions on the female-owned MSMEs surveyed and highlights the aggravating impact of the owners’ coping strategies. This sets the context, in section 5, for a discussion on the MSMEs’ income losses and the resulting impact on the welfare of their families. Section 6 highlights the MSMEs’ growth bottlenecks. Section 7 provides recommendations for addressing the female-owned MSMEs’ emergency and long-term development needs, with a view to bolstering their exports and supporting an increased and wider participation of women in economic activities.

2. PROFILE OF THE MSME OWNERS

The assessment saw the participation of 101 female-owned MSMEs with active engagement in international trade, which belonged to the manufacturing and agricultural sectors (Annex 3). As shown in Figure 2.1, the majority were established between 2013 and 2018, reflecting the optimism that was generated by the DCFTA (Section 1). Only three MSMEs were still in the start- up phase, all of which were established in early 2020 after the outbreak of the pandemic.

18

Section 2 Profile of the MSME owners

As shown in Figure 2.2, owners between 28 and 36 years old constituted the largest segment of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed. About 88 per cent were married with at least once child, while remaining female MSME owners were either single (5 per cent) or divorced (6 per cent) with no children.

Figure 2.1 – Breakdowm of the female MSME owners by establishment date (Number of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

Figure 2.2 – Breakdowm of the female MSME owners by age group (number of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

19

Section 2 Profile of the MSME owners

As shown below, the majority were opportunity driven and ventured into business to realize personal ambitions with the support and encouragement of their families. They were major contributors to their households’ income, highly educated and many were active networkers, keen on integrating their businesses into global value chains. Their experiences provide valuable insights into the factors undermining the development prospects of female- owned enterprises and women’s increased participation in economic activities.

2.1 Opportunity driven but with limited engagement in exports

Only 21 per cent of the female MSME owners surveyed were necessity-driven, who ventured into business to supplement their households’ income.52 These belonged to households at-risk-of-poverty, with many drawing attention to their families’ struggle to make ends meet. The remaining female MSME owners surveyed (79 per cent) were opportunity-driven, who sought and embraced business opportunities and change.53

As shown in Figure 2.3, about 53 per cent of the opportunity-driven owners ventured into business to achieve financial independence. Another 28 per cent described their businesses as a means for realizing their personal ambitions. In most cases, these related to turning hobbies into businesses, become their “own bosses” or to a desire to establish roots in the country after spending several years abroad.

Figure 2.3 - The female MSME owners' reasons for venturing into business (percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

52For an informative discussion of opportunity and necessity entrepreneurs, see, for example, Robert W. F., and Fossen, M.F (2018) “Opportunity versus Necessity Entrepreneur-

ship: Two Components of Business Creation”, IZA – Institute of Labour Economics Discussion Paper No. 11258; available at: http://ftp.iza.org/dp11258.pdf.

53The definition of opportunity-driven entrepreneurs was coined by Peter Drucker, who argued that “entrepreneurs see change as the norm and as healthy. Usually, they do

not bring about the change themselves. But – and this defines entrepreneur and entrepreneurship – the entrepreneur always searches for change, responds to it, and exploits

it as an opportunity”. Drucker, P. (1985) Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Practice and Principles. New York: Harper & Row, p. 28. The concept of entrepreneurship has taken

on several meanings under the weight of the various definitions, with each bringing forward certain attributes and traits that characterize successful entrepreneurs. Drucker’s

definition stresses management skills, foresight, discipline and hard work and considers entrepreneurship as the bedrock for innovation. These traits were also highlighted by

Joseph Schumpeter who attached more importance to the role of entrepreneurs as driving the “creative-destructive” process of modernity through venturing into innovative

activities. The literature on entrepreneurship points to learning by doing, with entrepreneurs evolving through successes. This is the view taken in the review, which, following

Lall, S. (1992), sees entrepreneurs as graduating into entrepreneurs in the Schumpeterian sense and transforming their enterprises into centres of innovation. For further details

on Schumpeter’s views on entrepreneurship, see, for example, Becker, C.M., Thorbjørn, K. and Richard, S. (eds.) (2011) The Entrepreneur: Classic Texts by Joseph A. Schumpeter.

Stanford, California: Stanford University Press. 20

Section 2 Profile of the MSME owners

The remaining 20 per cent of the opportunity-driven female MSME owners ventured into business to meet domestic demand, and this was particularly the case of those engaged in the food and textiles industries. Several textile manufacturing MSME owners responded to the lack of cloths at reasonable prices during the lockdown period, while those engaged in the food industry wanted to be among the suppliers of healthy food products at competitive, affordable prices. Furthermore, for 11 per cent of the opportunity and necessity driven female MSME owners, the desire to create jobs for their communities was a priority, reflecting a strong sense of social responsibility.

However, the female MSME owners surveyed showed limited engagement in exports. The necessity-driven owners (21 per cent of the female MSME owners surveyed) considered exporting as a tremendous challenge given their modest production volumes. On their part, the opportunity-driven owners (the remaining 79 per cent) were eager to boost their exports. Yet only 46 per cent of the opportunity-driven female MSME owners sold their products abroad. They were predominantly occasional exporters, who sold small volumes on a sporadic basis, and the majority were heavily dependent on Romania as the main outlet for their products (Section 3).

2.2 Highly educated but lack business skills

Both the opportunity and necessity-driven female MSME owners were highly educated, with about 91 per cent educated up to the university level. Another 6 per cent were yet to obtain their university degrees, and the remaining 3 per cent were educated up to the primary or secondary levels.

While the owners said that they drew on the skills acquired through their formal training, it was their family support that drove their enterprises’ growth, especially during the start-up phase. The importance of family support for the surveyed MSME owners is further evidenced by the fact that about 81 per cent managed their businesses jointly with a family member; in most cases their spouses, who assisted in the day-to-day business operations in their personal capacity (i.e., not as unpaid employees). Only 5 per cent of the female MSME owners surveyed reported recruiting family members on a full- time basis as unpaid staff.

This marked reliance on family support cannot be understood in isolation of the female MSME owners’ lack of prior business experience in the start- up phase. Around 37 per cent launched their businesses without any prior business experience, and this group comprised former teachers, bankers, journalists, lawyers, engineers, information technology experts, students a handful of former civil servants and housewives.

21

Section 2 Profile of the MSME owners

While the remaining 63 per cent had prior business experience, only 36 per cent had work experience in their respective industries and these were mainly engaged in the textile industry. The remaining 27 per cent had prior experience in other industries, namely in the fields of sales, accounting, marketing/promotion.

The lack of prior business experience in the start-up phase meant that the female MSME owners did not have business networks, management skills, and knowledge of the development opportunities and competitive threats facing their enterprises when they started their businesses,54 rendering reliance on family support a natural path to follow. While this support was critical during the early start-up phase, it proved to be insufficient during subsequent years as competitive pressures and the demands of the day-to- day business increased (Section 6).

2.3 Major contributors to their households’ income

The female MSME owners surveyed were instrumental to improving the welfare of their households. As shown in Figure 2.4, the majority were the sole breadwinners, and this was particularly the case of those engaged in textiles and food manufacturing.

Figure 2.4 - MSME owners' contribution to their households' income (percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

54For a brief discussion of the importance of prior business experience for

start-up activities, see, for example, Politis, D. (2008) “Does prior start-up

experience matter for entrepreneurs' learning?: A comparison between

novice and habitual entrepreneurs”. Journal of Small Business and Enter-

prise Development. 15 (3): 472–489.

22

Section 2 Profile of the MSME owners

2.4 Occasional networkers

Only 44 per cent of the female MSME owners surveyed reported having business networks, which they forged through memberships in market support institutions, including sectoral associations, enterprise support organizations and agricultural cooperatives. The female MSME owners cited multiple memberships, and five held leadership positions as part of the board of directors. However, over 50 per cent of those belonging to the textile industry, reflecting the limited networking capabilities of the owners operating in the remaining sectors covered in the survey.

The female MSME owners reported that their memberships in market support institutions enabled the owners to:

• Improve their marketing and promotional skills.

• Learn from the experiences of other enterprises.

• Participant in joint promotional campaigns domestically and abroad.

• Pool resources in the form of combined purchase orders for sourcing raw material and equipment domestically and from abroad.

• Establish common storage and sorting facilities (agri-MSMEs).

• Access external sources of funds, including bank loans as well as public and donor-funded grants.

3. TRADE DISRUPTIONS

The period since the outbreak of COVID-19 has seen Governments across the globe introduce nationwide lockdown measures and special health and safety control arrangements at border crossing points (BCPs)55 to contain the spread of the pandemic in line with the World Health Organization (WHO) safety guidelines.56 These measures were implemented in parallel with restrictive NTMs, mainly temporary export restrictions, to hedge against supply shortages. In addition, many Governments introduced temporary customs duties and value-added tax (VAT) exemptions to ease the financial burden on enterprises.57

The Government of the Republic of Moldova adopted similar measures. It introduced a nationwide lockdown from 17 March till 15 May 2020,58 which also saw the closure of the Chișinău International Airport and 30 per cent of the country’s BCPs (or 12 out of 40).59

55See https://wiki.unece.org/display/CTRBSBC/Observatory+on+Bor-

der+Crossings+Status+due+to+COVID-19+Home.

56See https://wiki.unece.org/display/CTRBSBC/Moldova.

57See https://www.macmap.org/COVID19.

58Parliament of the Republic of Moldova (http://parlament.md/Actualitate/

Noutati/tabid/89/NewsId/2374/language/ro-RO/Default.aspx).

59Updates on lockdown measures are published at https://gov.md/ro.

https://wiki.unece.org/display/CTRBSBC/Moldova; and Government’s report

on cross-border trade measures of 2 September 2020 at: https://www.itf-

oecd.org/sites/default/files/docs/md-measures-COVID19_10.pdf.

23

Section 3 Trade Disruptions

The lockdown measures were gradually lifted as of June 2020 with the opening of the Chișinău International Airport (on 15 June 2020);60 the easing of restrictions on non-essential businesses (as of 12 June 2020);61 and, the re- opening of BCPs (July 2020).62 The Government also kept NTM restrictions to the minimum and upscaled trade facilitation measures, as advanced under the World Trade Organization (WTO) Agreement on Trade Facilitation,63 to mitigate supply chain disruptions.

3.1 Transmission channels

The Government of the Republic of Moldova used restrictive NTMs on a limited basis to address shortages in pharmaceutical and personal protective equipment (PPE).64 Otherwise, the Government focused on generating financial savings for supply chain actors through tax exemptions on imports of certain medical equipment and pharmaceutical products,65 and reinforced trade facilitation measures:

1. Transparency in trade was ensured through online publication of health protection measures.66 Enterprises were also kept abreast of applicable trade-related rules and customs procedures through the Customs Service Trade Information Portal,67 and could submit their enquires online through the Customs Call Centre.68 In addition, trade partners were kept abreast of changes in NTMs and special health and safety arrangements at border crossing points through prompt submission of notifications to the WTO69 and the UNECE Observatory on Border Crossings,70 respectively.

60The Chisinau International Airport was closed on 17 March 2020 and

reopened on 15 June 2000. Commercial airlines were to make independ-

ent decisions as to the resumption of their services. Government of the

Republic of Moldova (https://www.COVID19healthsystem.org/countries/

moldova/livinghit.aspx?Section=6.%20Measures%20in%20other%20sec-

tors&Type=Chapter).

61The restrictions on non-essential businesses were imposed till 30 June

2020. The Government started easing these restrictions on 12 June 2020

by permitting shopping centres and nonessential businesses to reopen

provided they implement social distancing and health safety measures

established by law. Government of the Republic of Moldova (https://www.

covid19healthsystem.org/countries/moldova/livinghit.aspx?Section=6.%20

Measures%20in%20other%20sectors&Type=Chapter#37Transitionmeas-

ures:Measuresinothersectors).

62https://wiki.unece.org/display/CTRBSBC/Moldova; and Government’s re-

port on cross-border trade measures of 2 September 2020 at: https://www.

itf-oecd.org/sites/default/files/docs/md-measures-COVID19_10.pdf.

63The Agreement on Trade Facilitation clarifies and improves the General

Agreement on Tariffs and Trade articles V (Freedom of Transit), VIII (Fees

and Formalities connected with Importation and Exportation), and X (Pub-

lication and Administration of Trade Regulations. These articles correspond

to the following chapters of United Nations Multiagency Support Team

(UN/MAST) NTM classification system (https://unctad.org/en/Pages/DITC/

Trade-Analysis/Non-Tariff-Measures/NTMs-Classification.aspx): Sanitary and

phytosanitary measures (Chapter A); technical barriers to trade (Chap-

ter B); pre-shipment inspection and other formalities (Chapter C); price

control measures, including additional taxes and charges (Chapter F);

finance measures (Chapter G); measures affecting competition (Chapter H);

distribution restrictions (Chapter J); government procurement restrictions

(Chapter M); rules of Origin (Chapter O); and, export-related measures

(Chapter P).

64The Republic of Moldova introduced temporary export ban on masks,

gloves, and disinfectants over the period 25 July till 31 August 2020 (https://

www.macmap.org/COVID19).

65Imports of undistorted ethyl alcohol have been subjected to a temporary

exemption of excise duties since 26 March 2020 (https://www.macmap.org/

COVID19).

66https://customs.gov.md/ro. Moreover, enterprises could receive alerts on

change in applied legislation by registering with the unified alert system

(http://officialalert.md/#/).

67www.trade.gov.md. The Information Point for External Trade provides

reliable authoritative information on applied customs legislation and pro-

cedures and border crossing concerning goods and transportation units.

68https://customs.gov.md/ro.

69https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/COVID19_e/trade_related_goods_

measure_e.htm.

70https://wiki.unece.org/display/CTRBSBC.

24

Section 3 Trade Disruptions

2. Documentary requirements were further streamlined. Customs declarations continued to be submitted electronically,71 and the Government started issuing electronic transport authorizations in July 2020.72 The Government also simplified the issuance of preferential certificates of origin for goods destined to the EU, the Central European Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA) countries, and Turkey. Enterprises can submit copies of the certificates with the provision that they would provide the Customs Service with the original documents at a later stage.

3. Border control continued to proceed within the context of an integrated border management system and was risk-based,73 with inbound shipments of food, sanitary products and medical equipment receiving priority clearance. In addition, the shifts at customs offices were adjusted to ensure continuous 24/7 operations, as per established (pre-pandemic) practices.74

4. Customs and tax payments continued to be made online through the Government’s online payment platform.75

5. Transit traffic continued to be facilitated by cooperation arrangements anchored in regional agreements and UNECE international transport conventions and protocols.76

6. The reconstruction and further development of the Moldovan customs offices at BCPs continued with the support of the EU, focusing on shared BCPs with Romania (Leuseni-Albita, Sculeni-Sculeni, Giurgiulesti-Galiti) and Ukraine (Giurgiulesti-Reni).

However, as shown below, the female-owned MSMEs’ supply chain activities were severely disrupted by lockdown measures and the special arrangements at BCPs in the Republic of Moldova and partner countries. The Government’s incomplete trade reforms was another complicating factor.

These shortfalls manifested themselves in the form of continued reliance on paper-based procedures, overreliance on physical inspection at BCPs and weaknesses in the conformity assessment system, so that trade disruptions were complicated by non-tariff barriers (Box 3.1). Coupled with weaknesses in the national railway network, these barriers acted as negative transmission channels, which amplified supply chain disruptions with harmful effects on the female-owned MSMEs’ resilience and business development prospects.

71https://trade.gov.md/ro.

72www.eat.anta.gov.md.

73For a detailed overview of this system, see UNECE study on regulatory

and procedural barriers to trade in the Republic of Moldova, Chapter 2.

74https://wiki.unece.org/display/CTRBSBC/Moldova.

75www.mpay.gov.md.

76For a detailed overview of this system, see UNECE study on regulatory

and procedural barriers to trade in the Republic of Moldova, Chapter 2.

25

Section 3 Trade Disruptions

Box 3.1 Non-tariff barriers caused by incomplete trade-related reforms

• Delayed issuance of trade documents, as the Government has yet to fully transition to a paperless trading environment.

• Continued reliance on physical inspection of inbound cargo during customs clearance, which caused unnec- essary delays.

• Lack of adequate infrastructure facilities at customs terminals, which created long queues and congestion on the Moldovan side of the BCPs.

• Lack of internationally recognized conformity assessment bodies, so that MSMEs assumed additional costs to prove compliance with regulatory requirements in export markets as they had to ship products abroad for certification.

Source: UNECE (2020) “The impact of COVID-19 on trade and structural transformation in the Republic of Moldova: Evidence from UNECE’s survey of micro, small and medium enterprises”

3.2 Impact on the female-owned MSMEs supply chains

The above-mentioned transmission channels created serious operational bottlenecks throughout the female-owned MSMEs’ supply chains. These bottlenecks manifested themselves in the form of lack of clarity over applied trade-related regulations and procedures and delays in obtaining documentary requirements; the impact of which was compounded by inflated transport costs.

3.2.1 Lack of clarity over applicable trade-related regulations and procedures

Most of the export-oriented MSMEs lacked clarity over applicable trade-related regulations and procedures, having consistently outsourced the preparation trade documents and shipment activities to freight forwarders and, in a few cases, to family members so as to reduce their workload.

However, the transport disruptions caused by lockdown measures and the special health and safety arrangements at BCPs in the Republic of Moldova and in partner countries dealt a blow to the freight forwarding industry, particularly the small and medium freight forwarders who, for obvious reasons, constitute the female MSME owners’ partners of choice. Almost all the MSME female owners surveyed reported that their traditional freight forwarders were either forced to suspend activities or shut down. Indeed, evidence shows that Moldovan freight forwarders were struggling to maintain operations, and many had to cease servicing countries with strict BCP safety measures.77

Having lost their traditional freight forwarders, the owners were struggling to familiarize themselves with applied trade-related regulations and procedures. The female MSME owners said that they were unable to navigate online information, because it is not sufficiently detailed, is fragmented across different websites and, in most cases, is difficult to understand.

77For further details on this see, UNECE (2020) The impact of COVID-19 on

trade and structural transformation in the Republic of Moldova: Evidence

from UNECE’s survey of micro, small and medium enterprises”; https://un-

ece.org/trade/studies-regulatory-and-procedural-barriers-trade.

26

This renders it difficult to identify dated information and to discern the practical implications of applied rules for their operations. In addition, many reported that they were unfamiliar with the DCFTA and associated reforms.

Furthermore, the female MSME owners interviewed lamented the ad hoc nature of public-private sector consultations, noting that these are usually organized within the context of donor-funded projects. Several were of the view that the recommendations and issues raised by the female-owned enterprises are not properly addressed.

3.2.2 Delays in obtaining trade documents

The Republic of Moldova’s continued reliance on paper-based procedures meant that the female MSME owners, just like all Moldovan exporters, were faced with extensive documentary requirements. For products that should be accompanied by conformity assessment certificates to prove compliance with regulatory requirements in export markets, the resulting delays were compounded by high testing costs, given the lack of internationally recognized product testing laboratories in the country.

This concern was raised by female exporters of honey and PPE products. The female MSME owners usually arrange for testing their products in neighbouring European countries at additional cost, given the higher testing fees. These costs have increased following the outbreak of the pandemic, as shipment by air became more expensive.

The lack of internationally recognized product testing laboratories was also raised by a saffron producer. The owner noted that she was still struggling to find a product testing laboratory, and, as such, remained unable of exporting to Europe as planned.78

3.2.3 Inflated transport costs

All the female MSME owners surveyed were experiencing difficulties in organizing the transport of their imports and exports by road, under the weight of the special safety and health arrangements at BCPs. These arrangements forced freight forwarders to increase their fees to cover additional operating cost that were out of their control, in addition to causing delayed deliveries. These challenges were also reported by male-owned MSMEs surveyed as part of the UNECE assessment of 2020 “The impact of COVID-19 on trade and structural transformation in the Republic of Moldova: Evidence from UNECE’s survey of micro, small and medium enterprises” and, as such, are not particular to the female-owned MSMEs.

78For further details on this see, UNECE (2020) The impact of COVID-19 on

trade and structural transformation in the Republic of Moldova: Evidence

from UNECE’s survey of micro, small and medium enterprises”; https://un-

ece.org/trade/studies-regulatory-and-procedural-barriers-trade.

27

Section 3 Trade Disruptions

To avoid delays, many of the established exporters with modest export volumes shifted to shipment by air at additional cost. However, shifting to air transport was not an option was not an option for occasional exporters. To maintain exports, the occasional exporters, many of which have lost their traditional freight forwarders, engaged directly with truck companies, which they identified with the help of family and friends. Those who were unable to do so, reported reducing or suspending export activities.

3.2.4 Export losses

Over 58 per cent of the exporting female-owned MSMEs surveyed lost their traditional buyers, especially in Romania and Italy (Figure 3.1), who were forced to suspend production or shut down altogether under the weight of the COVID-19 induced economic crisis.

Figure 3.1 - The female-owned MSMEs' most affected export destinations (percentage of responses)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

Under such conditions of dwindling demand, many exporting MSMEs saw their export earnings plummet. The female-owned MSME owners also cited supply shortages (caused by delayed deliveries, inflated transport costs and the significant increase in the price of raw materials) as the main reasons for suspending exports. Agri-enterprises were particularly affected as the supply shortages and inflated transport costs came on the heels of the severe draught, which has already harmed their increasingly thin profit margins.79

79For further details, see, the World Bank, Special Focus Note;

https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/7bf12b95f10a3daf7b-

570718b2100e15-0080012021/related/MEU-DRM-Special-Topic-May-2021-FI-

NAL-eng-Copy.pdf.

28

Section 3 Trade Disruptions

As shown in Figure 3.2, around 26 per cent lost all their export earnings in 2020 (exports decreased by 100 per cent), having suspended exports altogether. Another 19 per cent saw their export earnings decrease by up to 19 per cent in 2020 in relation to the pre-pandemic period and another 13 per cent lost up to 50 per cent of these earnings. This declining trend continued into 2022, with many of these enterprises operating at a loss.

Female-owned MSMEs that managed to maintain pre-pandemic export earnings levels (35 per cent) or exceed their pre-export earnings level (7 per cent) were occasional exporters, who found new buyers with the help of family and friends.

Figure 3.2 - Percentage change in the female-owned MSMEs' export earnings, 2020 (year over year, percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

4. THE RIPPLE EFFECTS OF TRADE DISRUPTIONS

The impact of trade disruptions was amplified by the female MSMEs owners’ coping strategies. Most notable was the scaling-down of production activities, which increased their debt burden so that they are ill-equipped to recover once normality is attained. As shown below owners who resorted to growth-enabling strategies, particularly upscaling e-commerce activities and repurposing production, constituted a minority. This section discusses the new realities created by the owners’ coping strategies, while the next section looks into the ripple effects of these strategies.

29

Section 4 The ripple effects

of trade disruption

4.1 Limited engagement in electronic commerce

Out of the 101 female-owned MSMEs surveyed, only 10 were engaged in e-commerce, and the majority were already selling online before the outbreak of the pandemic. Moreover, the owners’ engagement in e-commerce was limited. Many used social media platforms to promote their products domestically and then proceeded to process purchase orders manually. Specifically, the owners took orders by phone or by email and negotiated the delivery terms with buyers, who chose between receiving the goods by mail or collecting them personally (e.g., from the MSMEs production facilities or from an agreed collection point).

The assessment shows that while a major concern, the female-owned MSMEs’ weak information and communications technology (ICT) capacity is not the main obstacle to upscaling e-commerce activities. The owners noted that even if they had the required ICT capacities, engaging in e-commerce would remain a challenge owing to the below factors:

• The high e-payments fees and the demanding deposit requirements imposed by banks for e-payments. The e-payment fees eat away up to 3.5 per cent of sales revenues, while the deposit requirements create cashflow problems.

• The high costs associated with obtaining the special software for processing online payments (many said that the software is expensive).

• The high annual taxes for operating online stores (10,000 Moldovan leu).

• The inflated transport costs.

• The cumbersome documentary requirements for passing customs.

• The cumbersome customs clearance procedures for imports and the resulting delays, which makes it difficult to meet delivery deadlines.

• The lack of internationally recognized product testing laboratories.

• The lack of clarity over applicable e-commerce laws.

• The demanding regulatory requirements in export markets, particularly the EU.

• The international buyers’ distrust in Moldovan suppliers, including female- owned enterprises.

The owners explained that above challenges undermine their competitiveness in global markets.

30

Section 4 The ripple effects

of trade disruption

Addressing these challenges will also enable the Republic of Moldova to further improve its e-commerce readiness. The country is among the 10 highest-ranking transition economies against the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) Business-to-Consumer E-commerce Index (2020), which assesses countries in terms of internet connectivity, financial inclusion, ICT and logistics infrastructure.80

4.2 Limited engagement in production repurposing

Production repurposing was a coping strategy for 22 of the female MSME owners surveyed. These were engaged in the clothing industry (17 enterprises) and the production of handicrafts, honey, and hygiene products (5 enterprises). The clothing manufacturers repurposed part or all of their production lines during the first few months of the pandemic to make cloth face masks and disposable gowns for health care workers and medical professionals.

While some repurposed in the hope of landing purchase orders from hospitals, the majority of the owners were triggered by a rise in demand from European buyers. These placed large purchase orders with their traditional Moldovan suppliers. These suppliers, predominately medium and large enterprises, subcontracted part or all of the production to micro and small enterprises.

This resulted in a small cluster of vertically integrated enterprises, with the medium and large enterprises acting as the buyers. The medium and large enterprises furnished the micro and small enterprises with raw material provided by the European buyers and, to a lesser extent, from their own stocks. The medium and large enterprises also ensured compliance with the EU regulatory requirements. They shipped samples for testing by accredited European laboratories and, in some cases, the testing costs were assumed by the European buyers.

While those who repurposed to cloth face masks were well supported, the remaining female MSME owners surveyed repurposed production without any support. Some repurposed in response to shortages hand sanitizers. Others repurposed to make baby clothes during the lockdown period in response to supply shortages. Still others repurposed to maintain operations. This was the case of a honey producer who reoriented operations from bulk exports to domestic retail by selling the product in small jar containers. This was also the case of a small farmer who started growing goji berries.

Only a handful of the female MSME owners purchased new machinery. The amounts invested were modest (below EUR 10,000) and were financed using personal savings. Only one owner invested a higher amount (over EUR 20,000), which she covered using retained business earnings and personal savings.

80UNCTAD Business-to-Consumer (B2C) E-commerce Index (2020); https://

unctad.org/system/files/official-document/tn_unctad_ict4d17_en.pdf. For a

more detailed discussion of the role e-commerce in influencing domestic

and cross-border trader during the pandemic and beyond, see UNECE

(2022) COVID-19 impact on e-commerce post-pandemic COVID-19 econom-

ic recovery: Harnessing e-commerce for the UNECE transition economies;

https://unece.org/sites/default/files/2022-01/ECE_TRADE_468E_1.pdf.

31

Section 4 The ripple effects

of trade disruption

The owners’ repurposing efforts were met with success. They were able to sell their new products and acquire new skills. However, many were unsure as to whether they would be able to maintain the new production lines. Those who repurposed to cloth face masks noted that they have fulfilled their obligations under the existing contracts and, as such, are unlikely to maintain the new production lines.

The remaining female MSME owners noted the lack of funds for financing investments in additional machinery, fierce import competition and counterfeit trade. The lack of raw materials at reasonable costs was also a major concern raised by all the female MSME owners, including those who were considering repurposing. At issue is not only the inflated transport costs, but also the traditional suppliers’ decision to hike the prices of raw material. The owners lamented that they were unable to find alternative suppliers, and several noted that negotiations fell through because they were met with distrust.

4.3 Export development plans put on hold

The above-mentioned conditions forced many of the female MSME owners surveyed to cancel or suspend pre-pandemic export development plans. This was the case of around 56 per cent of owners; the majority of which were planning to increase exports to traditional markets, particularly to Romania (Figure 4.1).

Figure 4.1 - The female-owned MSMEs' pre-pandemic export expansion plans by destination (percetnage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

32

Section 4 The ripple effects

of trade disruption

5. INCOME FALLOUT

The current conditions of dwindling international demand have increased the importance of domestic markets for the female-owned MSMEs that export. However, many saw their domestic sales plummet in the face of cheaper imports and counterfeit; the two systemic challenges that have been siphoning away the female-owned MSMEs’ livelihoods before the pandemic.

Figure 5.1 compares losses in export sales earnings with domestic losses in 2020 in relation to 2019. It shows that almost all the female-owned MSMEs surveyed experienced losses in domestic sales earnings. About 50 per cent saw their domestic sales plummet, of which 34 per cent lost up to 50 per cent of their pre-pandemic levels. Another 12 per cent lost up to 90 per cent of their domestic earnings, and 4 per cent did not register any earnings (100 per cent loss).

Female-owned MSMEs that managed to maintain or exceed their pre- pandemic domestic earning levels (33 and 15 per cent of total MSMEs surveyed, respectively) belonged to the food industry or were engaged in the manufacturing of disinfectants and sanitizers. It is worth noting that MSMEs that repurposed to cloth face masks and disposable gowns were not among this group, since these products are cheaper than clothes.

Figure 5.1 - Changes in female-owned MSMEs' domestic sales and total income, 2020 (year over year, percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

33

Section 5 Income fallout

Figure 5.1 also highlights the strong blow dealt to the exporting female- owned MSMEs. These registered a significant deceleration in revenues, with the losses in export sales earnings exceeding domestic sales losses. As a result, about 39 per cent reported losing up to 50 per cent of total income in 2020 in relation to 2019. Another 20 per cent lost up to 90 per cent of their total income, and about 3 per cent lost their entire income (100 per cent).

To mitigate income losses, the owners resorted to erosive coping strategies. About 12 per cent terminated contracts over the period January 2020-March 2021 and another 14 per cent introduced salary cuts, which they kept below 50 per cent. Yet another 25 per cent put their staff on furlough (unpaid or semi- paid leave). Most laid-off and furloughed staff were women, who were quick to resign or request unpaid leave to take care of their children. In all cases, the production departments bore the brunt of these measures, lending further evidence to the female-owned MSMEs’ stunted production capacity.

The female MSME owners drew attention that the above were last resort measures, which they had to implement after running out of options. These options involved the deferment of business payments, a measure reported by 45 per cent of the owners, who postponed rents, loan repayments, salaries and utility bills (Figure 5.2).

Figure 5.2 - The female-owned MSMEs' deferred business payments, January 2020-March 2021 (percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

Moreover, around 66 per cent of the female MSME owners used personal savings to cover business expenses. As shown in Figure 5.3, this came at the expense of their households’ welfare, as they cut back on food and other expenditures and cancelled home improvements plans (reported under other).

34

Section 5 Income fallout

Moreover, around 66 per cent of the female MSME owners used personal savings to cover business expenses. As shown in Figure 5.3, this came at the expense of their households’ welfare, as they cut back on food and other expenditures and cancelled home improvements plans (reported under other).

Figure 5.3 - The female-owned MSMEs' deferred household payments, January 2020–March 2021 (percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

The owners resorted to these erosive coping strategies because they were unable to obtain bank loans, in view of the high interest rates and demanding collateral requirements. Only two female-owned MSMEs managed to obtain small bank loans, which they used for covering salaries and utility bills. Moreover, the majority reported that their efforts to reschedule loan payments were met with failure, as the banks conditioned their approval to lowering the MSMEs’ credit ratings; something that would only lead to higher interest rates and, thereof, higher debt levels.

Beyond the considerations above, the assessment suggests that more needs to be done to facilitate the female-owned MSMEs’ access to relief measures. As of March 2021, around 17 per cent of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed received government support in the form of grants (Figure 5.4). About 40 per cent said that they were not familiar with available support schemes. In addition, many noted that they were unable to benefit from government support, owing to the cumbersome application procedures or because they did not meet the eligibility criteria.

35

Section 5 Income fallout

Figure 5.4 - Government assistance received by the female-owned MSMEs, January 2020–March 2021 (percentage of responses)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

The assessment also shows around 30 per cent of the female-owned MSMEs as receiving support through donor funded initiatives, including those launched in partnership with Organization for Small and Medium Enterprises Sector Development (ODIMM), the United Nations Development Programme and UN-Women. This support came in the form of grants for the acquisition of equipment and e-commerce funding, in addition to training and advisory services and explanatory brochures for bringing production facilities and workplaces up to COVID-19 safety requirements.

However, the support received was limited to the duration of the funding cycle and seemed to be insufficient to mitigate the economic impact of the pandemic; something which cannot be understood in isolation of these enterprises’ growth bottlenecks (Section 6). In March 2021, about 92 per cent of the owners said that their survival hinges on continued government support. Of these 72 per cent needed “a lot of support” to cover, among other things, business debts and taxes (Figure 5.5).

36

Section 5 Income fallout

Figure 5.5 – The female-owned MSMEs' urgent needs to maintaining operations, March 2021 (percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

As most of the female MSME owners surveyed were the sole breadwinners for their households, their businesses’ fallout had reverberating effect on their families’ welfare. This is reflected in the owners’ worsened perceptions of their living conditions in March 2021 compared to the pre-pandemic period (Figure 5.6).

37

Section 5 Income fallout

6. GROWTH BOTTLENECKS

The results of the survey show the female-owned MSMEs’ development prospects as undermined by not only non-tariff trade barriers and transport connectivity problems, but also by deep-seated internal growth bottlenecks. As shown below, combined with the prevalence of counterfeit and import competition, these bottlenecks have meant that MSMEs will remain unable to pick up steam even as the economy has been showing signs of recovery.

6.1 Lack of adequate skills

All the female MSME owners surveyed reported being held back by the lack of the required skills. To begin with, as mentioned in section 2, only a limited segment ventured into business without prior business experience in their respective industries. The remaining either lacked prior business experience or gave gained only a limited set of business skills in the areas of business services (marketing, accounting and advertising). The owners also lamented the lack of skilled staff, particularly in the area of production; something which reflects at once their limited financial resources and the skill mismatch in the Moldovan labour market.81

The owners explained that while important, the support of their families is insufficient to attend to daily operations and facing competitive pressures. Family members do not necessarily have the required skill set. Moreover, they are gainfully employed, so that they have only limited time to spare.

81See, for example, the World Bank (2017) “Missing skills: Results of the

Skills Module of the Moldovan Labour Market Forecast Survey”; https://

documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/524971511793797679/pdf/121666-WP-

P154573-PUBLIC-Missing-Skills-Moldova-Rutkowski-Bargu-2017-09-21.pdf.

Figure 5.6 – Changes in the female MSME owners' perceptions of living conditions (percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

38

Section 6 Growth bottlenecks

Under such conditions, the female MSME owners find themselves consistently absorbed by the day-to-day business operations. As shown in Figure 6.1, finding and concluding negotiations with potential suppliers and buyers is the most time consuming. Many of the female MSME owners surveyed described stressful and slow-moving negotiations, because buyers have a “high level of distrust” in Moldovan suppliers.

This means that the owners have limited time for strategic management decisions, including setting out plans for, among other things, optimizing operations, improving existing production processes, and launching new product lines.

Figure 6.1 – MSME owners' use of time (% of responses)

Source: UNECE Survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

6.2 High exploratory market access costs

The female MSME owners’ use of time reflects high exploratory costs. These costs pose a significant strain on the owners, which is compounded by the considerable time invested in piecing together published information on applicable trade-related rules and procedures from different sources. Many were of the view that building working relations of trust with customs would go a long way in addressing this constraint and in ensuring compliance with applicable regulations.

39

Section 6 Growth bottlenecks

6.3 Insufficient business networks

The majority of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed lacked adequate business networks. Memberships in market support institutions, which constitutes an important vehicle for establishing such networks, was pursued by only 44 per cent of the owners and most of these were engaged in the textile industry.

Female MSME owners operating in other sectors said that they were hesitant to join market support institutions. Some cancelled memberships, citing the limited benefits received. Others lamented the short duration of support services, as most of these tend to be linked to donor-funded projects or are dependent on government support.82 Still others complained about the strict eligibility criteria of enterprise support initiatives. For example, owners of micro agri-enterprises registered as peasant households said that they were unable to benefit from business development initiatives, because they do meet the eligibility criteria.

Not only do the surveyed female MSME owners exhibit limited participation in market support institutions, but they also show limited appetite for entering sub-contracting arrangements. Barring some of those involved in the textile industry, none of the owners were engaged in sub-contracting arrangements with international enterprises.

6.4 Weak production capacities

Almost all the owners interviewed drew attention to their weak productive capacity as a main impediment to engaging in exports, and singled out the lack of technical knowhow and modern machinery as major impediments to improving product quality and achieving scale economies.

For micro and small agri-enterprises, at issue is also the lack of quality farm equipment, including tractors, ploughs, harrows, broadcast spreaders and harvesters. Many also reported lacking on-the-farm sorting and packaging facilities. In addition, several were unable to enlarge their farms because they cannot afford the rents charged by land lease holders.

Beyond the above, the female MSME owners surveyed emphasized that while important, improving their access to bank loans remains insufficient for developing their businesses. In this respect, the inward-looing enterprises were of the view that efforts should focus on improving their competitiveness in domestic markets, as a pre-condition for engaging in exports. Specifically, they emphasized the need for:

82The limited duration of SME support services resulting from aid dependence has been highlighted as a major concern by Moldovan female entrepreneurs.

Evidence also shows a limited awareness of enterprise support initiatives among Moldovan female entrepreneurs. For further details, see the National Bureau of

Statistics of the Republic of Moldova (2020) “Analytical Report on participation of women and men in entrepreneurship in the Republic of Moldova”, which draws

on a survey that was conducted in 2018; https://statistica.gov.md/public/files/publicatii_electronice/Antreprenoriat_feminin/Antreprenoriat_Femei_Barbati_2020.

pdf. See, also, the International Finance Corporation (2018) “Supporting women’s entrepreneurship in Moldova: Review, assessment, and recommendations”.

40

Section 6 Growth bottlenecks

• Targeted financial incentives, e.g., tax exemptions and reduced social security benefit payments.83

• Sector focused domestic promotional campaigns, e.g., exhibitions, for improving their visibility and providing them with an opportunity to compete with large domestic enterprises and imports.

• Targeted support to enable them to use e-commerce for boosting domestic sales.

• Increased emphasis on market surveillance to curb counterfeits and low- quality products. The owners noted the need for regular inspections of production facilities and products placed on the market.

The above-mentioned needs were echoed by the exporting female MSME owners. Furthermore, many highlighted the need for practical support to bring their products up to regulatory requirements in export countries. Specifically, the owners stressed the need for assistance in implementing international standards, particularly the EU harmonized standards; obtaining the CE mark; and, in improving their businesses’ online presence.

For their part, the inward-looing female MSME owners said that they were hesitant to implement international standards. They cited the lack of support programmes and the prevalence of counterfeits as disincentives to standards implementation, which requires new investments that could only increase their debt burden. Several said that they were still repaying start-up bank loans and are, as such, were in no position to acquire new loans.

6.5 Other factors

Female MSME owners with pre-school-age children cited the lack of adequate childcare services as a disincentive to further developing their businesses. Childcare options for children under 3 years in public kindergartens are scarce, while private childcare is only accessible to higher-income households.

In addition, many owners reported experiencing difficulties in obtaining reasonably priced export insurance policies against political and commercial risks. Many noted that their efforts to obtain these policies have been met with failure, even before the onset of the pandemic, because insurance companies consider them as risky clients.

83The social security rate for companies increased from 22.50 per cent in

2020 to 24 per cent in 2021. National Social Insurance House of the Republic

of Moldova (https://cnas.gov.md/).

41

Section 6 Growth bottlenecks

7. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

This assessment traced the way NTMs deployed by the Government of the Republic of Moldova and its trade partners combined with health protection measures to influence female-owned MSMEs export activities and development prospects. In so doing, it brought into focus the growth dynamics driving these enterprises.

It showed that the impact of the pandemic was aggravated by capacity shortfalls within State agencies in the areas of trade facilitation and conformity assessment. These resulted in non-tariff barriers, which, coupled with weaknesses in the national railway network, aggravated the impact of the COVID-19 induced supply chain destructions. They acted as negative transmission channels, which amplified supply chain disruptions by inflating trade costs.

The female-owned MSMEs’ resilience was further undermined by their limited production capacity. The female MSME owners do not have the required business skills set to properly manage and grow their enterprises. They also lack competent staff, something which at one reflect the weaknesses in the county’s labour market and the MSMEs’ limited financial resources. Combined with the female MSME owners’ difficult access to bank loans and high tax burden, these conditions meant that the MSMEs’ are inherently incapable of improving their competitiveness. Moreover, owners with pre-school-age children were further burdened by the lack of affordable childcare services.

These growth bottlenecks find their strongest expression in the female- owned MSMEs’ limited engagement in exports. The majority of the female- owned MSMEs were occasional exporters. Those with established exporting records experienced difficulties in identifying and earning the trust of potential international buyers. They also experienced difficulties in insuring their shipments against political and commercial risks.

These growth bottlenecks meant that the female-owned MSMEs were not well placed to resort to growth enabling coping strategies, such as production repurposing and e-commerce. Rather, the majority postponed business payments and used personal savings to keep their businesses afloat at the expense of their families’ welfare.

This section provides action-oriented recommendations for the Government’s consideration. The recommendations, provided in Table 7.1, comprise emergency support measures for improving the MSMEs’ resilience and strategic measures for addressing the enterprises’ structural weaknesses. The emphasis is on expanding the range of support services available to female- owned MSMEs, through leveraging on existing women’s and enterprise support organizations with the support of donors.

42

Section 7 Conclusion and

reccomendations

This will enable the Government to ensure a high level of outreach and create dynamic synergies between relief measures and long-term efforts for increasing the participation of women in economic activities.

The proposed recommendations support ongoing efforts to bridge the gender gap in economic activities. They provide action-oriented recommendations clustered under thematic action areas that can be mainstreamed into the new strategy for gender equality as well as the MSME post-COVID-19 strategy. The recommendations directly contribute to the achievement of SDG 5 (gender equality) and stimulate spill over effects in support of SDGs 4 (quality education), 8 (decent work and economic growth), 9 (industry, innovation and infrastructure), 16 (peace, justice and strong institutions) and 17 (partnerships for the Goals).

The recommendations could only yield the expected results if complemented by targeted efforts to address capacity shortfalls within State agencies in the areas of trade facilitation and quality infrastructure. The Government is committed to addressing these shortfalls following UNECE recommendations, which were developed in consultation with the relevant agencies in 2020 as part of the COVID-19 impact assessment “The impact of COVID-19 on trade and structural transformation in the Republic of Moldova: Evidence from UNECE’s survey of micro, small and medium enterprises”. These recommendations, reproduced in Annex 4, involve targeted measures for:

• Bolstering transparency in trade

• Supporting a transition to a paperless trading environment

• Improving the national system of conformity assessment

• Strengthening regional cooperation

• Developing the transport sector

Efforts to boost the female-owned MSMEs’ export competitiveness need to be complemented by concerted efforts to promote female entrepreneurship. The female MSMEs owners surveyed exhibited a marked entrepreneurial spirit and the majority were opportunity driven. However, evidence points to shortage of female entrepreneurs, which has been attributed t0 the lack of female entrepreneurial role models. An example of international support in expanding and strengthening the entrepreneurial spirit within a country is UNCTAD’s Empretec programme (Box 7.1).

43

Section 7 Conclusion and

reccomendations

Box 7.1 Empretec programme

Continuous training and support will be necessary to enhance entrepreneurial skills, financial literacy and to help to bridge the gender gap among SMEs and entrepreneurs. UNCTAD offers the Empretec programme to support capacity-building to promote entrepreneurship, especially among MSMEs in developing and transition economies. It facilitates business expansion towards sustainable and inclusive development, including small supplier devel- opment, and social and green entrepreneurship. Consisting of a network of national centres in 40 countries, the programme offers core products that include the Entrepreneurship Training Workshop, which promotes entrepre- neurial development, specifically through efforts targeted towards vulnerable groups such as women and youth. According to the 2020 report of the United Nations Secretary-General reviewing progress in the implementation of General Assembly resolution 73/225 on entrepreneurship for sustainable development, an impact assessment of Empretec in the Russian Federation found that 87 per cent of participants found Empretec training “helpful in overcoming their current business challenges”.84

Source: UNECE, based on UNCTAD, https://empretec.unctad.org

UNECE stands ready to assist the Government in implementing the recommendations in collaboration with the United Nations Resident Coordinator Office in the Republic of Moldova, United Nations agencies and international development partners.

84United Nations Secretary General (2020), Entrepreneurship for sustaina-

ble development: report of the Secretary-General, A/75/275, 27 July 2020.

44

Proposed measures for increasing the resilience of the Republic of Moldova’s female-owned MSMEs and boosting their exports

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Financial support

Female-owned MSMEs are experi- encing shortages in working capital

Scale up efforts to familiarize fe- male-owned MSMEs with available government support schemes through partnering with women’s and enter- prise support organizations targeting female-owned enterprises.

Scale up micro loans to enable fe- male-owned enterprises to address shortages in working capital (especial- ly, raw materials and shipping costs) and publish detailed information on eligibility criteria and application pro- cedures. To facilitating the owners’, consider providing these loans within the context of guarantee schemes in collaboration with women’s and enter- prise support organizations targeting female-owned enterprises.

SDG 5.c: Undertake reforms to give women equal rights to economic resources, as well as access to ownership and control over land and other forms of property, financial services, inheritance and natural resources, in accordance with national laws

SDG 9.3: Increase the access of small-scale industrial and other enterprises, in particu- lar in developing countries, to financial ser- vices, including affordable credit, and their integration into value chains and markets

Emergency Measures

Trade-related exploratory costs

Female-owned MSMEs are not famil- iar with trade-related rules and administra- tive procedures

In addition to upscaling online pub- lication of up-to-date information on trade-related regulations and admin- istrative procedures (Annex 7), priority should be given to familiarizing female MSME owners with these regulations and procedures.

Special emphasis should be accorded to familiarizing the owners with the implications of applicable rules and procedures for supply chain operations and business development. This will also put the owners in a better position to contribute to trade policymaking processes.

Support could take the form of not only user-friendly explanatory material, but also online training courses and tai- lored in-person training programmes. In this respect, it is important to strengthen existing women’s organiza- tions and relevant enterprise support organizations with additional capacity (e.g., experts and training facilities) so that they could host and maintain such training facilities beyond the interna- tional funding cycle.

SDG 5.c: Adopt and strengthen sound poli- cies and enforceable legislation for the pro- motion of gender equality and the empow- erment of all women and girls at all levels

SDG: 16.10 Ensure public access to informa- tion and protect fundamental freedoms, in accordance with national legislation and international agreements

SDG 17.10: Promote a universal, rules- based, open, non-discriminatory and eq- uitable multilateral trading system under the World Trade Organization, including through the conclusion of negotiations un- der its Doha Development Agenda

Table 7.1

68The Republic of Moldova and Romania acceded to this Convention in

2008 and 2000, respectively (https://www.unece.org/trans/maps/number-

of-un-transport-conventions-and-agreements-per-country.html).

45

Proposed measures for increasing the resilience of the Republic of Moldova’s female-owned MSMEs and boosting their exports

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Female-owned MSMEs’ participation in trade policymaking processes tends to be erratic

Strengthen existing mechanisms with a view to ensuring the continuous par- ticipation of female-owned MSMEs in public/private-sector consultations on trade and economic policy.

In this respect, there is a need to strengthen the Committee for Gender Equality between Men and Women with additional resources and assist it in developing a new policy document that takes into account the impact of the pandemic as well as the opportuni- ties and challenges emerging from the DCFTA. This policy document needs to:

Elaborate a clear vision of the respec- tive roles of central, regional and local authorities in supporting fe- male-owned enterprises.

Define mechanisms for co-ordinating donor and government funded initia- tives.

Accord a clear role for women’s and enterprise support organizations tar- geting female-owned MSMEs, so as to ensure effective integration of the enterprises’ needs into policymaking processes. This would not only enable policymakers to gain clarity over the specific needs of this segment of the enterprise sector but would also help build up knowledge on success stories and, thereof, good practices in support- ing female-owned MSMEs.

SDG 5.5: Ensure women’s full and effective participation and equal opportunities for leadership at all levels of decision-making in political, economic and public life

SDG 17.10: Promote a universal, rules- based, open, non-discriminatory and eq- uitable multilateral trading system under the World Trade Organization, including through the conclusion of negotiations un- der its Doha Development Agenda

Emergency Measures

Table 7.1

Structural Measures for Supporting the MSMEs’ Development

Participation in trade policymaking processes

Female-owned MSMEs are experienc- ing difficulties in find- ing new international buyers and suppliers

Equip women’s and enterprise support organizations targeting female-owned enterprises with the required capaci- ty to establish sector-specific market intelligence services, aimed at help- ing female MSME owners identify ex- port opportunities and efficient sup- ply sources. As a starting point, these organizations could focus on sectors exhibiting a significant presence of fe- male-owned MSMEs.

SDG 5.c: Adopt and strengthen sound poli- cies and enforceable legislation for the pro- motion of gender equality and the empow- erment of all women and girls at all levels

Enterprise support

46

85The UNECE review is available at; https://unece.org/innovation-sustaina-

ble-development-reviews-i4sdrs.

Proposed measures for increasing the resilience of the Republic of Moldova’s female-owned MSMEs and boosting their exports

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Structural Measures

Table 7.1

Enterprise support

Female-owned MSMEs are experienc- ing difficulties in find- ing new international buyers and suppliers

Support women’s, as well as enter- prise support organizations targeting female-owned enterprises, in their ef- forts to scale up networking initiatives. Such initiatives should be sector fo- cused and aim at:

(i) Fostering inter-firm collaboration through supporting joint action. The emphasis should be on promoting pur- poseful joint actions, whereby owners are assisted in, for example, pooing re- sources (e.g., machinery); outsourcing part of their production to other do- mestic enterprises; and obtaining raw material at competitive prices.

(ii) Linking female-owned enterprises with international buyers through, for example, financing their participation in international fairs and study tours, with a special emphasis on helping owners negotiate and obtain favour- able growth enabling terms under sub-contracting arrangements

(iii) Leveraging the diaspora for innova- tion-led development following UNECE recommendations provided in the “In- novation for sustainable development review of Moldova” (2021).85

SDG 9.3: Increase the access of small-scale industrial and other enterprises, in particu- lar in developing countries, to financial ser- vices, including affordable credit, and their integration into value chains and markets

SDG 8.2: Achieve higher levels of econom- ic productivity through diversification, technological upgrading and innovation, including through a focus on high value added and labour-intensive sectors

Female-owned agri-MSMEs lack the required equipment and facilities for mod- ernizing production

As part of the networking initiatives (see above), launch programmes for helping female-owned agri-MSMEs establish joint sorting and packaging facilities. This will enable enterprises, particularly those faced with low de- mand, to gradually increase produc- tion. Such programmes should provide financial support and professional on the choice of equipment as well as on legal and financial matters.

As part of the micro finance schemes (see above), consider launching spe- cial credit lines to enable the female MSME owners to purchase high quality tractors, ploughs, harrows, broadcast spreaders and harvesters.

Scale up efforts to familiarize fe- male-owned agri-MSMEs with modern farming methods

SDG 5.c: Adopt and strengthen sound poli- cies and enforceable legislation for the pro- motion of gender equality and the empow- erment of all women and girls at all levels

SDG 8.2: Achieve higher levels of econom- ic productivity through diversification, technological upgrading and innovation, including through a focus on high value added and labour-intensive sectors

47

Female-owned agri-MSMEs lack the required equipment and facilities for mod- ernizing production

Launch targeted training and mentor- ship programmes to help female-head- ed peasant households acquire the re- quired business skills.

Launch training and advisory support services to help female-owned MSMEs implement Good Manufacturing Prac- tices (GMP) principles.

Proposed measures for increasing the resilience of the Republic of Moldova’s female-owned MSMEs and boosting their exports

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Structural Measures

Table 7.1

Female-owned MSMEs are ill- equipped to meet regulatory require- ments in destination countries

Develop training programmes on standards implementation as part of the support services for female-owned MSMEs.

To ensure sustainability beyond the international funding cycle, these programmes need to be housed in women’s and enterprise support or- ganizations targeting women and com- plemented by mentoring and coaching programmes to complement training on standards implementation.

The below UNECE standards are of particular relevance for enabling fe- male-owned MSMEs, and all the Moldo- van enterprises, comply with regulato- ry requirements in export countries:

(i) UNECE free of charge online self- paced training programme of stud- ies on standards implementation for MSMEs, also available in Russian, pro- vides enterprise support organizations and associations with a practical tool for familiarizing MSMEs with interna- tional standards with practical guide- lines and case studies to help MSMEs choose and prepare plans for the im- plementation of standards, which often involve significant investments.

(ii) UNECE agricultural quality stand- ards, which cover a wide spectrum of products belonging to: fresh fruit and vegetables; dry and dried pro- duce; seed potatoes; meat, eggs and egg; and cut flowers. The standards are intended for adoption as national standards. To date over 100 commercial quality standards have been adopted, providing a common terminology and harmonized regulatory requirements.86

SDG 5.c: Adopt and strengthen sound poli- cies and enforceable legislation for the pro- motion of gender equality and the empow- erment of all women and girls at all levels

SDG 8.2: Achieve higher levels of econom- ic productivity through diversification, technological upgrading and innovation, including through a focus on high value added and labour-intensive sectors

SDG 9.4: By 2030, upgrade infrastructure and retrofit industries to make them sus- tainable, with increased resource-use effi- ciency and greater adoption of clean and environmentally sound technologies and industrial processes, with all countries tak- ing action in accordance with their respec- tive capabilities

86 UNECE agricultural quality standards are available at: https://unece.org/

trade/working-party-agricultural-quality-standards-wp7.

48

Proposed measures for increasing the resilience of the Republic of Moldova’s female-owned MSMEs and boosting their exports

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Structural Measures

Table 7.1

Female-owned MSMEs lack experi- ence in supply chain management

Equip existing women’s organizations, as well as enterprise support organiza- tions targeting female-owned MSMEs, with the required capacities to diver- sify their services. This includes addi- tional expertise skills and training ma- terials, so that they could offer training services in the areas of entrepreneur- ship, modern ICT management infor- mation systems, marketing, strategic planning, and supply chain manage- ment. This will help the female-owned MSMEs grow and facilitate their access to bank loans.

Establish mentoring and coaching pro- grammes to complement training ser- vices in the above-mentioned areas.

SDG 5.b: Enhance the use of enabling tech- nology, in particular information and com- munications technology, to promote the empowerment of women

SDG 5.c: Adopt and strengthen sound poli- cies and enforceable legislation for the pro- motion of gender equality and the empow- erment of all women and girls at all levels

SDG 8.2: Achieve higher levels of econom- ic productivity through diversification, technological upgrading and innovation, including through a focus on high value added and labour-intensive sectors

Female-owned MSMEs are unable to participate in e-com- merce

Consider distinguishing between ma- jor and occasional exporters. Given the female-owned MSMEs’ modest export volumes, it would be more effective to help occasional exporters sell products on regional and international online marketplaces. Major exporters could be assisted through targeted financial support. For example, as part of the loan schemes (see above), a special credit line could be established to help MSME owners to obtain the required equipment and IT systems for bolster their online presence.

Equip women’s and enterprise support organizations targeting female-owned MSMEs with the required capacity to help owners navigate e-commerce laws.

For placing products on global online marketplaces

SDG 5.b: Enhance the use of enabling tech- nology, in particular information and com- munications technology, to promote the empowerment of women

Female-owned MSMEs experience difficulties in ac- cessing bank loans to finance business development plans

Scale up lending schemes targeting female-owned MSMEs, so as to enable them to invest in modernizing their production facilities. To facilitate the owners’ access, consider providing these loans within the context of guar- antee schemes in collaboration with women’s organizations.

SDG 5.a: Undertake reforms to give women equal rights to economic resources, as well as access to ownership and control over land and other forms of property, financial services, inheritance and natural resources, in accordance with national laws

SDG 9.3: Increase the access of small-scale industrial and other enterprises, in particu- lar in developing countries, to financial ser- vices, including affordable credit, and their integration into value chains and markets

49

Proposed measures for increasing the resilience of the Republic of Moldova’s female-owned MSMEs and boosting their exports

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Structural Measures

Table 7.1

Work-family balance

Owners with pre- school-age children are struggling with the limited supply of childcare services

SDG 4.2: By 2030 ensure that all girls and boys have access to quality early childhood development, care and pre-primary edu- cation so that they are ready for primary education

Knowledge generation for gender- responsive trade policies

Bridging the gender gap in economic ac- tivities is undermined by the lack of statisti- cal and nonstatistical systems for capturing and monitoring the specific challenges facing female-owned enterprises

Strengthen the National Bureau of Sta- tistics of the Republic of Moldova with the required capacity to generate gen- der-disaggregated data on enterprises.

Develop mechanisms for building up knowledge on the successful expe- riences of female-owned enterprises and on good practices for supporting female-owned enterprises in the Re- public of Moldova. These mechanisms could include, among others, quali- tative surveys and case studies, with data gathering and analysis assigned to research institutions working closely with women’s and enterprise support organizations targeting female-owned enterprises.

Establish monitoring and evaluation systems for capturing the growth ob- stacles facing female-owned enterpris- es and tracking progress in addressing the identified obstacles. These systems could be based on periodical surveys by the National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova.

SDG 5.c: Adopt and strengthen sound poli- cies and enforceable legislation for the pro- motion of gender equality and the empow- erment of all women and girls at all levels

50

ANNEX 1 - COUNTRY BACKGROUND A.1.1 Economic structure

The Moldovan economy has historically been service-based, and the past two decades has seen this sector register steady growth. As shown in Figures A1.1, services generated 53.5 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) and employed 57 per cent of the labour force in 2019.87 The industrial sector (including mining, quarrying and manufacturing) stood as the second biggest source of income generation and job creation, followed by agriculture and construction.

87National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova (https://statistica.

gov.md/public/files/publicatii_electronice/Anuar_Statistic/2020/Anuar_sta-

tistic_editia_2020.pdf). The Statistics do not include data on the Region of

Transnistria and the municipality of Bender.

Figure A1.1 - Breakdown of GDP and labor force by sector (2019)

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

The services sector continues to be driven by wholesale and retail trade, along with real estate.88 Moreover, the move away from industrial and agricultural activities has not been accompanied by improved productivity levels. The enterprises belonging to these sectors continue to be held back by weak technological capabilities, lacking the skills and resources for efficient specialization in technology-intensive activities, for extending and deepening these activities, and for drawing selectively on other technologies to complement existing capabilities.89

These structural weaknesses find their strongest expression in the country’s limited export mix. As shown in the next section, exports continue to be dominated by products with low value-added, as enterprises are awkwardly placed to adapt to consumer preferences and to meet the regulatory requirements in destination countries, particularly the EU.

Annex 1 Country background

88Ibid.

89For a concise discussion of this concept, see Lall, S. (1992) Technologi-

cal Capabilities and Industrialization, World Development, Vol. 20, No. 2:

165–186.

51

A1.2 The trade sector

The Republic of Moldova boasts an impressive trade diversification record, with the export product concentration index carrying a value of 0.190 and the import product concentration index well below the threshold of 1.91

However, as shown in Figure A1.2, exports continue to be driven by relatively low value-added manufactured goods and primary products. Combined with Moldovan enterprises’ heavy reliance on international markets for sourcing raw material, this narrow export mix has meant that imports continued to outstrip exports, causing a fiscal leakage of USD 2.95 billion in its 2020 trade deficit.92

90Calculated using United Nations Comtrade data. The value of the export

concentration index ranges between zero and one. An index with a value

closer to 1 point to a heavy concentration in a limited number of sectors,

with one indicating that only a single product is exported. UNECE (2017)

Regulatory and Procedural Barriers to Trade in the Republic of Moldova:

Needs Assessment, Chapter 4 (https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/

trade/Publications/ECE_TRADE_433E.pdf).

Annex 1 Country background

Figure A1.2 - Republic of Moldova's main exports by sector, 2005–2020 (Share in total exports-SITC Rev.4)

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

91Calculated using United Nations Comtrade data. The value of the import

product concentration index ranges between zero and one. An index with

a value closer to zero signifies that imports are distributed among many

types of products. UNECE (2017) Regulatory and Procedural Barriers to

Trade in the Republic of Moldova: Needs Assessment, Chapter 4.

92National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova.

52

As regards trade partners, the past two decades have seen a re-orientation of exports of the Republic of Moldova away from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) towards the EU. By 2019, the share of the EU in exports of the Republic of Moldova stood at 67 per cent, up from 51 in 2007, while the share of CIS dropped from 41 per cent 16 per cent during the same period.93

This shift has been mainly driven by Romania, which joined the EU in 2007.94 As shown in Figure A1.3, Romania accounted for the largest share of exports of the Republic of Moldova in 2019 (27.5 per cent), followed by followed by Italy (9.6 per cent), the Russian Federation (8.9 per cent), and Germany (8.5 per cent).

93National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova.

94Romania joined the EU on 1 January 2007.

Annex 1 Country background

Figure A1.3 - The Republic of Moldova's main export markets (Percentage share)

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

Romania, along with the Russian Federation, has also been driving regional trade patterns of the Republic of Moldova. This is demonstrated in Figures A1.4 and A1.5, which show Moldovan exports to the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and EU, as mirroring the evolution of exports to Romania and the Russian Federation.

Turkey

Romania

Italy

Germany

Ukraine

Russian Federation

Belarus

0% 5% 10%1 5% 20%2 5% 30% 35% 40% 45%

2020

2015

2010

2005

2000

53

Figure A1.4 - Moldova's exports to CIS and the Russian Federation (USD thousand)

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

A1.3 Modest steps towards structural transformation

The above figures mask modest steps towards structural transformation. As shown in Table A1.1, the Republic of Moldova’s highest complexity exports, as measured by the product complexity index (PCI), are in machines for testing mechanical properties, machinery equipment for non-domestic heating or cooling systems and copper foil manufacturing.

The Republic of Moldova’s top 10 knowledge-intensive products, 2018

Products (Harmonized System) HS4 PCI

Machines for testing mechanical properties of material 1.63

Table A1.1

Machinery, non-domestic, involving heating or cooling 1.43

Copper foil, thickness (except any backing) < 0.15mm 1.25

Binoculars, monoculars, telescopes, etc. 0.96

Slag wool, rock wool, insulating minerals not asbestos 0.81

Nickel tubes, pipes and tube or pipe fittings 0.79

Electric transformers, static converters and rectifiers 0.77

Derivatives of cyclic alcohols 0.68

Bar, rod, hot-rolled alloy steel, irregular coils 0.67

Signals etc. for rail, tram, waterway, port, airfield 0.6

Source: Observatory of Economic Complexity96

96The PCI ranks the diversity and sophistication of the productive know-

how that went into manufacturing of individual product. It is used as a

proxy for measuring the technical and knowledge intensity of products.

82Observatory of Economic Complexity (https://oec.world/en/profile/country/

mda)

Figure A1.5 - Moldova's exports to Romania and the EU (USD thousand)

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

Annex 1 Country background

54

However, these successes seem to fall short of sustaining a continuous move towards increased specialization in technology-intensive/knowledge-based activities with high value-added, with its position in the economic complexity index (ECI) fluctuating over the past 11 years (Figure A1.6).

Figure A1.6 - The Moldovan economy's position in the ECI (2008-2018)

Source: Obsevatory of Economic Complexity

Moreover, except for hot-rolled iron bars, the Republic of Moldova does not have export advantages, measured in terms 0f the revealed comparative advantage (RCA) index,97 in any of its top products of complexity index. As shown in Figure A1.7, the country’s export advantages are mainly in agricultural products.

Figure A1.7 -Top 10 comprtitve exports (RCA Index. 2018)

Source: Atlas of Economic Complexity (2008-2017); Onservatory of Economic Complexity (2018)

Annex 1 Country background

55

97The RCA indicates whether a country is specializing in products with trade potential. It is based on the idea that if a country exports more than the global

average exports of a specific product, then the country has a comparative advantage in that product. If the RCA is higher than 1, then the producer is said

to have an RCA in producing a certain good.

ANNEX 2 - THE GOVERNMENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA’S RELIEF AND SUPPORT MEASURES

Area Measures

Tax relief Deferment of tax payments until 25 June 2020.

Suspension of tax audits until 1 June 2020.

Suspension of the 2019 audit obligations for enterprises that were hard- hit by lockdown measures.

Reduction of value added tax (VAT) from 20 to 15 per cent as of 1 May 2020 (Only for enterprises involved in the food industry and hospitality sector).

VAT Refund Program (1 May-31 December 2020) of MDL 1 billion (USD 56 million).

Enterprise support State subsidies for enterprises that were forced to suspend operations during the lockdown period (state of emergency), with a view to ena- bling them to cover social and health insurance contributions. The sub- sidies involved financing interest rates on bank loans taken out by the enterprises over the period March-May 2020 (for up to three months).

Exemptions from patent payments for patent holding enterprises that were forced to suspend operations during the lockdown period.

Interest Grant Programme facilitating businesses’ access to credit: Co-fi- nancing interest rates on bank loans taken out by the enterprises as of 1 May 2020 (the programme was launched in April 2020 with duration until end 2020).

Grants in the amount of LEU 100 million (approx. USD 5.6 million) to sup- port entrepreneurs, with a special emphasis on female entrepreneurs.

Employment The amount of unemployment benefits was increased by 55 per cent and eligibility criteria were expanded to cover returning migrant work- ers.

The minimum amount of “guaranteed monthly income” for low-income families was increased by almost 20 per cent.

Reimbursement of 43 per cent of the monthly salaries of employees sent into technical unemployment during the lockdown period.

Economic stimulus Base rate applicable to short-term monetary policy operations reduced by 2.25 percentage points to 3.25 per cent.

Reserve ratio in local currency decrease by 6.5 percentage points to 34 per cent.

Reserves ratio in freely convertible currencies increased by 1.0 percent- age point to 21 per cent.

Deferral of payments under banks loans till 30 June 2020.

Other Mortgage guarantee programme.

Source: International Monetary Fund (https://www.imf.org/external/index.htm); Government of the Republic of Moldova (https://www.covid19healthsystem.org/countries/moldova/livinghit.aspx?Section=6.%20 Measures%20in%20other%20sectors&Type=Chapter#37Transitionmeasures:Measuresinothersectors; https:// www.legis.md/cautare/getResults?doc_id=121284&lang=ro)

Annex 2 The government of the Republic of

Moldova's relief and support measures

56

ANNEX 3 – PROFILE OF THE FEMALE-OWNED MSMES SURVEYED

The assessment draws on a survey of 101 female-owned MSMEs from across the Republic of Moldova. This annex provides a breakdown of these enterprises by location, size and economic activity.

A3.1 Ownership

The Republic of Moldova does not have a definition of female-owned enterprises. Official reports follow international definitions and criteria, whereby female-owned enterprises are defined as being majority controlled (i.e., at least 51 per cent ownership) or managed by women (i.e., enterprises with women in senior management roles).98

As shown in Figure A3.1, around 69 per cent were fully controlled by women (100 per cent ownership). Another 24 per cent were jointly owned by women, with women holding equal shares, 50-50, or majority control (over 50 per cent of the shares) and assuming senior roles. The remaining 7 per cent were jointly owned, with women controlling less than 50 per cent of the enterprises’ shares.

Figure A3.1 - The female-owned MSMEs surveyed by ownership (percentage of respondents)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

98National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova (2020) “Analytical

Report on participation of women and men in entrepreneurship in the

Republic of Moldova”; available at: https://statistica.gov.md/public/files/

publicatii_electronice/Antreprenoriat_feminin/Antreprenoriat_Femei_Bar-

bati_2020.pdf.

Annex 3 Profile of the female-owned

MSMEs surveyed

57

A3.2 Location

Mirroring the countrywide spatial distribution of enterprises, Chișinău was home for the largest segment of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed (38,61 per cent).99 As shown in Figure A3.2, the Centre districts of Șoldanesti, Ungheni, Calarasi, Orhei, Dubasari, Straseni, Criuleni, Nisporeni, Hancesti, Ialoveni and Anenii Noi accounted for the second-largest segment.

Figure A3.2 - The female-owned MSMEs by geographic location (percentage of responses)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

Annex 3 Profile of the female-owned

MSMEs surveyed

A3.3 Size

Micro enterprises, employing fewer than 10 persons represented the largest segment of the female-owned MSMEs surveyed (59 per cent). As shown in Figure A3.3., small enterprises, employing between 10 and 49 persons accounted for the second largest segment (39 per cent), with medium-sized enterprises, employing between 50 and 249 persons, accounting for the remaining balance (8 per cent).100

99Chișinău accounted for 62 per cent of total registered enterprises in 2019

(statistica.gov.md).

100The classification of MSMEs follows the EU Commission Recommen-

dation 2003/361/EC “Concerning the Definition of Micro, Small and Medi-

um-sized Enterprises”.

58

Figure A3.3 - The female-owned MSMEs by size (percentage of responses)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

A3.4 Economic activities

As shown in Figure A3.4, the majority of the female-owned MSMEs belonged to the manufacturing sector. These accounted for 65 per cent of the enterprises surveyed, followed by those involved in agricultural activities, including harvesting and animal husbandry (29 per cent).

The manufacturing MSMEs represented strategic sectors, including food and beverages; metals and fabricated metals; textiles and apparel; transport machinery and equipment; and chemicals. Enterprises engaged in textiles, leather and apparel manufacturing accounted for the largest segment, or 29 per cent of the enterprises surveyed, followed by those belonging to the food and beverages industry.

59

Annex 3 Profile of the female-owned

MSMEs surveyed

Figure A3.4 - The female-owned MSMEs by sector (percentage of responses)

Source: UNECE survey of Moldovan female-owned MSMEs

60

Annex 3 Profile of the female-owned

MSMEs surveyed

Proposed measures for stronger and more resilient Moldovan MSMEs

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Financial support

MSMEs are experienc- ing shortages in work- ing capital

Expand the scope of emergency credit schemes to cover all sectors and pub- lish detailed information on application procedures.

SDG 9.3: Increase the access of small-scale industrial and other enterprises, in particu- lar in developing countries, to financial ser- vices, including affordable credit, and their integration into value chains and markets

Emergency Measures

Freight forwarders are experiencing shortag- es in working capital

Establish emergency credit schemes to support forwarders and publish de- tailed information on application pro- cedures.

SDG 9.3: Increase the access of small-scale industrial and other enterprises, in particu- lar in developing countries, to financial ser- vices, including affordable credit, and their integration into value chains and markets

Legal support

MSMEs are ill- equipped to resolve commercial disputes with international buyers and buyers

Establish legal advisory facilities to help MSMEs resolve commercial dis- putes with international suppliers and buyers. Such facilities can be hosted by enterprise support organizations.

SDG 9.3: Increase the access of small-scale industrial and other enterprises, in particu- lar in developing countries, to financial ser- vices, including affordable credit, and their integration into value chains and markets

Regional cooperation

Outbound cargo destined to/transiting through Romania is delayed by conges- tions at the Romanian side of the Leușeni - Albița BCP

Strengthen cross-border cooperation through joint control arrangements guided by, among others, the World Customs Organization Revised Kyoto Convention and the UNECE Internation- al Convention on the Harmonization of Frontier Controls of Goods.101 Such ar- rangements could involve, among oth- ers things, joint processing (e.g., single stops), common facilities (e.g., adminis- trative buildings, road and parking are- as and utilities) and common technical equipment (e.g., scanners).

SDG 17.6: Enhance the Global Partnership for Sustainable Development, comple- mented by multi-stakeholder partnerships that mobilize and share knowledge, exper- tise, technology and financial resources, to support the achievement of the Sustaina- ble Development Goals in all countries, in particular in developing countries

Outbound cargo destined to/transiting through Turkey is delayed by the lack of clarity over applied safety and health pro- tection arrangements at the Turkish side of BCPs

Intensify the exchange of informa- tion with relevant Turkish authorities on situational awareness and applied safety and health protection measures at BCPs, inter alia, through online ex- change of information using electronic data interchange (EDI).

SDG: 16.10 Ensure public access to informa- tion and protect fundamental freedoms, in accordance with national legislation and international agreements

101The Republic of Moldova and Romania acceded to this Convention in

2008 and 2000, respectively (https://www.unece.org/trans/maps/number-

of-un-transport-conventions-and-agreements-per-country.html).

61

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Outbound cargo to/ through countries with which the Republic of Moldova has quota-based road transport arrange- ments is constrained by the existing per- mits-issuance system

Revise the existing road freight per- mits issuance system. The permits should be issued based on the forward- ers’ actual cargo traffic (volume and direction).

SDG 11.2: By 2030, provide access to safe, af- fordable, accessible and sustainable trans- port systems for all, improving road safety, notably by expanding public transport, with special attention to the needs of those in vulnerable situations, women, children, persons with disabilities and older persons

Emergency Measures

Customs clearance

Customs clearance procedures are still paper-based

Establish the Single Window facility, following UN/CEFACT Recommenda- tion 33 on establishing a single window as envisaged in national trade facilita- tion plans.

Establish the legal framework for an international single window, following UN/CEFACT Recommendation 35 on establishing a legal framework for an international trade single window.102

Link the ASYCUDA World system to the EU New Computerized Transit System, since ASYCUDA World is fully opera- tional nationwide, and has a built-in transit module.103

SDG 17.10: Promote a universal, rules- based, open, non-discriminatory and eq- uitable multilateral trading system under the World Trade Organization, including through the conclusion of negotiations un- der its Doha Development Agenda

SDG 17.6: Enhance the Global Partnership for Sustainable Development, comple- mented by multi-stakeholder partnerships that mobilize and share knowledge, exper- tise, technology and financial resources, to support the achievement of the Sustaina- ble Development Goals in all countries, in particular developing countries

Structural Measures

Moldova’s Authorized Economic Operator (AEO) audits, controls and authorizations are not recognized internationally

Establish mutual recognition arrange- ments/agreements of AEO audits, controls and authorizations between MCS and its counterparts in the Cen- tral European Free Trade Agreement, EU, Turkey and other trade partners in accordance with the World Customs Organization Framework of Standards to Secure and Facilitate Global Trade (SAFE).

SDG 17.6: Enhance the Global Partnership for Sustainable Development, comple- mented by multi-stakeholder partnerships that mobilize and share knowledge, exper- tise, technology and financial resources, to support the achievement of the Sustaina- ble Development Goals in all countries, in particular developing countries

At the border, Cus- toms terminals lack the required infra- structure

Equip border Customs terminals with:

• Parking and waiting areas for trucks and other vehicles.

• Facilities for vehicle and goods in- spection.

• Modern traffic management for segregating commercial and pri- vate traffic; transit consignments; and “fast track” consignments.

• Non-intrusive inspection equip- ment (e.g., X-ray and gamma-ray scanners).

SDG 9.1: Develop quality, reliable, sustain- able and resilient infrastructure, including regional and transborder infrastructure, to support economic development and hu- man well-being, with a focus on affordable and equitable access for all

Proposed measures for stronger and more resilient Moldovan MSMEs

102https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/trade/Publications/ECE-TRADE-

401E_Rec35.pdf.

103Regulation (EC) No 837/2005 and Decision No 4/2005 of the EC/EFTA

Joint Committee on Common Transit make the use of the NCTS compulso-

ry for all EU/ common transit declarations 62

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Structural Measures

Conformity assessment

MSMEs assume addi- tional costs to prove compliance with reg- ulatory requirements in export markets due to the lack of interna- tionally recognized conformity assess- ment bodies

Support the National Accreditation Centre of Republic of Moldova (MOL- DAC) in its efforts to develop compe- tence in new areas, including certifica- tion of persons and verification bodies, and further improve existing compe- tences in accordance with internation- al and regional standards (including the International Organization for Standardization, ISO; the International Electrotechnical Commission, IEC, and the European harmonised standards, ENs) as follows:

• Implement the national accredita- tion scheme for verification bod- ies according to ISO14065:2013. Specifically, equip MOLDAC ex- perts and assessors with the nec- essary expertise knowledge and skills through advanced training courses and practical experience (advanced training courses and study tours and participation in assessments undertaken by oth- er EA recognized national assess- ment bodies).

• Further develop the national ac- creditation scheme for inspection according to ISO/IEC 17020:2012. Specifically, equip MOLDAC ex- perts and assessors with the nec- essary expertise knowledge and skills through advanced training courses on the different aspects and applications of this scheme, with a special emphasis on the EU New Approach Directive.

• Further develop the national ac- creditation scheme for product certification according to ISO/ IEC 17065:2012. Specifically, equip MOLDAC experts and assessors with the necessary expertise, knowledge and skills through ad- vanced training courses on the different aspects and applications of this scheme, with a special em- phasis on the EU New Approach Directive and Moldova’s strategic export and imports.

SDG 9.4: By 2030 upgrade infrastructure and retrofit industries to make them sus- tainable, with increased resource use effi- ciency and greater adoption of clean and environmentally sound technologies and industrial processes, all countries taking action in accordance with their respective capabilities

Proposed measures for stronger and more resilient Moldovan MSMEs

63

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Structural Measures

Conformity assessment

MSMEs assume addi- tional costs to prove compliance with reg- ulatory requirements in export markets due to the lack of interna- tionally recognized conformity assess- ment bodies

• Develop a national accredita- tion scheme for the certification of persons according to ISO/IEC 17024. Specifically, equip MOLDAC experts and assessors with the necessary expertise, knowledge and skills through advanced train- ing courses and practical experi- ence (advanced training courses and study tours and participation in assessments undertaken by other EA recognized national as- sessment bodies).

• Further develop national testing laboratories. Specifically, equip testing laboratories with modern equipment and expertise skills through advanced training cours- es and study tours.

SDG 9.4: By 2030 upgrade infrastructure and retrofit industries to make them sus- tainable, with increased resource use effi- ciency and greater adoption of clean and environmentally sound technologies and industrial processes, all countries taking action in accordance with their respective capabilities

Transport development

The national railway system is underdevel- oped

Accord priority to ensuring full imple- mentation of the concept note and Ac- tion Plan for 2018-2021 on the restruc- turing of the Moldovan railway sector. 104

SDG 11.2: By 2030, provide access to safe, af- fordable, accessible and sustainable trans- port systems for all, improving road safety, notably by expanding public transport, with special attention to the needs of those in vulnerable situations, women, children, persons with disabilities and older persons

Enterprise development

MSMEs are facing unfair competition from counterfeit products105

Strengthen the Agency for Consum- er Protection and Market Surveillance with expertise skills and additional re- sources to enable it to conduct checks of products placed on the market on a more regular basis.

Further develop the existing informa- tion sharing mechanisms between the Agency for Consumer Protection and Market Surveillance and MCS. This will help the agency in preparing its annual plans as decide on activities related to sampling, testing and destroying dan- gerous counterfeit products.

SDG 8.2: Achieve higher levels of econom- ic productivity through diversification, technological upgrading and innovation, including through a focus on high value added and labour-intensive sectors

SDG 3.9d Strengthen the capacity of all countries, in particular developing coun- tries, for early warning, risk reduction and management of national and global health risks

Proposed measures for stronger and more resilient Moldovan MSMEs

104https://gov.md/sites/default/files/document/attachments/intr13_122.pdf.

105The Republic of Moldova ratified most of international conventions in the field of intellectual property, including the WTO Agreement on Trade-Related

Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights Agreement, and its legislation is harmonized with the European Directives. These include the law on market surveillance,

the law on general product safety (transposing EU Directive 2001/95) and the civil code (transposing Directive 85/374/EEC on liability for defective products),

which together provide the legislative basis for bringing the national market surveillance system up to the EU rules. MCS ensures intellectual property rights

protection through its electronic risk profiling system, which has been effective in curbing the inflow of counterfeit products (https://customs.gov.md/ro/

articles?tag=news&tag=customs-fraud&page=1). Efforts are underway to establish a Rapid Alert System for dangerous non-food products (RAPEX) based

system to facilitate the exchange of information on dangerous non-food consumer products (https://eu4business.eu/programme/support-quality-infrastruc-

ture-framework-within-dcfta-context-republic-moldova). For an overview of the MCS risk-based clearance module and the Republic of Moldova’s conformity

assessment system, see UNECE Study on Regulatory and Procedural Barriers to Trade, Chapter two (https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/trade/Publications/

ECE_TRADE_433E.pdf).

64

Proposed measures for stronger and more resilient Moldovan MSMEs

Area Challenges Recommendations Contribution to sustainable development goals (SDGs)

Structural Measures

Enterprise support

MSMEs are ill- equipped to meet regulatory require- ments in destination countries

Develop training programmes on in- ternational standards implementa- tion, particularly the European Union (EU) harmonized standards, to enable MSMEs to achieve compliance with health, safety, and environmental regu- latory requirements in destination mar- kets, particularly the EU. Implementing international and EU standards also en- able MSMEs to benefit from the DCFTA and engage in e-commerce.

Launch targeted technical assistance programmes for food producers to en- able them to implement the Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Points (HACCP).

SDG 9.4: By 2030, upgrade infrastructure and retrofit industries to make them sus- tainable, with increased resource-use effi- ciency and greater adoption of clean and environmentally sound technologies and industrial processes, with all countries tak- ing action in accordance with their respec- tive capabilities

Farmers are ill- equipped to with- stand droughts

Strengthen vocational training insti- tutions with resources to develop tar- geted training for: (a) existing MSMEs’ employees to improve their skill sets within their areas of work; and (b) un- employed individuals whose skills could be upgraded to the specific re- quirements of the demanding jobs within their areas of work. The empha- sis should be on enabling the individu- als on acquiring the necessary skills for engaging in production activities with high value added.

Develop advanced, forward-looking curricula and programmes within the higher education institutions, which tailor both the content and approaches to industry needs.

Establish a national skills-matching strategy (or sectoral/ field-specific matching strategies) for guiding the above.

SDG 8.2: Achieve higher levels of economic productivity through diversification, tech- nological upgrading and innovation, in- cluding through a focus on high value-add- ed and labour-intensive sectors.

SDG 9.4: By 2030, upgrade infrastructure and retrofit industries to make them sus- tainable, with increased resource-use effi- ciency and greater adoption of clean and environmentally sound technologies and industrial processes, with all countries tak- ing action in accordance with their respec- tive capabilities.

MSMEs are ill equipped to engage in e-commerce

In addition to the above training pro- grammes:

• Launch credit schemes for ena- bling the MSMEs’ to procure the necessary ICT equipment and skills.

• Launch linkages programmes to integrate MSMEs with region- al and global value chains. Such programmes should target both labour-intensive industries and those with technology intensive activities and could be tailored to create: (a) horizontal collabora- tion, such as sharing the costs of expensive equipment or research and development; (b) vertical col- laboration through facilitating the decentralization of the produc- tion process; and/or (c) exchange of information on technology and common problems.

SDG 9.3: Increase the access of small-scale industrial and other enterprises, in particu- lar in developing countries, to financial ser- vices, including affordable credit, and their integration into value chains and markets

Proposed measures for stronger and more resilient Moldovan MSMEs

Source: UNECE (2020) “The impact of COVID-19 on trade and structural transformation in the Republic of Moldova: Evidence from UNECE’s survey of micro, small and medium enterprises”

65

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The disruptive impact of the corona virus disease (COVID-19) on all aspects of everyday life poses unprecedented challenges for all countries. Governments have seen their priorities shift towards upscaling public health preparedness to contain the spread of the highly infectious disease and, later, to mitigate the effects of those measures on the economy and on vulnerable segments of the population. The challenges are further complicated by supply chain disruptions that have left enterprises struggling to survive. Pay cuts and furloughs have become the norm, and some of the steepest drops in output of the past century indicate that an economic crisis is compounding this public health emergency.

This review traces how non-tariff measures (NTMs) governing trade in goods influence end-to-end supply chains in Republic of Moldova and highlights the lingering effects of the pandemic. Undertaken in the context of UNECE’s Studies on Regulatory and Procedural Barriers to Trade under the Steering Committee on Trade Capacity and Standards, the assessment uses UNECE’s evaluation methodology for designing targeted interventions for rebuilding stronger and more resilient post-COVID-19 economies.

UNECE supports closer economic relations among its 56 member States in the pursuit of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the 2030 Agenda. Its Trade and Economic Cooperation and Integration programmes assist member States in better integrating their economies into the world economy and in promoting enabling and promoting a better policy, financial and regulatory environment conducive to inclusive economic growth, innovative and sustainable development and higher competitiveness in the UNECE region.

Information Service United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

Palais des Nations CH - 1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland Telephone: +41(0)22 917 12 34 E-mail: [email protected] Website: http://www.unece.org

Study on Regulatory and Procedural Barriers to Trade Assessment of Trade Facilitation Framework — Republic of Moldova

This study (ECE/TRADE/477) provides information regarding the current state of play of the trade facilitation framework and the remaining outstanding Category C commitments, including the current standing with respect to the implementation status of specific measures, further capacity needs, and recommendations for the way forward. It also specifies which recommendations refer to mandatory commitments, best endeavour commitments, or commitments of a mixed nature.

UNECE and partners support seven countries of Eastern Europe, Central Asia and the Caucasus to transform construction sector for climate goals

As countries seek to rapidly decarbonize their economies, investing in energy efficiency and the improved performance of buildings offers significant near term gains. Available measures can help transform the building and construction sector, which today is responsible for approximately 40% of energy- and process-related greenhouse gas emissions worldwide.   

Presentation, Svetlana Furtuna (Republic of Moldova)

Multidimensional poverty index in the Republic of Moldova, Svetlana Furtuna, Republic of Moldova

Languages and translations
English

Multidimensional Poverty Index in the Republic of Moldova

Svetlana Furtuna, National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

Workshop on Harmonization of Poverty Statistics to Measure SDG 1 and 10

Geneva, Switzerland, 27 November 2023

Data source – Household Budget Survey

The main objectives of HBS

i) measures of living standards,

ii) consumption and income structure,

iii) weights for consumer price index and

iv) various estimates for the National Accounts.

Sample size – 1051 households per month;

✓ Data collection method:

- paper based interview (face to face interview and self recording of diary)

✓ Survey tools:

- Household roster: socio and demographic characteristics, education, employment, housing, land, etc.

- Diary: income, expenditure (cash, in-kind)

- Participation form: reasons of non-responses and key variables about non-respondent

Defining the National MPI (by data users & “poor”) Interinstitutional workshop

Goal: experimental estimations of AROPE index & MPI / Alkire-Foster methodology

Output: poverty dimensions versus national policies

Qualitative research&collective intelligence

Goal: poverty by ”poor” ** 15 focus –groups by ”opinion leaders”, 124 participants – migrants, elderly, unemployed, young unemployed, HIV-SIDA, Roma, women with children, people with chronic diseas

Output: 68 issues/concerns of the ”poor”

December 2016

May-July 2017

November 2017

June-July 2018

2020-2021 June 2022 2023

Quantitative survey

Goal: pprioritize poverty dimensions by general population

Output: distribution of poverty & deprivation issues by dimensions at community/individual levels

High-level workshop

Goal: prezentation to all state stakeholders results of experimental MPI and draft N- MPI methodology

Output: Finalization of N-MPI methodology

Consultation with the decision-makers

Goal: identify measurements for poverty dimensions of the ”poor” Output: 68 issues of poverty & deprivation proritized and grouped by 10 socio-economic dimensions, proposals of indicators to measure them

MPI methodology development Goal: experimental calculations, using dimensions, indicators, weights, thresholds. Creation of deprivation profiles for each individual/household Output: Experimental MPI, using available indicators is calculated using Alkire-Foster method

Moldova MPI 2022 Analytical Report development

Goal: National MPI key indicators analysis, conclusions and recomandations

Output: Public presentation of MPI

Justification

s To increase access to health services (improve quality, etc.)

LAW No. 263/ 2005 regarding the patient's rights and responsibilities is aimed at strengthening the fundamental human rights in the health services system

s To promote education for adults throughout life s Improve skills demand, match of education and labour market, access of youth to trainings, labour market, (participation, employment) and quality of employment (salary, formal participation).

Education code of the Republic of Moldova No. 152 of 07-17-2014

s Promote clean energy, to facilitate access to adequate heating

s Facilitate and ensure access to public sewerage system s Enable households to live in in a decent housing conditions

s Enable households to live in dignity, in a decent house without severe overcrowding

s Facilitate and ensure access to piped water inside home

LAW No. 303/ 2013 regarding the public water supply and sewage service

s Improve access to labor markets (participation, employment) and quality of employment (salary, formal participation)

s Enhance quality of employment by improving status of employment, addressing unofficial employment

Law no. 105/2018 regarding the promotion of employment and unemployment insurance.

GOVERNMENT ACTIVITY PROGRAM "Prosperous, safe, European Moldova“

The National Plan "Building European Moldova", 20 Government Actions

Moldova National MPI (Dimensions, Indicators and Weights)

4 d

im e

n si

o n

s o

f p

o ve

rt y

Health (1/4) 1. Access to medical services (1/8) 3

2. Lack of medical insurance (1/8) 3

Education (1/4) 3. Years of Schooling (1/8) 3

4. Youth NEET (Not in Education, Employment or Training) (1/8) 4 and 8

Living standards (1/4)

5. Heating (1/20) 10

6. Sanitation (1/20) 6

7. Housing (1/20) 10

8. Overcrowding (1/20) 10

9. Water (1/20) 6

Employment (1/4)

10. Unemployment (1/8) 8

11. Decent work (1/8) 8

Dimensions and Weights Indicators and Weights SDG Area

Moldova National MPI disaggregation

Area of residence (urban, rural)

Statistical regions (North, Center, South, Chisinau municipality)

Sex of persons (men, women)

Age groups (0 - 17 years; 18 - 29 years; 30 - 39 years; 40 - 49 years; 50 - 59 years; 60+ years)

Type of household with children (1 child, 2 children, 3+)

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

Incidence and intensity of multidimensional poverty by area and statistical regions

Poverty Cutoff (k) Index Value

k-value=35%

Incidence (H), % 27,5

Intensity (A), % 46,5

MPI (M0 = H*A) 0,1281

27.5

12.3

37.6

10.4

33.8 33.2

30.4

46.5

42.4

47.4

43.6

46.7 47.2 46.4

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

Total Urban Rural mun.Chisinau North Centre South

Incidence and intensity of multidimensional poverty by area and statistical regions,%

Incidence Intensity

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

0.4

24.7

18.4

9.7

23.4 24.2

7.0

5.6

10.7

2.7

18.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

National Censored Headcount Ratio, 2022

0.42

24.09

17.94

9.44

9.15

9.46

2.75 2.20

4.19

2.62

17.75

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Total

Percentage Contributions, by area, 2022

Decent employment

Unemployment

Acces clean source of water

Overcrowling

Housing Materials

Improved Sanitation

Heating

Youth NEET

Years of Schooling

Lack Medical Insurance

Acces Medical Care

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

0.1

10.3

7.6

4.2

2.6

2.7

1.7

5.0

0.4

0.8

8.2

0.8

28.8

18.3

11.1

31.2

31.2

8.1

6.2

18.4

3.0

26.2

0.3

30.9

24.1

12.0

29.4

31.0

8.1

5.3

13.5

3.6

19.6

0.4

26.6

22.8

10.8

28.3

29.9

10.3

6.0

7.8

3.0

16.5

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0

Acces Medical Care

Lack Medical Insurance

Years of Schooling

Youth NEET

Heating

Improved Sanitation

Housing Materials

Overcrowling

Acces clean source of water

Unemployment

Decent employment

Censored Headcount Ratio, by statistical regions, 2022

South Centre North mun.Chisinau

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

0.5

27.4

20.3

10.0

25.8 26.7

7.5

6.3

11.8

2.9

20.6

0.3

22.4

16.8

9.4

21.4 22.2

6.6

5.1

9.9

2.5

16.1

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

Censored Headcount Ratio, by sex, 2022

Men Women

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

0.6

31.3

26.6

16.1

29.7

30.6

10.1

12.2

12.3

3.5

22.0

0.4

32.7

23.7

15.9

28.3

29.5

8.7

8.3

14.2

3.3

23.1

0.3

28.1

23.2

9.0

25.7

26.2

8.3

7.4

10.3

3.2

21.1

0.4

34.8

26.0

17.6

33.9

35.3

10.0

5.8

15.4

4.1

26.1

0.3

26.1

14.4

4.1

25.4

26.4

5.9

1.3

14.0

2.5

20.5

0.4

6.2

4.4

0.9

6.6

6.8

1.9

0.6

2.9

0.7

4.6

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0

Acces Medical Care

Lack Medical Insurance

Years of Schooling

Youth NEET

Heating

Improved Sanitation

Housing Materials

Overcrowling

Acces clean source of water

Unemployment

Decent employment

Censored Headcount Ratio, by age groups, 2022

60+ years 50 - 59 years 40 - 49 years 30 - 39 years 18 - 29 years 0 - 17 years

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

0.6

31.2

25.8

16.4

29.8 30.7

9.6

11.4 12.5

3.6

22.2

0.2

18.8

11.7

3.6

17.7 18.4

4.7

0.4

9.1

1.9

14.6

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Censored Headcount Ratio, by type of household, 2022

Households with children Households without children

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

0.7

25.2

18.4

16.0

26.3 26.8

6.0

4.3

12.1

3.9

18.1

0.6

29.7

24.1

13.3

27.0 28.5

8.7 10.1

12.2

3.1

22.0

0.6

45.4

43.0

24.2

42.4 42.8

18.3

27.2

14.3

4.0

29.9

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

Acces Medical Care

Lack Medical Insurance

Years of Schooling Youth NEET Heating Improved Sanitation

Housing Materials Overcrowling Acces clean source of water

Unemployment Decent employment

Censored Headcount Ratio, by number of children, 2022

Households with 1 child Households with 2 children Households with 3+ children

Monetary poor 19,4% MPI poor 15,8%

Non-poor 53,0%

11,7%

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations Overlaps between National Monetary and Multidimensional Poverty Rates

Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations

31.1

17.1

40.3

10.0

30.5

37.0

49.0

27.5

12.3

37.6

10.4

33.8 33.2

30.4

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

Total Urban Rural mun.Chisinau North Centre South

Monetary poor vs Multidimensional poor

Monetary poor Multidimensional poor

Absolute poverty rate and Incidence of multidimensional poverty by areas and statistical regions, 2022

Next steps

• Approval of the MPI methodology – 11.2023

• Completion of the Analytical Report on the Multidimensional Poverty Index of Moldova for 2022 – 12.2023

• Public presentation of MPI – 01.2024 ???

• Inclusion of MPI in the list of indicators for monitoring the SDG target 1.2 and in regular SDG reporting – 2023

THANK YOU!

СПАСИБО ЗА ВНИМАНИЕ!

MULȚUMESC!

  • Slide 1
  • Slide 2: Data source – Household Budget Survey
  • Slide 3
  • Slide 4:
  • Slide 5: Moldova National MPI (Dimensions, Indicators and Weights)
  • Slide 6: Moldova National MPI disaggregation
  • Slide 7: Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations
  • Slide 8: Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations
  • Slide 9: Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations
  • Slide 10: Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations
  • Slide 11: Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations
  • Slide 12: Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations
  • Slide 13: Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations
  • Slide 14: Moldova National MPI, experimental calculations
  • Slide 15
  • Slide 16
  • Slide 17
  • Slide 18
Russian

Индекс многомерной бедности в Республике Молдова

Светлана Фуртуна, Национальное бюро статистики Республики Молдова

Семинар по гармонизации статистики бедности для измерения ЦУР 1 и 10

Женева, Швейцария, 27 ноября 2023 г.

Источник данных – Обследование бюджетов домашних хозяйств Основные цели ОБДХ

i) показатели уровня жизни,

ii) структура расходов и доходов,

iii) веса для Индекса потребительских цен

iv) различные оценки для Национальных счетов.

Размер выборки – 1051 домохозяйство в месяц;

✓ Метод сбора данных:

- интервью на бумажном носителе (интервью face to face и

самозапись в дневнике)

✓ Инструменты обследования:

- Опросник домохозяйств: социально-демографические характеристики, образование, занятость, жилье, земля и т. д..

- Дневник домохозяйств: доходы, расходы (денежные и в натуральной форме)

- Листок участия: причины неответов и ключевые переменные, касающиеся нереспондента

Определение Национального ИМБ (пользователями & “бедными”)

Межведомственный семинар

Цель: экспериментальные оценки индексов AROPE & MPI / метод Алкайра Фостера

Результат: измерение бедности в сравнении с национальной политикой

Качественное исследование & коллективный ум

Цель: бедность от «бедных» ** 15 фокус-групп по «лидерам мнений», 124 участника - мигранты, пожилые, молодые безработные, ВИЧ-СПИД, цыгане, женщины с детьми, люди с хроническими заболеваниями

Результат: 68 вопросов / проблем «бедных»

Декабрь 2016

Май-Июль 2017

Ноябрь 2017

Июнь-Июль 2018

2020-2021 Июнь 2022 2023

Количеcтвенное обследование

Цель: приоритизация областей бедности населением

Результат: распределение бедности & проблемы депривации по областям на уровне коммун и индивидуальном

Семинар высокого уровня

Цель: представление всем государственным заинтересованным сторонам результатов экспериментального ИМБ и проекта методологии Н-ИМБ

Результат: завершение разработки методологии Н-ИМБ

Консультация с лицами, принимающими решения

Цель: определение измерений для областей бедности от «бедных» Результат: 68 вопросов бедности и лишений расставлены по приоритетам и сгруппированы по 10 социально- экономическим областям; предложены показатели для их измерения

Разработка методологии ИМБ Цель: экспериментальные расчеты с использованием областей, показателей, весов, порогов. Создание профилей депривации для каждого человека/домохозяйства Результат: экспериментальный ИМБ с использованием доступных показателей рассчитанных по методу Алкайра Фостера

Moldova MPI 2022 Analytical Report development

Цель: анализ ключевых показателей национального ИМБ, выводы и рекомендации

Результат: публичная презентация MPI

Обоснование

sУвеличить доступ к медицинским услугам (улучшить качество и т.д.)

ЗАКОН № 263/2005 о правах и обязанностях пациента направлен на укрепление основных прав человека в системе здравоохранения

sСодействовать образованию взрослых на протяжении всей жизни

sУлучшить спрос на профессиональные навыки, соответствие образования и рынка труда, доступ молодежи к обучению, рынок труда (участие, занятость) и качество занятости (зарплата, формальное участие)

Кодекс об образовании Республики Молдова №152 от 17.07.2014 г.

sПродвигать чистую энергию, чтобы облегчить доступ к адекватному отоплению sОблегчить и обеспечить доступ к общественной канализационной системе sДать возможность домохозяй- ствам жить в достойных жилищных условиях sДать возможность домохозяй- ствам жить в доме без сильной перенаселенности sОблегчить и обеспечить доступ к водопроводной воде внутри дома

ЗАКОН № 303/2013 о коммунальном водоснабжении и канализации

sУлучшить доступ к рынкам труда (участие, занятость) и качество занятости (зарплата, формальное участие)

sПовысить качество занятости за счет улучшения статуса занятости и решения проблемы неофициальной занятости

ЗАКОН № 105/2018 о содействии занятости населения и страховании по безработице

ПРОГРАММА ПРАВИТЕЛЬСТВЕННОЙ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТИ «Процветающая, безопасная, европейская Молдова»

Национальный план «Построение европейской Молдовы», 20 действий правительства

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы (Области, Показатели и Весы)

4 о

б л

ас ти

б ед

н о

ст и

Здоровье (1/4) 1. Доступ к медицинским услугам (1/8) 3

2. Отсутствие медицинской страховки (1/8) 3

Образование (1/4) 3. Годы обучения (1/8) 3

4. Молодежь NEET (не охваченная образованием, обучением и трудоустройством) (1/8)

4 и 8

Уровень жизни (1/4)

5. Отопление (1/20) 10

6. Улучшенная канализация (1/20) 6

7. Жилье (1/20) 10

8. Перенаселенность (1/20) 10

9. Водоснабжение (1/20) 6

Занятость (1/4)

10. Безработица (1/8) 8

11. Достойный труд (1/8) 8

Области и Весы Показатели и Весы Область

ЦУР

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, дезагрегация

Место жительства

(город, село)

Статистические регионы

(Север, Центр, Юг, мун. Кишинев)

Пол человека

(мужчины, женщины)

Возрастные группы (0–17 лет; 18–29 лет; 30–39 лет; 40–49 лет; 50–59 лет; 60+ лет)

Тип домохозяйства с детьми (1 ребёнок, 2 ребёнка, 3+ ребёнка)

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

Распространенность и интенсивность многомерной бедности по районам и статистическим регионам

Порог бедности (k) Индекс Значение

k-value=35%

Распространенность (H), % 27,5

Интенсивность (A), % 46,5

ИМБ (M0 = H*A) 0,1281

27.5

12.3

37.6

10.4

33.8 33.2

30.4

46.5

42.4

47.4

43.6

46.7 47.2 46.4

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

Total Urban Rural mun.Chisinau North Centre South

Распространенность и интенсивность многомерной бедности по районам и статистическим регионам, %

Распространенность Интенсивность

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

0.4

24.7

18.4

9.7

23.4 24.2

7.0

5.6

10.7

2.7

18.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

Национальные цензурированные коэффициенты, 2022

0.42

24.09

17.94

9.44

9.15

9.46

2.75 2.20

4.19

2.62

17.75

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Total

Доля в процентах, 2022

Decent employment

Unemployment

Acces clean source of water

Overcrowling

Housing Materials

Improved Sanitation

Heating

Youth NEET

Years of Schooling

Lack Medical Insurance

Acces Medical Care

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

0.1

10.3

7.6

4.2

2.6

2.7

1.7

5.0

0.4

0.8

8.2

0.8

28.8

18.3

11.1

31.2

31.2

8.1

6.2

18.4

3.0

26.2

0.3

30.9

24.1

12.0

29.4

31.0

8.1

5.3

13.5

3.6

19.6

0.4

26.6

22.8

10.8

28.3

29.9

10.3

6.0

7.8

3.0

16.5

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0

Acces Medical Care

Lack Medical Insurance

Years of Schooling

Youth NEET

Heating

Improved Sanitation

Housing Materials

Overcrowling

Acces clean source of water

Unemployment

Decent employment

Цензурированные коэффициенты, по статистическим регионам, 2022

South Centre North mun.Chisinau

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

0.5

27.4

20.3

10.0

25.8 26.7

7.5

6.3

11.8

2.9

20.6

0.3

22.4

16.8

9.4

21.4 22.2

6.6

5.1

9.9

2.5

16.1

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

Цензурированные коэффициенты, по полу, 2022

Men Women

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

0.6

31.3

26.6

16.1

29.7

30.6

10.1

12.2

12.3

3.5

22.0

0.4

32.7

23.7

15.9

28.3

29.5

8.7

8.3

14.2

3.3

23.1

0.3

28.1

23.2

9.0

25.7

26.2

8.3

7.4

10.3

3.2

21.1

0.4

34.8

26.0

17.6

33.9

35.3

10.0

5.8

15.4

4.1

26.1

0.3

26.1

14.4

4.1

25.4

26.4

5.9

1.3

14.0

2.5

20.5

0.4

6.2

4.4

0.9

6.6

6.8

1.9

0.6

2.9

0.7

4.6

0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0

Acces Medical Care

Lack Medical Insurance

Years of Schooling

Youth NEET

Heating

Improved Sanitation

Housing Materials

Overcrowling

Acces clean source of water

Unemployment

Decent employment

Цензурированные коэффициенты, по возрастным группам, 2022

60+ years 50 - 59 years 40 - 49 years 30 - 39 years 18 - 29 years 0 - 17 years

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

0.6

31.2

25.8

16.4

29.8 30.7

9.6

11.4 12.5

3.6

22.2

0.2

18.8

11.7

3.6

17.7 18.4

4.7

0.4

9.1

1.9

14.6

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Цензурированные коэффициенты, по типу домохозяйства, 2022

Households with children Households without children

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

0.7

25.2

18.4

16.0

26.3 26.8

6.0

4.3

12.1

3.9

18.1

0.6

29.7

24.1

13.3

27.0 28.5

8.7 10.1

12.2

3.1

22.0

0.6

45.4

43.0

24.2

42.4 42.8

18.3

27.2

14.3

4.0

29.9

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

Acces Medical Care

Lack Medical Insurance

Years of Schooling Youth NEET Heating Improved Sanitation

Housing Materials Overcrowling Acces clean source of water

Unemployment Decent employment

Цензурированные коэффициенты, по количеству детей, 2022

Households with 1 child Households with 2 children Households with 3+ children

Monetary poor 19,4% MPI poor 15,8%

Non-poor 53,0%

11,7%

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты Пересечение между Национальным монетарным уровнем и уровнем Многомерной бедности

Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты

31.1

17.1

40.3

10.0

30.5

37.0

49.0

27.5

12.3

37.6

10.4

33.8 33.2

30.4

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

Total Urban Rural mun.Chisinau North Centre South

Денежная бедность против Многомерной бедности

Monetary poor Multidimensional poor

Уровень абсолютной бедности и распространенность многомерной бедности по месту жительства и статистическим регионам, 2022

Следующие шаги

• Утверждение методологии ИМБ – 11.2023

• Завершение Аналитического отчет по Индексу многомерной бедности Молдовы за 2022 год – 12.2023

• Публичная презентация ИМБ – 01.2024 ???

• Включение ИМБ в перечень показателей для мониторинга цели 1.2 ЦУР и в регулярную отчетность по ЦУР – 2023

THANK YOU!

СПАСИБО ЗА ВНИМАНИЕ!

MULȚUMESC!

  • Slide 1
  • Slide 2: Источник данных – Обследование бюджетов домашних хозяйств
  • Slide 3
  • Slide 4:
  • Slide 5: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы (Области, Показатели и Весы)
  • Slide 6: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, дезагрегация
  • Slide 7: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты
  • Slide 8: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты
  • Slide 9: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты
  • Slide 10: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты
  • Slide 11: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты
  • Slide 12: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты
  • Slide 13: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты
  • Slide 14: Национальный ИМБ Молдовы, экспериментальные расчеты
  • Slide 15
  • Slide 16
  • Slide 17
  • Slide 18

Multidimensional Poverty Index in the Republic of Moldova, Svetlana Furtuna (Republic of Moldova)

The main purpose of the presentation is to show the main steps to design and compute the multidimensional poverty index (MPI) for the Republic of Moldova. It shows how the Moldova MPI was conceptualized and constructed using the Household Budget Survey (HBS) collected by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The Moldovan MPI is based on the Alkire-Foster method and provides another powerful tool in NBS efforts to measure poverty and deprivations in the country.

Languages and translations
English

United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

Palais des Nations, 1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland

UNITED NATIONS

ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE

CONFERENCE OF EUROPEAN STATISTICIANS

Group of Experts on Measuring Poverty and Inequality

28-29 November 2023

Workshop on Harmonization of Poverty Statistics to

Measure SDG 1 and 10

27 November 2023

Title of contribution Multidimensional Poverty Index in the Republic of Moldova

Author Name(s) Svetlana Furtuna

Presenter Name Svetlana Furtuna

Presenter Organization National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova

Presenter’s email [email protected]

Topic Multidimensional Poverty Index

Summary:

The main purpose of the presentation is to show the main steps to design and compute the

multidimensional poverty index (MPI) for the Republic of Moldova. It shows how the Moldova MPI was

conceptualized and constructed using the Household Budget Survey (HBS) collected by the National

Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The Moldovan MPI is based on the Alkire-Foster method and provides another

powerful tool in NBS efforts to measure poverty and deprivations in the country.

In 2017, the NBS of the Republic of Moldova and UNDP Moldova began the design and computation

process of a national measure of multidimensional poverty to supplement the consumption poverty

indicator already existing in the country. This measure (national MPI for Moldova) which was the results

of consultations with many stakeholders in Moldova, reflects deprivations specific to the Moldova´s

context in areas related to health, education, living conditions and occupation. The measure of

multidimensional poverty offers insights into the complexity, depth, and persistence of poverty in the

country; tailoring the multidimensional poverty measure to the country context enhances its relevance for

policy.

The national MPI for Moldova is a joint product of the NBS, UNDP Moldova and the Oxford Poverty and

Human Development Initiative (OPHI), with the support and input from relevant stakeholders.

Please select your preferred contribution (you may select both options):

☒ Presentation

☐ Paper (to be submitted by 20 October)

EVAL_E264ToR_Oct2023

TERMS OF REFERENCE, Project Evaluation, October 2023
E264: Enhancing coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts

Languages and translations
English

1

TERMS OF REFERENCE

E264: Enhancing coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts

I. Purpose The purpose of this evaluation is to assess the extent to which the objectives of the UNECE project E264 “Enhancing coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts” were achieved.

The evaluation will assess the relevance, effectiveness, efficiency and sustainability of the project.

The evaluation will also assess any impacts the project may have had on progressing human rights, gender equality, disability inclusion, climate change and disaster risk reduction in the context of this engagement. The evaluation will finally look at the activities repurposed to address the impact of the COVID-19 crisis, and assess, to the extent possible, UNECE’s COVID-19 early response through this project.

II. Background The project aimed at increasing the capacity of countries in Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia in compiling national accounts and supporting statistics according to the recommendations of international statistical standards. The activities of the project included the following four modules:

1) Methods and compilation techniques for implementation of the 2008 SNA and supporting economic statistics.

2) Price statistics - development of price indices and deflators for national accounts aggregates. 3) Statistical business registers - improving coverage and accuracy of national statistical business

registers. 4) Expanding the use of household surveys for the estimates of the informal sector and

remittances.

The activities were carried out in cooperation with other international and regional partners, including CIS-STAT, EFTA, Eurostat, ILO, IMF, OECD and World Bank.

III. Evaluation objectives, scope and questions The evaluation will be guided by the objectives, indicators of achievement and means of verification established in the logical framework of the project document. The evaluation will be conducted in Q3 of 2023. It will cover the full implementation of the project, from June 2017 to June 2023 in Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and Uzbekistan)

The final evaluation of the project has the following specific objectives:

• Determine as systematically and objectively as possible the relevance, effectiveness, efficiency and sustainability of the project results in light of its goals and objectives.

• Assess how the project activities contributed to gender equality and women’ s empowerment, as well as the realization of human rights, with an emphasis on ‘leaving no one behind’ and, if needed, it will make recommendations on how these considerations can be better addressed in future activities of the subprogramme.

• Identify good practices and lessons learned from the project and formulate action-oriented, forward-looking recommendations addressed to the subprogramme for improving future interventions.

2

The evaluation criteria are relevance, effectiveness, efficiency and sustainability.

Relevance 1. To what extent was the project design appropriate for meeting the needs of beneficiary

countries? 2. To what extent did the project respond to the priorities and needs of national statistical offices

in beneficiary countries? How relevant were the project activities to the countries’ needs and priorities?

3. To what extent was the project aligned with the SDGs? 4. What takeaways are there for ensuring relevance of future projects of UNEE Statistical

Division? 5. To what extent were gender, human rights and disability perspectives integrated into the design

and implementation of the project? What results can be identified from these actions? How can gender and human rights perspectives be better included in future projects design and implementation?

Effectiveness

6. To what extent were the project objectives and expected results achieved? 7. To what extent did the project improve the competencies of national statistical offices in the

beneficiary countries to produce and use macroeconomic statistics in their countries? 8. To what extent are the project activities coherent and harmonized with those of other partners

operating within the same context, particularly those of other UN system entities? 9. What were the challenges/obstacles (including COVID-19 and sub-regional instability) to

achieving the expected results? How successfully did the project overcome these? 10. What (if anything) has prevented the project from achieving the desired results?

Efficiency

11. Were the resources adequate for achieving the results? 12. Were the results achieved on time and were all activities organized efficiently? 13. To what extent were the resources used economically and how could the use of resources be

improved? Sustainability

14. What measures were adopted to ensure that project outcomes would continue after the project ended and to what extent have these measures addressed the existing risks for sustainability?

15. To what extent do the partners and beneficiaries ‘own’ the outcomes of the work? How is the stakeholders’ engagement likely to continue, be scaled up, replicated, or institutionalized?

IV. Evaluation approach and methodology The evaluation will be conducted in accordance with: the ECE Evaluation Policy1; the Administrative instruction guiding Evaluation in the UN Secretariat 2; and the United Nations Evaluation Group (UNEG) Norms and Standards for Evaluation3. Human rights and gender equality considerations will be integrated at all stages of the evaluation4: (i) in the evaluation scope and questions; (ii) in the methods, tools and data analysis techniques; (iii) in the findings, conclusions and recommendations of the final report. The evaluator will explicitly explain how human rights, gender, disability, SDGs, and climate change considerations will be taken into account during the evaluation.

1 UNECE Evaluation policy 2 ST/AI/2021/3 3 UNEG 2016 Norms and Standards for Evaluation 4 In line with UNEG Guidance contained in Integrating Human Rights and Gender Equality in Evaluations

3

The evaluator is required to use a mixed-method approach, including qualitative as well as quantitative data gathering and analysis as the basis for a triangulation exercise of all available data to draw conclusions and findings.

The evaluation should be conducted based on the following mixed methods to triangulate information:

1. A desk review of all relevant documents, including the project document and information on project activities (monitoring data); materials developed in support of the activities (agendas, plans, participant lists, background documents, donor reports and publications); Proposed programme budgets covering the evaluation period; project reports to the donor.

2. Online survey of key stakeholders and beneficiaries: the survey will be developed by the consultant on her/his preferred platform.

3. Interviews (in-person and/or by telephone/video): the evaluator shall interview a wide range of diverse stakeholders and beneficiaries.

4. Remote observation of virtual workshops and meetings, including recordings of meetings.

The evaluator will further elaborate on the evaluation methodology in the Inception Report that will among others include the survey questions and whether any of the 12 countries will be selected for an in-depth assessment. The evaluation report will be written in English, will consist of approximately 30 pages and will include an executive summary (max. 2 pages) describing the evaluation methodology, key findings, conclusions and recommendations. The evaluator will also produce an Evaluation Brief summarizing key evaluation findings, lessons learned and recommendations, including through images and infographics.

V. Evaluation schedule5 May 2023 ToR finalized June 2023 Evaluator selected June 2023 Contract signed. Evaluator starts the desk review July 2023 Evaluator submits inception report including survey design August 2023 Launch of data gathering, including survey and interviews September 2023 Evaluator submits draft evaluation report and evaluation brief October 2023 Evaluator submits final evaluation report and evaluation brief

VI. Resources and Management of the evaluation An independent consultant will be engaged to conduct the evaluation under the management of the PMU. Payment will be made upon satisfactory delivery of work. The Programme Management Unit (PMU) will manage the evaluation and will be involved in the following steps: Selection of the evaluator; Preparation and clearance of the Terms of Reference; Provision of guidance to the Project Manager and evaluator as needed on the evaluation design and methodology; Clearance of the final report after quality assurance of the draft report. The Project Manager, in consultation with the Division Director, will be involved in the following steps: Provide all documentation needed for desk review, contact details, support and guidance to the evaluation consultant as needed throughout the timeline of the evaluation; Advise the evaluator on the recipients for the questionnaire and for follow-up interviews; Process and manage the consultancy contract of the evaluator, along the key milestones agreed with PMU.

5 Final timetable to be agreed following engagement of the evaluator

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VII. Intended use / Next steps The results of the evaluation will be used in the planning and implementation of future activities of the UNECE Economic Cooperation and Integration Subprogramme. Findings of this evaluation will be used when possible to:

• improve direct project’s follow up actions, implementation of products by project beneficiaries and dissemination of the knowledge created through the project;

• assess the gaps and further needs of countries in the area of this project; • formulate tailored capacity building projects to strengthen the national capacity in enhancing

innovation. The results of the evaluation will be reported to the Conference of European Statisticians Following the issuance of the final report, the Project Manager will develop a Management Response for addressing the recommendations made by the evaluator. The final evaluation report, the management response and the progress on implementation of recommendations will be publicly available on the UNECE website.

VIII. Criteria for evaluators The evaluator should have:

1. An advanced university degree or equivalent background in relevant disciplines. 2. Knowledge of and experience in working on data and statistics; knowledge of and experience in

economic statistics desirable. 3. Relevant professional experience in design and management of evaluation processes with multiple

stakeholders, survey design and implementation, project planning, monitoring and management, gender mainstreaming and human-rights due diligence.

4. Demonstrated methodological knowledge of evaluations, including quantitative and qualitative data collection and analysis for end-of-cycle project evaluations, including demonstrated experience in conducting questionnaires and interviews.

5. Fluency in written and spoken English.

Evaluators should declare any conflict of interest to UNECE before embarking on an evaluation project, and at any point where such conflict occurs.

  • I. Purpose
  • II. Background
  • III. Evaluation objectives, scope and questions
    • Relevance
    • Effectiveness
    • Efficiency
    • Sustainability
  • IV. Evaluation approach and methodology
  • V. Evaluation schedule4F
  • VI. Resources and Management of the evaluation
  • VII. Intended use / Next steps
  • VIII. Criteria for evaluators

EVAL-E264_EvalBrief_Oct24

Evaluation Brief of the project E 264

Enhancing coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts (SNA)
UNECE PROJECT E264 – 2017-2023

Languages and translations
English

EVALUATION BRIEF

Enhancing coherence and integration of

economic and social statistics in support of

the implementation of 2008 System of

National Accounts (SNA)

UNECE PROJECT E264 – 2017-2023

BACKGROUND

Since 2010, the UNECE has been actively working to support the implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts and supporting statistics in countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus, and Central Asia (EECCA). This project was intended to enable the UNECE in carrying out its mandate to support its implementation in the region and build on the activities and progress achieved since 2010. The project was part of the ECASTAT regional trust fund established by the World Bank for assisting countries to improve their statistical systems. The work on the project was guided by the Steering Group on National Accounts. METHODOLOGY The evaluation was conducted using a mixed- method approach to assess whether the planned objectives were met and to assess their relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, and sustainability. Cross-cutting issues such as human rights and gender equality were considered at all stages of the evaluation. The review consisted of a desk review of over 75 available project documents, analysis of the results from the two on-line surveys designed for the purpose of this evaluation and in-depth interviews with key stakeholders/partners to gather more information and assessment of results. Key findings were triangulated and presented in line with the questions contained in the Evaluation Matrix. FINDINGS

The evaluation determined that the project was fully relevant to the objective of the UNECE to increase the capacity of target countries in compiling national accounts and supporting statistics according to the recommendations of the 2008 SNA and other relevant international standards by focusing on the outstanding

priorities identified by the countries. The needs of the countries formed the basis of regional workshops and special sessions designed to address their specific issues or challenges.

The evaluation determined that the project was effective by deploying both traditional and innovative methods to ensure that the objectives and results were achieved. The project consisted of four-interrelated modules with the goal to enhance coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of 2008 SNA. All activities were completed, and additional ones added with the project extension.

The most significant challenge the project faced was the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. All planned results for 2020 were delayed and had to be realigned. The UNECE quickly adapted to the new global reality and implemented the use of online/virtual meetings to continue the momentum of the project during unprecedented times.

The evaluation determined that the project efficiently achieved its objectives within the allocated budget and adjusted timeframe. The savings associated with the new way of doing business (described above) and the UNECE’s ability to draw on established partnerships to obtain additional resources through in-kind or financial contributions, extended the project to the benefit of the targeted countries. A no-cost extension (granted from 2020-2023) expanded the scope of the project to address outstanding issues, identified by the EECCA countries, resulting from the pandemic.

The benefits of the project will continue after its completion although there will be some challenges. By nature of their mandates, the UNECE Statistical Division and the Steering Group on National Accounts are committed to maintaining and progressing the work undertaken during the project. For the EECCA countries, lack of funding, insufficient experienced staff, staff turnover and limited technical capabilities are likely to be a significant challenge in sustaining the work.

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CONCLUSIONS

The evaluation has determined that the project met is overall aim and achieved its stated objectives. However, the following limitations were identified and should be considered in future action plans. All UNECE work is designed to be as inclusive as possible, however the human rights dimension is a difficult aspect to cover. The human rights dimension was not incorporated in the project proposal and the project outcomes make no explicit reference to human rights. It was evident through the evaluation that women and youth were involved in the project activities and in the evaluation process. However, no gender consideration was recorded in the project’s proposal and no indicator established. It was difficult to determine whether the knowledge and expertise of the staff in national statistical offices improved and/or their capacity to implement standards and recommendations in practice increased. To properly assess these elements could only be achieved through an in-depth country peer review or an update to the Global Assessments. This was not done as part of this evaluation.

RECOMMENDATIONS

In the spirit of continuous learning and based on the findings and good practices identified throughout evaluation, a series of recommendations are intended to help improve future UNECE projects.

1. The global pandemic forced the UNECE to rethink the way it conducted business to ensure continuity of the project. These innovative solutions introduced good practices that should be continued. The UNECE is encouraged to use a hybrid model when organizing its meetings, workshops, and regional sessions in the future. The

introduction of short webinars and the video capture of in-person sessions provided additional learning opportunities. A combination of face-to-face activities and virtual offerings reaches a broader group of people. Using appropriate and tested technologies that accommodates everyone’s participation is encouraged.

2. To properly assess the degree to which the knowledge and expertise of the staff in the national statistical offices of EECCA countries improved and/or their capacity to implement standards and recommendations increased, an in-depth country peer review or update to the Global Assessments should be conducted.

3. Continued sharing of experience and lessons

learned is critical to the ongoing improvement of the statistical system in the beneficiary countries. EECCA participation in the Expert Group meetings is encouraged and where possible regional workshops or special sessions would continue to offer continuous growth and learning.

4. To ensure sustainability, future activities

should continue to be linked to the work programme of the UNECE Statistical Division. Although the budget of the UNECE Statistical Division is limited, it is encouraged to use its exceptional collaboration and outreach skills to secure additional funding from key project stakeholders, be it in-kind or financial resources to expand the scope of its work.

5. For gender and human rights perspectives to

be better included in future projects, there should be an explicit objective built into the project design that can be monitored and evaluated during and at the end of the project. Expertise in gender quality, disability inclusion, environment and or human rights should be sought in the development of these objectives and with the evaluation process.

EVAL_E264-EvaluationReport

UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE - PROJECT E264
ENHANCING COHERENCE AND INTEGRATION OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL STATISTICS IN SUPPORT OF
THE IMPLEMENTATION OF 2008 SYSTEM OF NATIONAL ACCOUNTS (SNA)
2017-2020 (EXTENSION FOR 2021-2023)
EVALUATION REPORT
Period of evaluation: July – October 2023
Evaluator: Constance Graziadei
Evaluation commissioned by United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

Languages and translations
English

UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE - PROJECT E264

ENHANCING COHERENCE AND INTEGRATION OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL STATISTICS IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF 2008 SYSTEM OF NATIONAL ACCOUNTS (SNA)

2017-2020 (EXTENSION FOR 2021-2023)

EVALUATION REPORT

Period of evaluation: July – October 2023

Evaluator: Constance Graziadei

Evaluation commissioned by United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

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EVALUATION REPORT

The Evaluation report compiled by Constance Graziadei evaluates the UNECE project “Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics in Support of the Implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts” implemented from 2017-2023.

The views and interpretations are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE).

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

Ms. Graziadei would like to thank all who contributed to successful completion of this evaluation: to the UNECE Statistical Division who provided access to all the project documentation and support to the process, to all who responded to the two online surveys and to those who generously gave their time to be interviewed. Your contributions are truly appreciated.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ........................................................................................................................ 5

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................................... 6

1.0 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................................... 9

1.1 PURPOSE OF THE EVALUATION .................................................................................................................. 10 1.2 OBJECTIVES OF THE EVALUATION .............................................................................................................. 10 1.3 SCOPE OF THE EVALUATION ....................................................................................................................... 10 1.4 EVALUATION METHODOLOGY ................................................................................................................... 11

2.0 FINDINGS ................................................................................................................................................ 12

2.1 RELEVANCE ................................................................................................................................................. 12 Figure 1: Evaluation of the UNECE Project on Economic and Social Statistics ................................................. 13

2.2 EFFECTIVENESS ........................................................................................................................................... 15 2.3 EFFICIENCY .................................................................................................................................................. 17

Table 1: Budget Allocation ................................................................................................................................. 17 Table 2: Initial Project Allocation of Funds and expenditures per module (2017-2020) .................................. 18 Table 3: Budget Allocation for 2021-2023 ......................................................................................................... 18

2.4 SUSTAINABILITY ......................................................................................................................................... 19 Figure 2: Evaluation Survey – Evaluation of the UNECE Project on Economic and Social Statistics ................ 20

2.5 GENDER AND HUMAN RIGHTS CONSIDERATIONS ..................................................................................... 21

3.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS .............................................................................................. 22

3.1 CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................................................................ 22 3.2 RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................................................................................. 23

4.0 ANNEXES ................................................................................................................................................. 24

4.1 TERMS OF REFERENCE FOR THE EVALUATION ........................................................................................... 24 4.2 ONLINE SURVEY QUESTIONNAIRE – BENEFICIARY COUNTRIES ................................................................. 28 4.3 ONLINE SURVEY RESULTS – BENEFICIARY COUNTRIES .............................................................................. 30 4.4 ONLINE SURVEY QUESTIONNAIRE – STAKEHOLDERS/PARTNERS ............................................................. 36 4.5 INTERVIEW GUIDE – KEY STAKEHOLDERS .................................................................................................. 38 4.6 LIST OF PROJECT ACTIVITIES BY MODULE .................................................................................................. 39 4.7 STAKEHOLDERS INVITED FOR IN-DEPTH INTERVIEW ................................................................................. 41 4.8 LIST OF DOCUMENTS REVIEWED ................................................................................................................ 42

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ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

CES Conference of European Statisticians

CIS Commonwealth of Independent States

ECASTAT European and Central Asian Statistics

EECCA Eastern Europe, Caucasus, and Central Asia

EFTA European Free Trade Association

ILO International Labour Association

IMF International Monetary Fund

NSO National Statistical Office

OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

ROSSTAT Russian Federal State Statistical System

SBR Statistical Business Registers

SNA System of National Accounts

SEE South East Europe

SDGs Sustainable Development Goals

UNECE United Nations Economic Commission for Europe

UNESCAP United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific

UNSC United Nations Statistical Commission

UNSD United Nations Statistical Division

WB World Bank

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of this evaluation is to assess the extent to which the objectives of the UNECE Project “Enhancing coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of 2008 SNA” were achieved. This evaluation assessed the relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, and sustainability of the project considering its stated goals and objectives.

The evaluation also attempted to assess how the project’s activities contributed to gender equality and women’s empowerment as well as the realization of human rights. The evaluation considered good practices and lessons learned from the project to formulate recommendations aimed at improving future projects.

The evaluation was carried out through a desk review of all relevant project documentation, analysis of the results of two on-line surveys designed for the purpose of this evaluation and in-depth interviews with key project stakeholders/partners.

The evaluation determined that the project was fully relevant to the objective of the UNECE to increase the capacity of target countries 1 in compiling national accounts and supporting statistics according to the recommendations of the 2008 SNA and other relevant international standards by focusing on the outstanding priority areas identified by the countries. These priority areas were derived from the Global Assessments of countries in the EECCA region, which was jointly carried out by the UNECE, Eurostat and EFTA as well as the regional and national plans for implementation of the 2008 SNA. The project work was guided by the UNECE Steering Group on National Accounts. The project built on the activities and progress achieved in the work to support the implementation of the 2008 SNA and supporting economic statistics in the EECCA region, prior to its inception. Throughout the project, the needs and priorities of the EECCA countries formed the basis of regional workshops and special sessions designed to address their specific issues or challenges.

The most significant challenge to achieving the expected results on time was the onset of the global pandemic in early 2020. All planned activities for 2020 were delayed and had to realigned. The UNECE quickly adapted to the new global reality and implemented the use of online/virtual meetings in order to complete the planned activities. Face-to-face meetings were replaced with online sessions and adjustments were made to accommodate the new way of conducting the project (i.e. shorter sessions over many days). A dedicated wiki page was created to share the results of the activities.

The evaluation determined that the project was effective deploying both traditional and innovative methods to ensure the objectives and results were achieved. The project consisted of four inter-related modules with the goal to enhance coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of the 2008 SNA. Each module had specific objectives with activities designed to achieve the objectives. All the activities were completed, and additional activities were added with the project extension.

The evaluation determined that the project efficiently achieved its objectives within the allocated budget and adjusted timeframe. As mentioned above, the UNECE introduced virtual meetings to continue the momentum of the project during unprecedented challenges. The savings associated with the new way of doing business and its ability to draw on established partnerships to obtain additional resources through in-kind or financial contributions extended the project to the benefit of the targeted countries. The no-cost extension expanded the scope of the project to address outstanding issues, identified by EECCA countries, resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic. The use of virtual meeting platforms granted a broader access allowing additional stakeholders and partners to participate. This included not only experts from national statistical offices but from their central banks and ministries of finance.

1 The target countries for the project were the 12 EECCA countries of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan

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There were limitations to the evaluation. Although all UNECE work is designed to be as inclusive as possible, the human rights dimension is a difficult aspect to cover. The human rights dimension was not incorporated in the project proposal and the project outcomes make no explicit reference to the human rights. No gender consideration was recorded in the project’s proposal and no indicator established.

In addition, to properly assess whether the knowledge and expertise of the staff in the national statistical offices of EECCA countries improved and/or their capacity to implement standards and recommendations in practice could only be achieved through an in-depth country peer review or update to the Global Assessments. This was not done as part of this evaluation.

The benefits of the project will continue after its completion although there will be some challenges. The UNECE has a mandate to support the implementation of 2008 SNA and supporting economics statistics in the EECA region. The Steering Group on National Accounts, established by the Bureau of the Conference of European Statisticians guides the work of the UNECE Statistical Division in the area of national accounts and supporting economic statistics, including activities to support and monitor the implementation of the 2008 SNA in the EECCA and to advise on the provision of methodological recommendations, training and other capacity building activities on national accounts. Country representatives from the EECCA are members of the Steering Group. By nature of their mandates these partners/stakeholders are committed to maintaining and progressing the work undertaken during the project.

Continued sharing of experiences and lessons learned is critical to the ongoing improvement of the statistical system in the beneficiary countries. EECCA participation in the Expert Group meetings is encouraged and where possible special regional workshops would continue to offer continuous growth and learning opportunities. For the EECCA countries, lack of funding, insufficient experienced staff, staff turnover, and limited technical capabilities are likely to be significant challenges in sustaining the work.

In the spirit of continuous learning and based on the findings and good practices identified throughout the evaluation, a series of recommendations are intended to help improve future UNECE activities.

1. The global pandemic forced the UNECE to rethink the way it conducted business to ensure continuity of the project. These innovative solutions introduced good practices that should be continued. The UNECE is encouraged to use a hybrid model when organizing its workshops and regional sessions in the future. The introduction of short webinars and the video capture of in person sessions provided additional learning opportunities. A combination of face-to-face activities and virtual offerings reaches a broader group of people. Using appropriate and tested technologies that accommodates everyone’s participation is encouraged.

2. To properly assess the degree to which the knowledge and expertise of the staff in the national statistical offices of EECCA countries improved and/or their capacity to implement standards and recommendations increased, an in-depth country peer review or update to the Global Assessments should be conducted.

3. Continued sharing of experience and lessons learned is critical to the ongoing improvement of the

statistical system in the beneficiary countries. EECCA participation in the Expert Group meetings is encouraged and where possible regional workshops or special sessions would continue to offer continuous growth and learning.

4. To ensure sustainability, future activities should be linked to the work programme of the UNECE Statistical Division. Although the budget of the UNECE Statistical Division is limited, it is encouraged to use its exceptional collaboration and outreach skills to secure additional funding from key project stakeholders, be it in-kind or financial resources to expand the scope of its work.

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5. For gender and human rights perspectives to be better included in future projects, there should be an explicit objective built into the project design that can be monitored and evaluated during and at the end of the project. Expertise in gender quality, disability inclusion, environment and or human rights should be sought in the development of these objectives and with the evaluation process.

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1.0 INTRODUCTION2 In 2009 at the 40th session of the United Nations Statistical Commission (UNSC), it supported the Global Implementation Strategy for the 2008 System of National Accounts (SNA) and requested to pay particular attention to improving basic economic statistics and to the need for consistency and harmonization across sectoral statistics from other macroeconomic frameworks. The UNSC recognized the role of the UN regional commissions in facilitating coordination and regional cooperation towards the implementation of 2008 SNA. 3 Following the decision, the UNSC, the United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) requested that regional commissions develop regional implementation plans and establish Steering Groups to guide and coordinate activities.

Since 2010, the UNECE has actively been working to support the implementation of 2008 SNA and supporting statistics in countries of Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia (EECCA)4. At the request of the UNSC, UNECE developed a regional plan for implementation of 2008 SNA in close cooperation with EECCA and South-East European (SEE) countries.

The regional implementation plan was developed in consultation with the Steering Group on National Accounts, established by the Bureau of the Conference of European Statisticians (CES). The Steering Group on National Accounts guides the work of the UNECE Statistical Division in the area of national accounts and supporting economics statistics, including activities to support and monitor the implementation of the 2008 SNA in the EECCA region and to advise on the provision of methodological recommendations, training and other capacity building activities on national accounts. The Steering Group is composed of representatives of all major regional partners such as CIS-Stat, Eurostat, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), and UNSD, as well as country representatives from each UNECE sub-region, including from the EECCA.

The ECASTAT project was intended to build on the activities and progress achieved in the work to support the implementation of 2008 SNA and supporting economic statistics in the EECCA region. The project was intended to enable the UNECE in carrying out its mandate to support the implementation of 2008 SNA and supporting statistics in the region.

The project was part of the ECASTAT regional trust fund established by the World Bank for assisting countries to improve their statistical systems.

The overall objective of the Project was to increase the capacity of countries in Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia in compiling national accounts and supporting statistics according to the recommendations of international statistical standards.5 Another objective was to include overall improvement of the knowledge and

2 ECASTAT Project for 2017-2020. Implementation of 2008 SNA. Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics Support of the Implementation of 2008 SNA. Project Proposal – Concept note 2016

3 Statistical Commission. Report on the fortieth session (24-27 February 2009). https://unstats.un.org/unsd/statcom/doc09/Report-English.pdf

4 The target countries for the project were the 12 EECCA countries of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan.

5Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics in Support of the Implementation of 2008 SNA https://www.statswiki.unece.org/display/EC/ECASTAT+Home

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expertise of the staff in the NSOs of EECCA countries regarding relevant international standards and recommendations in practice.

The project was intended to build on existing UNECE programmes to support the implementation of 2008 SNA and supporting statistics in the region, in addition to the global assessments of national statistical systems. It intended to draw on established partnerships with national and international statistical agencies involved in statistical capacity building activities in the region, and in particular, the WB, UNESCAP, IMF, Eurostat, OECD, European Free Trade Association (EFTA), International Labour Organization (ILO), Russian Federal State Statistical System (ROSSTAT), CIS-STAT and other relevant multinational and bilateral partner organizations.

1.1 PURPOSE OF THE EVALUATION The purpose of this evaluation is to assess the extent to which the objectives of the UNECE Project “Enhancing coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of 2008 SNA” were achieved.

The evaluation assessed the relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, and sustainability of the aforementioned project.

The evaluation also attempted to assess any impacts the project may have had on progressing human rights, gender equality, disability inclusion, climate change and disaster risk reduction in the context of this engagement. The evaluation considered the activities repurposed to address the impact of the COVID-19 crisis and assessed UNECE’s COVID-19 early response.

1.2 OBJECTIVES OF THE EVALUATION

The evaluation of the project has the following specific objectives:

1. Determine, as systematically and objectively as possible, the relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, and sustainability of the project results considering its goals and objectives.

2. Assess how the project activities contributed to gender equality and women’s empowerment, as well as the realization of human rights, with an emphasis on “leaving no one behind” and, if needed, make recommendations on how these considerations can be better addressed in future activities of the sub programme.

3. Identify good practices and lessons learned from the project and formulate action-oriented, forward- looking recommendations addressed to the sub programme for improving future interventions.

1.3 SCOPE OF THE EVALUATION The evaluation covered the full project implementation period 2017-2023 (initially 2017-2020), including the no- cost extension that was granted to the project to cover the period of 2021-2023.

The evaluation was guided by the objectives, indicators of achievement and means of verification established in the initial project proposal and the no-cost extension.

The scope was limited to the activities described in project documents and the evaluation criteria established by the UNECE in its Terms of Reference (see Annex 4.1) for the project evaluation.

The evaluation was conducted ensuring accessible data collection and inclusive consultation, adhering to ethical standards and triangulation of data for inclusion.

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1.4 EVALUATION METHODOLOGY

The evaluation was conducted in accordance with: the ECE Evaluation Policy6; the Administrative instruction guiding Evaluation in the UN Secretariat7; and the United Nations Evaluation Group (UNEG) Norms and Standards for Evaluation8. Human rights and gender equality considerations were integrated at all stages of the evaluation.

The evaluation was guided by the evaluation matrix articulated in the Inception Report and assessed the degree of alignment between the project’s stated objective and outcomes with the results of the activities carried out by the UNECE in the implementation of the project.

The evaluation process included a desk review of all available project documentation, analysis of the results from the two on-line surveys designed for the purpose of this evaluation and interviews with key stakeholders and partners to gather more in-depth information and assessment of results.

1.4.1 Desk Review

The desk review included all project documentation provided by the UNECE Statistical Division, relevant websites and a review of the global assessments conducted jointly by the UNECE, Eurostat and EFTA. The documents reviewed included: the Project proposals - 2017-2020 and 2021-2023; the 11 semi-annual Project progress reports; reports from the meetings, workshops and webinars (including a review of the material presented); the meeting evaluations; the draft World Bank’s Implementation Completion and Results Report, and the 8 available unaudited interim financial reports (June to December 2017 to 30 June 2022). Unfortunately, the final interim financial report covering the final year of the project and the final program financial report were not completed in time for inclusion in the evaluation process. A complete list of documents reviewed are provided in Annex 4.8.

1.4.2 Surveys

Two surveys were conducted in English; one with all beneficiary countries and the second with a select group of stakeholders and partners. The survey questions are included in Annex 4.2 and 4.4 of this report. The surveys were conducted online and available to respondents from 4 - 29 September 2023.

The first survey was sent to beneficiaries of the target countries for the project. 36 individuals (20 women; 16 men) representing 12 countries were invited to participate in the survey. At the close of the collection period, 15 individuals from 8 countries responded (41.6% response rate). Of these responses, 12 respondents represented national statistical offices; 3 represented other domestic agencies; 11 were women and 4 were men. Full results are included in Annex 6.4 to this report.

The second survey was sent to 18 key stakeholders and partners (6 women; 12 men). Even with an extension of the collection period, only 6 responses were received (33% response rate) from 4 men and 2 women. The low response rate limited the type of analysis that could be conducted. The results were used to confirm/challenge the findings identified through the desk review and the in-depth interviews.

6 UNECE Evaluation Policy. https://unece.org/sites/default/files/2021-12/Item10_ECE_EX_2021_35_Evaluation%20Policy.pdf

7 ST/AI/2021/3

8 UNEG 2016 Norms and Standards for Evaluation. https://www.unevaluation.org/document/detail/1914

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1.4.3 Interviews

A series of interviews with the stakeholders/partners were conducted to further gather both qualitative and quantitative information. The interviews were conducted by video conference during the month of September 2023. The interview guide is included in Annex 4.5 to this report.

The invitation was sent to 10 key stakeholders/partners (3 women; 7 men) who represented the various components of the project (SNA, CPI, SBR, Informal Sector and Remittances). Nine individuals (2 women; 7 men) graciously gave their time and feedback regarding the various activities and outcomes. Their insights and views were valuable in forming the findings, recommendations and the lessons learned of this evaluation. A list of the key stakeholders is included in Annex 4.7 of this report.

2.0 FINDINGS

2.1 RELEVANCE

2.1.1 To what extent was the project design appropriate for meeting the needs of beneficiary countries?

The project design was appropriate for meeting the needs of the beneficiary countries.

The overall aim of the project was to increase the capacity of EECCA countries in compiling national accounts and supporting statistics according to the recommendations of the 2008 SNA and other relevant international standards, with focus on outstanding priority areas identified by the countries. These priority areas were derived from the Global Assessments of countries in the EECCA region, which was jointly carried out by the UNECE, Eurostat and EFTA as well as the regional and national plans for implementation of the 2008 SNA. The project work was guided by the UNECE Steering Group on National Accounts. The project built on the activities and progress achieved in the work to support the implementation of the 2008 SNA and supporting economic statistics in the EECCA region, prior to its inception.

The project activities included participation of experts from beneficiary countries in UNECE Group meetings, regional workshops and special sessions to ensure capacity building and shared learning within the EECCA countries. The design also included simultaneous interpretation in meetings and workshops and translation of project documentation, training materials and handbooks to Russian to facilitate participation and ongoing work.

At the end of each workshop or meeting, participants were encouraged to share suggestions for improvement and ideas for future agenda items. The feedback and input were used to formulate the agenda and organization of subsequent meetings.

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2.1.2 To what extent did the project respond to the priorities and needs of national statistical offices in beneficiary countries? How relevant were the project activities to the countries’ needs and priorities?

The project responded “to a high extent” to the priorities and needs of national statistical offices in the beneficiary countries.

FIGURE 1: EVALUATION OF THE UNECE PROJECT ON ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL STATISTICS

• Source: Project Evaluation Online survey – Question 5

The results of the online survey of beneficiary countries showed 73% of respondents indicated the project’s activities met their country’s needs to a high extent and 27% to a moderate extent. This finding was also supported in the review of the evaluations of the various activities that were conducted throughout the project. Overall the participants were very satisfied with the workshops and meetings as well as the quality of the discussions and presentations.

During the span of the project, the meetings of the Group of Experts generally included special sessions for the beneficiary countries with topics identified by the countries. For example, the 2017 and 2019 meetings of the Group of Experts on Business Registers included Special Sessions for the EECCA and SSEE countries to encourage exchanges and presentations aimed at improving the coverage and accuracy of Statistical Business Registers and short-term business statistics. In 2017 the UNECE Guidelines on SBR – activities in the CIS was presented and produced in both English and Russian. In 2019 the special session focussed on different CPI data collection methods; the treatment of seasonal items and missing observation; index calculation and weighting; owner- occupied housing and rentals in the CPI; and how to meet user needs in terms of documentation, dissemination and communication of the CPI. All of these topics were developed to achieve the project’s objectives and respond to the beneficiary countries’ needs.

Due to the global pandemic, several activities were delayed, postponed or moved to a virtual platform rather than face-to-face meetings. There were mixed reviews regarding the online forum. The online forum increased the number of experts who could participate in the meetings and workshops as travel was no longer required. However, there were some technical difficulties raised with some of the platforms that were used. Several people consulted during the evaluation process spoke about the value in having face-to-face meetings as many extended discussions and personal learning happen during the breaks and outside the formal meeting agenda.

2.1.3 To what extent was the project aligned with the SDGs?

Partnerships (SDG 17) between stakeholders including governments, international and regional organizations, businesses and academia and civil society are a driving force of UNECE’s work. This includes work to improve connectivity with the regions (SDGs 7, 8, 9, 11,13), and contributing to creating more dynamic and resilient economies (SDGs 7, 8, 9,11, 13). The UNECE works for member countries by supporting evidence-based decision making through reliable statistics and improved monitoring, analysis and policy advice; fostering cooperation

To what extent did the event respond to your country's statistical needs and priorities?

To a high extent To a moderate extent To a low extent Not at all

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among all stakeholders at the country and regional level; building countries’ capacities to implement its norms, conventions and standards.9

Basic sound economics, including key figures of the national accounts are fundamental in relation to the SDGs. Several proposed SDG indicators on income, consumption, and production depend on the availability of comprehensive and high-quality national statistics that are internationally comparable.

The project was designed to help EECCA countries improve the coherence, timeliness and internationally comparability of socio-economic statistics that are crucial for the monitoring of a country’s social and economic progress. The project design encouraged the collaboration of experts from the statistical offices as well as central agency representatives from national banks and finance ministries which improved the coherence of the statistical outputs.

2.1.4 What takeaways are there for ensuring relevance of future projects of UNECE Statistical Division?

The project activities were linked to the work programme of the UNECE Statistical Division to ensure continuity and coordination with international work on national accounts and supporting statistics. This is a critical element for continued success of future projects.

The global pandemic forced the UNECE to examine and implement innovative ways to continue with the activities essential in achieving a successful outcome to the project.

UNECE’s ability to draw on established partnerships and to obtain additional resources through in-kind or financial contributions extended the project to the benefit of the targeted countries and expanded the scope of the project to address outstanding issues, identified by EECCA countries, resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic.

2.1.5 To what extent were gender, human rights and disability perspectives integrated into the design and implementation of the project? What results can be identified from these actions? How can gender and human rights perspectives be better included in future projects design and implementation?

There is no evidence from document review or information gathered throughout this review that gender, human rights and disability perspectives were integrated into the design and implementation of the project. However, it is evident from the evaluation that women and youth were involved in all aspects of the project and persons with disabilities were accommodated throughout the various meetings, workshops and special sessions.

To ensure gender and human rights perspectives be better included in future projects, there should be an explicit objective built into the project design that can be monitored and evaluated during and at the end of the project. Expertise in gender quality, disability inclusion, environment and or human rights should be sought in the development of these objectives and with the evaluation process.

9 SDG Priorities. Supporting countries to achieve the SDGs https://unece.org/sdg-priorities

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2.2 EFFECTIVENESS

2.2.1 To what extent were the project objectives and results achieved?

The overall aim of the project and the expected outcomes were achieved.

The project consisted of four inter-related modules with the overall goal to enhance coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of the 2008 SNA. The four modules were: Methods and compilation techniques for the implementation of the 2008 SNA and supporting economic statistics; Price Statistics – development of price indices and deflators for national accounts aggregates; Statistical business registers – improving coverage and accuracy of national statistical business registers; and Expanding the use of household surveys for the estimates of the informal sector and remittances.

Each module had specific objectives with activities designed to achieve the objectives (see Annex 6.6 for full details). All the activities within each module were completed and additional activities were added with the project extension. The project activities included participation of experts from EECCA countries in international statistical Expert Group meetings, regional workshops and special sessions designed specifically to address their needs. The project activities also included the development of statistical methods/tools for integrating migration in household surveys and development of training material. The desk review, supported by the online survey results and interviews with key stakeholders, provided evidence that the capacity of countries in compiling national accounts and supporting statistics increased.

However, there were limitations in the evaluation. For example to properly assess whether the knowledge and expertise of the staff in the national statistical offices of EECCA countries improved and/or their capacity to implement standards and recommendations in practice could only be achieved through an in-depth country peer review or update to the Global Assessments.

2.2.2 To what extent did the project improve the competencies of national statistical offices in the beneficiary countries to produce and use macroeconomic statistics in their countries?

The activities of the project were designed and implemented to improve the competencies of national statistical offices in the beneficiary countries.

An explicit example is the Special Session that was organized to support the EECCA and SEE countries on the use of Supply and Use tables (SUTs) as well as Input Output tables (IOTs). SUTs are at the core of National Accounts and represent a framework to ensure better quality, coherency, and consistency of macroeconomic aggregates. A survey among the target countries carried out before the session revealed that 15 countries were developing SUTs, some of them being at initial or experimental estimates. The main challenges identified by countries were lack of suitable data sources, human resources and time constrains. The focus of the special session was to help the EECCA & SEE countries address their challenges. During this session, different IT tools for the compilation of SUTs and IOTs were presented which including a short training session on two tools developed by the IMF to support balancing of SUTs and conversion into IOTs. The Special Session also helped EECCA and SEE countries share experience on data sources and compilation techniques and informed them on new developments in SUTs and IOTs. The evaluation survey at the end of the session showed that 95 percent of the participants considered the session to be very helpful or useful for their future work.

The second concrete example is the development of a harmonized survey module on migration and remittances for countries in EECCA. The survey module, developed within the context of the project, was designed to enable a regular sustainable collection of internationally comparable data on migration and remittances. Improvements in the coverage, exhaustiveness, and comparability of statistics on migration & remittances support SDG monitoring needs, in line with international standards. The module was tested in Tajikistan in late 2019 with a technical assistance mission supported by the project fund. Findings from the pilot test were shared with the EECCA countries in 2020 and the harmonized module was released in 2021 as a standard tool that has been produced in Russian and English.

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2.2.3 To what extent are the project activities coherent and harmonized with those of other partners operating with the same context, particularly those of other UN system entities?

This UNECE-managed project is coherent and harmonized with those of partner organizations. Representatives from EFTA, Eurostat, ILO, OECD, UNSD and World Bank were all consulted during the evaluation and were all very complimentary of the UNECE’s collaboration and coordination expertise. Apart from the World Bank, who was the sponsor of the project, these partners are members of the UNECE Steering Group on National Accounts who guided and advised on the activities undertaken throughout the project.

During this evaluation the UNECE was recognized for its exceptional organization skills and the collaboration with other partners in the international statistical system to provide high quality learning activities. The UNECE was effective at bringing together expertise and ensuring no duplication with other international activities. The team members were also recognized for constantly seeking feedback and input and acting on the information gathered to improve subsequent events/activities. Consultation regarding agenda items and effective advanced planning ensured a positive experience for participants.

In the development of the various activities carried out throughout the project, the UNECE considered the CIS-Stat activities financed by the Trust Fund for Statistical Capacity Building and ensured there were no overlaps between the two projects.

2.2.4 What were the challenges/obstacles (Including COVID-19 and sub-regional instability) to achieving the expected results? How successfully did the project overcome these?

The most significant challenge to achieving the expected results on time was the onset of the global pandemic in early 2020. All planned activities for 2020 had to be adjusted. Face-to-face meetings were replaced with online sessions and adjustments were made to accommodate the new way of conducting the project (ie shorter sessions over many days). A dedicated wiki page was created to share the results of the activities.

In October 2020 a three-day special online session was conducted with a focus on the EECCA countries to provide an overview of the migration and remittances situation in these countries during the pandemic. The session explored the impact of the pandemic on the measurement of migration and remittances and review the use of administrative data in producing migration statistics. A consultant was also hired to carry out a survey on migration and remittances measurement in the pandemic which included data sources, methods and challenges faced and solutions applied. The results of the survey were presented and discussed during the meeting.

The June 2020 meeting of the Group of Experts on Consumer Price Indices had to be postponed to 2021 due to the pandemic. During the meeting in 2021 a draft Guide on producing CPI under lockdown was presented. The Guide provided recommendations and good practices for data collection, imputation methods and communication approaches that countries can refer to in periods of lockdown or extenuating circumstances. The Guide was published in August 2021 and is available in English on the UNECE website.

The second challenge that the project faced was the political instability in the region in 2022. Few mitigation measures are possible as events organized under ECASTAT are technical and not political events.

2.2.5 What (if anything) has prevented the project from achieving the desired results?

All the challenges and obstacles the project faced were addressed. The global pandemic and the forced change in the way the activities were conducted resulted in a no-cost project extension and additional workshops and sessions being organized and conducted. The use of online platforms for workshops and sessions increased the number of participants from targeted countries including statisticians as well as representatives of their central agencies.

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2.3 EFFICIENCY

2.3.1 Were the resources allocated adequate for achieving results?

The project was sponsored by the ECASTAT regional trust fund established by the World Bank for assisting countries to improve their statistical system. According to the Project proposal a budget of $912,00010 (Table 1) was established to support the project.

TABLE 1: BUDGET ALLOCATION Activity Planned events Budget Amount - $912,000

Seminars and workshops

- Expert Group Meetings - Regional Workshops &

Seminars - Interpretation & logistics

- 5 - 6

$508,600

Translation of training material $29,400

Consultants & contractual services $178,000

Consultant – project administration $96,000

Staff Travel - 6 regional workshops $24,000

Miscellaneous costs $58,000

Independent project evaluation $18,000

During the initial project timeframe (2017-2020) $399,000 was used to support the project module activities, project administration and UN Programme support (Table 2). The unused $513,000 was the result of delayed or postponed activities due to the global pandemic as well as an increase in resources to support the project provided by EFTA and the UN Development Account Programme on Statistics and Data. The $513,000 was re-allocated to the no cost project extension that was approved for 2021-2023.

10 All financial figures are in US Dollars

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TABLE 2: INITIAL PROJECT ALLOCATION OF FUNDS AND EXPENDITURES PER MODULE (2017-2020) Modules Budget Expenditures Unused Funds

Methodology & compilation techniques of 2008 SNA

$234,000 $38,000 $196,000

Price Statistics & compilation of national accounts aggregates at constant prices

$142,000 $58,000 $84,000

Improving the coverage and accuracy of statistical business registers & short-term statistics

$116,000 $47,000 $69,000

Expanding the use of household surveys for the estimates of the informal sector and remittances

$248,000 $183,000 $65,000

Project Administration, UN Programme Support and Project Evaluation

$172,000 $73,000 $99,000

TOTAL $912,000 $399,000 $513,000

The following activities were designed and implemented within the project extension: 3 meetings of Group of Experts on National Accounts; 2 meetings of the Group of Expert on Consumer Prices Indices; 1 meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers; a workshop on migration statistics and two regional workshops on National Accounts. Table 3 presents the budget allocation for the 2021-2023 project extension.

TABLE 3: BUDGET ALLOCATION FOR 2021-2023

Year Activity Budget

2021 Meeting of the Group of Experts on National Accounts Meeting of the Group of Experts on CPI Workshop on Migration Statistics

$126,000

2022 Meeting of the Group of Experts on National Accounts Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers Regional workshop on National Accounts

$144,000

2023 Meeting of the Group of Experts on National Accounts Meeting of the Group of Experts on CPI Regional workshop on National Accounts

$144,000

Project Administration $49,000

UN Programme support costs $32,410

Independent project evaluation $17,880

TOTAL $513,290

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The final financial reporting information was not completed at the time of this evaluation. However, the evaluation concluded that all the planned activities, including those added as a result of the no-cost extension, were completed. There were 24 Expert Group meetings, webinars, regional workshops, special sessions successfully conducted from 2017-2023 (see Annex 4.6). In addition, training materials were developed, a Guide on Producing CPI under Lockdown11 was developed and a harmonized survey module on migration and remittances for countries in EECCA was created (see 2.2.2 for details).

2.3.2 Were the results achieved on time and were all activities organized efficiently?

The project was completed within the allocated timeframe. Some activities were postponed due to COVID-19 and political unrest in the region, but all were eventually completed albeit in formats different from the original plan. The UNECE quickly adapted to the new global reality and implemented the use of online/virtual meetings in order to complete the planned activities. Efficient use of funds and inter-agency collaboration supported a no-cost extension to the project. The use of virtual meeting platforms increased the number of participants expanding the exchange and experiential learning encouraged by the project.

2.3.3. To what extent were the resources used economically and how could the use of resources be improved?

The financial resources were effectively and efficiently managed. In addition to the funding providing by the ECASTAT Trust Fund, the UNECE collaborated with EFTA which provided funding and in-kind contributions for many of the planned activities UNECE was also able to augment the available resources by using funds from the UN Development Account Programme on Statistics and Data to cover costs such as the participation of national experts in meetings and workshops as well as the critical translation of training materials. The no-cost extension for 2021-2023 was possible due to these additional sources of funding that occurred during the initial project timeframe (2017-2020) as well as the cost savings during COVID-19 due to the delay, postponement or replacement of face-to-face meetings with virtual sessions.

2.4 SUSTAINABILITY

2.4.1 What measures were adopted to ensure that project outcomes would continue after the project ended and to what extent have these measures addressed the existing risks for sustainability?

The following measures have been adopted to ensure the project outcomes continue: all project documentation is available through online channels and all activities encouraged the exchange of good practices and participation of EECCA experts in workshops, meetings and regional sessions. The project stimulated the creation of a network of experts from the EECCA region. This network which includes representatives from the national statistical offices as well as representatives from central banks and ministries of finance aims to improve the institutional cooperation and consistency between the national accounts and balance of payments.

In addition, the guidance notes of the SNA and Balance of Payments Manual, 6th Edition (BPM6) developed by the joint UN Task Team on Informal Economy has been translated into Russian to ensure that the EECCA region is fully involved in the consultation process.

The development of the harmonized survey module for a standard measurement of migration and remittances for countries in EECCA establishes the way in which these countries can arrive at estimates of migration and remittances that support SDG monitoring needs, are in line with international standards and are harmonized among CIS countries. The module is available as a standard tool and produced in Russian and English.

11 United Nations Geneva, 2021 Guide on producing CPI under lockdown https://www.unece.org/statistics/publications/guide-producing-cpi- under-lockdown

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The results of the online survey of beneficiary countries rated the quality of support provided by the UNECE as “excellent” (60%) and “good” (40%). It also showed the extent of the work of the activities still relevant to their country as “to a high extent” (73%) and “to a moderate extent” (20%). When asked whether the outputs of the activities are sustainable, 47% said “to a high extent”; 40% said to a “moderate extent”, and 13% said “to a low extent”. The major risks identified for sustainability included lack of expert staff (67%), staff turnover (47%), limited technical capabilities (53%) and lack of funding (40%).

FIGURE 2: EVALUATION SURVEY – EVALUATION OF THE UNECE PROJECT ON ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL STATISTICS

* source – Project Evaluation Survey – Questions 8 and 6

2.4.2 To what extent do the partners and beneficiaries “own” the outcomes of the work? How is the stakeholders’ engagement likely to continue, be scaled up, replicated or institutionalized?

The UNECE has a mandate to support the implementation of 2008 SNA and supporting economics statistics in the EECA region. The Steering Group on National Accounts, established by the Bureau of the Conference of European Statisticians guides the work of the UNECE Statistical Division in the area of national accounts and supporting economic statistics, including activities to support and monitor the implementation of the 2008 SNA in the EECCA and to advise on the provision of methodological recommendations, training and other capacity building activities on national accounts. Country representatives from the EECCA are members of the Steering Group.

By nature of their mandates these partners/stakeholders are committed to maintaining and progressing the work undertaken during the project.

Continued sharing of experience and lessons learned is critical to the ongoing improvement of the statistical system in the beneficiary countries. EECCA participation in the Expert Group meetings is encouraged and where possible regional workshops would continue to offer continuous growth and learning. Lack of resources and funding are likely to be a major challenge in sustaining the work.

How would you rate the quality of the support provided by the UNECE

Excellent Good Average Poor

To what extent is the work still relevant to your country?

To a high extent To a moderate extent

To a low extent Not at all

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2.5 GENDER AND HUMAN RIGHTS CONSIDERATIONS

Throughout the review, it was evident that women and men were involved in the various project activities, and in the evaluation process. Youth were also involved in the various activities. Consideration was given to those with physical disabilities during the workshops conducted. Training materials were translated to ensure beneficiary countries could learn in their preferred language. However, no gender consideration was recorded in the project’s proposal and no indicator established.

The evaluation process was inclusive by ensuring that a diverse group of stakeholders, partners and beneficiary countries were consulted and encouraged to provide information and input. This included women, men and youth. It is unknown if anyone who was consulted during the process was a person with disabilities. The two online surveys included a question on gender and the survey intended for stakeholders asked a question regarding the participation of women, persons with disabilities, minority groups and youths in the project’s activities and events. The interviews conducted with international and regional partners explored cross cutting questions regarding the inclusion of women, persons with disabilities, minority groups and youth as well as gender and human rights.

Although all UNECE projects are as inclusive as possible, this one included, the human rights dimension is a difficult and complex aspect to cover. The human rights dimension was not incorporated in the project proposal and the project outcomes make no explicit reference to the human rights. It should be considered however, that the Generic Law on Official Statistics (GLOS)12 requires “equal and simultaneous access” to official statistics for all users and is aligned with the United Nations Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics-Principle 1 of Relevance, Impartiality and Equal Access.13 The GLOS was developed within the UNECE Project “Strengthening national capacity in the most vulnerable UNECE countries for the sustainable development of statistics”. It was developed primarily for the beneficiary countries of the project and EECCA countries were consulted throughout its development.

12 https://unece.org/DAM/stats/publications/2016/ECECESSTAT20163_E.pdf

13 https://unstats.un.org/unsd/dnss/hb/E-fundamental%20principles_A4-WEB.pdf

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3.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

3.1 CONCLUSIONS

Based on the evaluation findings, the evaluator has the following conclusions.

The overall aim of the project was to increase the capacity of EECCA countries in compiling national accounts and supporting statistics according to the recommendations of the 2008 SNA and other relevant international standards. This was accomplished through a series of four inter-related modules with specific activities designed to achieve the goal to enhance coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of the 2008 SNA. The project design was appropriate for meeting the needs and priorities of the beneficiary countries. All the activities designed to support the project’s objectives were completed on time and on budget.

Basic sound economics, including key figures of the national accounts are fundamental in relation to the SDGs. Several proposed SDG indicators on income, consumption, and production depend on the availability of comprehensive and high-quality national statistics that are internationally comparable. The project was designed to help EECCA countries improve the coherence, timeliness and internationally comparability of socio-economic statistics that are crucial for the monitoring of a country’s social and economic progress. The project design encouraged the collaboration of experts from the statistical offices as well as central agency representatives from national banks and finance ministries which improved the coherence of the statistical outputs.

The project activities were linked to the work programme of the UNECE Statistical Division to ensure continuity and coordination with international work on national accounts and supporting statistics. This is a critical element for continued success of future projects.

The most significant challenge that the project faced was the unprecedented global pandemic in early 2020 that forced the UNECE to examine and implement innovative ways to continue with the activities essential in achieving a successful outcome to the project. The use of virtual platforms saved costs and increased participation in the workshops and session organized within the project.

Although the UNECE Statistical Division has limited resources, its ability to draw on established partnerships and to obtain additional resources through in-kind or financial contributions extended the project to the benefit of the targeted countries and expanded the scope of the project to address outstanding issues, identified by EECCA countries, resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic.

During this evaluation the UNECE was recognized for its exceptional organization skills and the collaboration with other partners in the international statistical system to provide high quality learning activities. The UNECE was effective at bringing together expertise and ensuring no duplication with other international activities. The team members were also recognized for constantly seeking feedback and input and acting on the information gathered to improve subsequent events/activities. Consultation regarding agenda items and effective advanced planning ensured a positive experience for participants.

All UNECE work is designed to be as inclusive as possible, however, the human rights dimension is a difficult aspect to cover. The human rights dimension was not incorporated in the project proposal and the project outcomes make no explicit reference to the human rights. No gender consideration was recorded in the project’s proposal and no indicator established.

There were limitations in the evaluation. For example to properly assess whether the knowledge and expertise of the staff in the national statistical offices of EECCA countries improved and/or their capacity to implement standards and recommendations in practice could only be achieved through an in-depth country peer review or update to the Global Assessments. This was not done as part of this evaluation.

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3.2 RECOMMENDATIONS

Based on the findings and the good practices identified throughout the evaluation of the project, the evaluator offers the following recommendations for consideration.

1. The global pandemic forced the UNECE to rethink the way it conducted business to ensure continuity of the project. These innovative solutions introduced good practices that should be continued. The UNECE is encouraged to use a hybrid model when organizing its workshops and regional sessions in the future. The introduction of short webinars and the video capture of in person sessions provided additional learning opportunities. A combination of face-to-face activities and virtual offerings reaches a broader group of people. Using appropriate and tested technologies that accommodates everyone’s participation is encouraged.

2. To properly assess the degree to which the knowledge and expertise of the staff in the national statistical offices of EECCA countries improved and/or their capacity to implement standards and recommendations increased, an in-depth country peer review or update to the Global Assessments should be conducted.

3. Continued sharing of experience and lessons learned is critical to the ongoing improvement of the

statistical system in the beneficiary countries. EECCA participation in the Expert Group meetings is encouraged and where possible regional workshops or special sessions would continue to offer continuous growth and learning.

4. To ensure sustainability, future activities should be linked to the work programme of the UNECE Statistical Division. Although the budget of the UNECE Statistical Division is limited, it is encouraged to use its exceptional collaboration and outreach skills to secure additional funding from key project stakeholders, be it in-kind or financial resources.

5. For gender and human rights perspectives to be better included in future projects, there should be an explicit objective built into the project design that can be monitored and evaluated during and at the end of the project. Expertise in gender quality, disability inclusion, environment and or human rights should be sought in the development of these objectives and with the evaluation process.

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4.0 ANNEXES

4.1 TERMS OF REFERENCE FOR THE EVALUATION

I. Purpose

The purpose of this evaluation is to assess the extent to which the objectives of the UNECE project E264 “Enhancing coherence and integration of economic and social statistics in support of the implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts” were achieved.

The evaluation will assess the relevance, effectiveness, efficiency and sustainability of the project.

The evaluation will also assess any impacts the project may have had on progressing human rights, gender equality, disability inclusion, climate change and disaster risk reduction in the context of this engagement. The evaluation will finally look at the activities repurposed to address the impact of the COVID-19 crisis, and assess, to the extent possible, UNECE’s COVID-19 early response through this project.

II. Background

The project aimed at increasing the capacity of countries in Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia in compiling national accounts and supporting statistics according to the recommendations of international statistical standards. The activities of the project included the following four modules:

1) Methods and compilation techniques for implementation of the 2008 SNA and supporting economic statistics. 2) Price statistics - development of price indices and deflators for national accounts aggregates. 3) Statistical business registers - improving coverage and accuracy of national statistical business registers. 4) Expanding the use of household surveys for the estimates of the informal sector and remittances.

The activities were carried out in cooperation with other international and regional partners, including CIS-STAT, EFTA, Eurostat, ILO, IMF, OECD and World Bank.

III. Evaluation objectives, scope and questions

The evaluation will be guided by the objectives, indicators of achievement and means of verification established in the logical framework of the project document. The evaluation will be conducted in Q3 of 2023. It will cover the full implementation of the project, from June 2017 to June 2023 in Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and Uzbekistan)

The final evaluation of the project has the following specific objectives:

· Determine as systematically and objectively as possible the relevance, effectiveness, efficiency and sustainability of the project results in light of its goals and objectives. · Assess how the project activities contributed to gender equality and women’ s empowerment, as well as the realization of human rights, with an emphasis on ‘leaving no one behind’ and, if needed, it will make recommendations on how these considerations can be better addressed in future activities of the sub-programme. · Identify good practices and lessons learned from the project and formulate action-oriented, forward- looking recommendations addressed to the sub-programme for improving future interventions.

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The evaluation criteria are relevance, effectiveness, efficiency and sustainability.

Relevance 1. To what extent was the project design appropriate for meeting the needs of beneficiary countries? 2. To what extent did the project respond to the priorities and needs of national statistical offices in beneficiary countries? How relevant were the project activities to the countries’ needs and priorities? 3. To what extent was the project aligned with the SDGs? 4. What takeaways are there for ensuring relevance of future projects of UNEE Statistical Division? 5. To what extent were gender, human rights and disability perspectives integrated into the design and implementation of the project? What results can be identified from these actions? How can gender and human rights perspectives be better included in future projects design and implementation? Effectiveness 6. To what extent were the project objectives and expected results achieved? 7. To what extent did the project improve the competencies of national statistical offices in the beneficiary countries to produce and use macroeconomic statistics in their countries? 8. To what extent are the project activities coherent and harmonized with those of other partners operating within the same context, particularly those of other UN system entities? 9. What were the challenges/obstacles (including COVID-19 and sub-regional instability) to achieving the expected results? How successfully did the project overcome these? 10. What (if anything) has prevented the project from achieving the desired results? Efficiency 11. Were the resources adequate for achieving the results? 12. Were the results achieved on time and were all activities organized efficiently? 13. To what extent were the resources used economically and how could the use of resources be improved? Sustainability 14. What measures were adopted to ensure that project outcomes would continue after the project ended and to what extent have these measures addressed the existing risks for sustainability? 15. To what extent do the partners and beneficiaries ‘own’ the outcomes of the work? How is the stakeholders’ engagement likely to continue, be scaled up, replicated, or institutionalized? IV. Evaluation approach and methodology

The evaluation will be conducted in accordance with: the ECE Evaluation Policy; the Administrative instruction guiding Evaluation in the UN Secretariat; and the United Nations Evaluation Group (UNEG) Norms and Standards for Evaluation. Human rights and gender equality considerations will be integrated at all stages of the evaluation: (i) in the evaluation scope and questions; (ii) in the methods, tools and data analysis techniques; (iii) in the findings, conclusions and recommendations of the final report. The evaluator will explicitly explain how human rights, gender, disability, SDGs, and climate change considerations will be taken into account during the evaluation.

The evaluator is required to use a mixed-method approach, including qualitative as well as quantitative data gathering and analysis as the basis for a triangulation exercise of all available data to draw conclusions and findings.

The evaluation should be conducted based on the following mixed methods to triangulate information: 1. A desk review of all relevant documents, including the project document and information on project activities (monitoring data); materials developed in support of the activities (agendas, plans, participant lists, background documents, donor reports and publications); Proposed programme budgets covering the evaluation period; project reports to the donor.

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2. Online survey of key stakeholders and beneficiaries: the survey will be developed by the consultant on her/his preferred platform. 3. Interviews (in-person and/or by telephone/video): the evaluator shall interview a wide range of diverse stakeholders and beneficiaries. 4. Remote observation of virtual workshops and meetings, including recordings of meetings.

The evaluator will further elaborate on the evaluation methodology in the Inception Report that will among others include the survey questions and whether any of the 12 countries will be selected for an in-depth assessment. The evaluation report will be written in English, will consist of approximately 30 pages and will include an executive summary (max. 2 pages) describing the evaluation methodology, key findings, conclusions and recommendations. The evaluator will also produce an Evaluation Brief summarizing key evaluation findings, lessons learned and recommendations, including through images and infographics.

V. Evaluation schedule

May 2023 ToR finalized June 2023 Evaluator selected June 2023 Contract signed. Evaluator starts the desk review July 2023 Evaluator submits inception report including survey design August 2023 Launch of data gathering, including survey and interviews September 2023 Evaluator submits draft evaluation report and evaluation brief October 2023 Evaluator submits final evaluation report and evaluation brief

VI. Resources and Management of the evaluation

An independent consultant will be engaged to conduct the evaluation under the management of the PMU. Payment will be made upon satisfactory delivery of work.

The Programme Management Unit (PMU) will manage the evaluation and will be involved in the following steps: Selection of the evaluator; Preparation and clearance of the Terms of Reference; Provision of guidance to the Project Manager and evaluator as needed on the evaluation design and methodology; Clearance of the final report after quality assurance of the draft report.

The Project Manager, in consultation with the Division Director, will be involved in the following steps: Provide all documentation needed for desk review, contact details, support and guidance to the evaluation consultant as needed throughout the timeline of the evaluation; Advise the evaluator on the recipients for the questionnaire and for follow-up interviews; Process and manage the consultancy contract of the evaluator, along the key milestones agreed with PMU.

VII. Intended use / Next steps

The results of the evaluation will be used in the planning and implementation of future activities of the UNECE Economic Cooperation and Integration Subprogramme. Findings of this evaluation will be used when possible to: · improve direct project’s follow up actions, implementation of products by project beneficiaries and dissemination of the knowledge created through the project; · assess the gaps and further needs of countries in the area of this project; · formulate tailored capacity building projects to strengthen the national capacity in enhancing innovation.

The results of the evaluation will be reported to the Conference of European Statisticians

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Following the issuance of the final report, the Project Manager will develop a Management Response for addressing the recommendations made by the evaluator. The final evaluation report, the management response and the progress on implementation of recommendations will be publicly available on the UNECE website.

VIII. Criteria for evaluators

The evaluator should have: 1. An advanced university degree or equivalent background in relevant disciplines. 2. Knowledge of and experience in working on data and statistics; knowledge of and experience in economic statistics desirable. 3. Relevant professional experience in design and management of evaluation processes with multiple stakeholders, survey design and implementation, project planning, monitoring and management, gender mainstreaming and human-rights due diligence. 4. Demonstrated methodological knowledge of evaluations, including quantitative and qualitative data collection and analysis for end-of-cycle project evaluations, including demonstrated experience in conducting questionnaires and interviews. 5. Fluency in written and spoken English.

Evaluators should declare any conflict of interest to UNECE before embarking on an evaluation project and at any point where such conflict occurs.

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4.2 ONLINE SURVEY QUESTIONNAIRE – BENEFICIARY COUNTRIES

4.2.1 Introductory text

This online survey is conducted in the context of the evaluation of the UNECE Project: Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics in Support of the Implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts.

The purpose of this survey is to gather the views of target countries and beneficiaries on the events and activities organized by the UNECE associated with this project.

The survey, which contains 15 questions, will be conducted in English and take approximately 15 minutes to complete. All responses are confidential, and no individual can be identified from their responses. UNECE will not have access to the raw survey results but only to aggregated information. Should you have any question or concerns, please contact the evaluator, Constance Graziadei at [email protected].

The survey will be available until Friday 22 September 2023.

Thank you in advance for your participation.

4.2.2 Questionnaire

1. Country • (drop down menu)

2. Which institution do you represent? • National Statistical Office • Other Domestic Agencies (Ministry of Finance, Central Bank) • Other: _______________________

3. Gender of respondent • Male • Female • Other: _________________ • Prefer not to respond

4. What event (meeting or workshop) organised by UNECE have you participate in? • National Accounts event • Price statistics event • Statistical business registers event • Events on expanding the use of household surveys for the estimates of the informal sector and

remittances

5. To what extent did the event (s) respond to your country’s statistical needs and priorities? • To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

6. To what extent is the work of the event (s) still relevant to your county? • To a high extent • To a moderate extent

29

• To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

7. To what extent did the activities and outputs from the event help to improve your statistics? • To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

8. How would you rate the quality of the support provided by the UNECE? • Excellent • Good • Average • Poor • Do not know

9. How effective were the regional workshops or the UNECE Expert Group meetings? • Excellent • Good • Average • Poor • Do not know

10. How effective was the sharing of best practices throughout the event (s)? • Excellent • Good • Average • Poor • Do not know

11. To what extent did the project respond to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on planned activities? • To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know • Not applicable

12. To what extent are the outputs from the event sustainable? • To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

13. What are the main risks for the results to be maintained? Please select all that apply • Lack of expert staff • Staff turnover • Limited technical capacities

30

• Lack of funding • Government change • None • Other: ___________________________

14. Are there any lessons learned or good practices from the project that should be considered for future

projects?

Text box

15. Do you have any comments or recommendations?

Text box

4.3 ONLINE SURVEY RESULTS – BENEFICIARY COUNTRIES 15 responses (11 women; 4 men) were received and results analyzed. On average it took respondents 15:27 minutes to complete the questionnaire.

Q1. Country

4

1

4

1 0 0 1 0 1 2

0 0 1

Arm en

ia

Azer baij

an

Belar us

Geo rgi

a

Kaza kh

sta n

Kyrg yzs

tan

Moldova

Mongo lia

Russi an

Fe dera

tio n

Ta jik

ist an

Tu rkm

enist an

Ukra ine

Uzb ek

ist an

Countries Responses

31

Q2. Which institution do you represent?

Q3. Gender

Q4. What events (meeting or workshop) organized by the UNECE did you participate in?

National Statistical Office Other domestic agencies

Gender

Woman Man Prefer not to say Other

11

4 0 0

GENDER Gender

53% 27%

7% 13%

Event participants

System of National Accounts

Price Statistics

Statistical Business Register

Measuring Migration and Remittances

32

Q5. To what extent did the event (s) respond to your country’s statistical needs and priorities?

Q6. To what extent is the work of the event (s) still relevant to your country?

Q7. To what extent did the activities and outputs from the event (s) help to improve your statistics?

11 4

0 0

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

TO A HIGH EXTENT TO A MODERATE EXTENT

TO A LOW EXTENT NOT AT ALL

Statistical needs & priorities

Statistical needs & priorities

To a high extent 7

To a moderate

extent 8

To a low extent 0

Not at all 0

Improve Statistics

To a high extent To a moderate extent

To a low extent Not at all

33

Q8. How would you rate the quality of the support provided by the UNECE?

Q9. How effective were the regional workshops or the UNECE Expert Group meetings?

Very effective 12 Somewhat ineffective 0

Somewhat effective 3 Very ineffective 0

Neither effective or ineffective 0 Do not know 0

Q10. How effective was the sharing of best practices throughout the event (s)?

Very effective 12 Somewhat ineffective 0

Somewhat effective 3 Very ineffective 0

Neither effective or ineffective 0 Do not know 0

Q11. To what extent did the project respond to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on planned activities?

60%40%

QUALITY OF SUPPORT

Excellent Good

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

COVID-19 response

To a high extent

To a moderate extent

To a low extent

Not at all

Do not know

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Q12. To what extent are the outputs from the various events sustainable?

Q13. What are the main risks for the results to be maintained? Please select all that apply

Q14. Are there any lessons learned or good practices from the project that should be considered for future projects?

- Measuring and consistent recording of non-observed economy in balance of payments the recording of e-commerce cross boarder transactions cryptocurrencies SPE MNE Groups data and others.

- A lot of theoretical information. - From the learned lessons we have planned the improvement of the statistical data production and tools. - Presentation of the experience of countries with good practices. - Good practices from the project helped us to establish Business Demography statistics and introduce geographical

coordinates in the Statistical Business Register. - Try to give the floor for all participation. - We made a research of card transactions, for 2019, by MCC and reflecting the results by EBOPS, after a presentation of

similar experience during NA Group of expert’s meetings and had a close collaboration with some colleagues to share our experience after 2023 meeting and presentation of our model of estimations of refugee’s transactions in BOP.

Q.15 Do you have any comments or recommendations?

- All UNECE events on price statistics are always very useful and helpful and informative. - We would like to see more workshops on price statistics, with participation from both regional statistical offices and

from countries with best practices in index calculations, which may be given the opportunity to consult themselves on

Sustainability

To a high extent To a moderate extent To a low extent Not at all

10

7 8

6

0 0 0 0 2 4 6 8

10 12

Lack of expert staff

Staff turover Limited technical

capabilities

Lack of funding Government change

None Other

Risk Factors

Risk Factors

35

the compilation of indices in practice, using the best practices for the collection of information they possess. Organize the exchange of experience between statistical offices in a particular country, to study practical skills in calculating indices.

- Participation in statistical business register events was highly informative for us. - To keep organizing regional meetings, additional to global events.

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4.4 ONLINE SURVEY QUESTIONNAIRE – STAKEHOLDERS/PARTNERS

4.4.1 Introductory Text

This online survey is conducted in the context of the evaluation of the UNECE Project: Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics in Support of the Implementation of 2008 System of National Accounts.

The purpose of this survey is to gather the views of the stakeholders and partners who have invested time and resources to help the UNECE carry out its mandate to support the implementation of 2008 SNA and supporting statistics in the Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia region.

The survey, which contains 12 questions, will be conducted in English and take approximately 10 minutes to complete. All responses are confidential, and no individual can be identified from their responses. UNECE will not have access to the raw survey results, only to aggregated information. Should you have any questions or concerns, please contact the evaluator, Constance Graziadei at [email protected].

The survey will be available until 29 September 2023. Thank you in advance for your participation.

6.4.2 Questionnaire

1. Which organization do you represent? Please select all that apply.

• Drop down menu

2. Gender of respondent • Male • Female • Other: _________________ • Prefer not to respond

3.What is your relationship with the project?

• Donor • Expert • Oversight • Regional Partner • Sponsor • Other: _________________

4. To what extent did the project respond to the priorities and needs of the beneficiary countries?

• To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

5. How effective was the UNECE in drawing on established partnerships to achieve the results of the project?

• Very effective • Somewhat effective

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• Neither effective nor ineffective • Somewhat ineffective • Very ineffective • Do not know

6. To what extent were the project's activities harmonized with activities, events or projects within your organization?

• To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

7. To what extent were alternative methods used to achieve the results more efficiently?

• To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

8. To what extent are the results of the project sustainable?

• To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

9. To what extent did the results of the activities and events organized by the UNECE align with the SDGs?

• To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

10. To what extent did the UNECE encourage the participation of women, persons with disabilities, minority groups and youths in the events and activities?

• To a high extent • To a moderate extent • To a low extent • Not at all • Do not know

11. Are there any lessons learned or good practices from the project that should be considered for future projects?

Text box

12. Do you have any comments or recommendations? Text box

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4.5 INTERVIEW GUIDE – KEY STAKEHOLDERS

These questions are based on the evaluation matrix and will be used as a guideline only for interviews with international and regional partners. The questions will be tailored to each interview conducted. Follow up questions may be asked to explore emerging themes or discussions.

General

1. What is your relationship with the project and for how long have you been involved?

Relevance

2. To what extent did the project respond to the priorities and needs of the beneficiary countries? 3. To what extent did the activities and outputs from the project align with the project’s stated objectives?

a. Methodology and compilation techniques of 2008 System of National Accounts b. Price statistics c. Improving the coverage and accuracy of statistical business registers d. Expanding the use of household surveys for the estimates of the informal sector and remittances

Effectiveness

4. To what extend did the UNECE contribute to achieving the stated objectives? 5. How effective were the various activities used to achieve the project’s outcomes?

a. Regional workshops b. Participation in the UNECE Expert Group meetings c. Sharing of best practices

6. What were the challenges or obstacles to achieving the expected results? 7. What was the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on planned activities? How was the project realigned to

help participant countries address these issues? 8. How effective was the UNECE in drawing on established partnerships to achieve the results of the project? 9. To what extent were the project activities coherent and harmonized with activities within your

organization?

Efficiency

10. Were the resources sufficient to achieve the desired results? 11. Were alternative methods used to achieve results more efficiently? Please describe.

Sustainability

12. To what extent are the outputs from the various modules sustainable? a. Methodology and compilation techniques for 2008 System of National Accounts b. Price statistics c. Improving the coverage and accuracy of statistical business registers d. Expanding the use of household surveys for the estimates of the informal sector and remittances

13. To what extent do the results of the project align with the SDGs?

Cross Cutting Questions

14. Was the project designed to ensure inclusion of women, persons with disabilities, minority groups and youth?

15. Did the UNECE include women, persons with disabilities, minority groups or youth? 16. How can gender and human rights perspectives be better included in the design and implementation of

future projects?

39

4.6 LIST OF PROJECT ACTIVITIES BY MODULE

4.6.1 Module 1 – National Accounts

YEAR ACTIVITY LOCATION

2017 Workshop on Consistency between National Accounts & Balance of Payments Statistics

Minsk, Belarus

2018 Workshop in compilation, dissemination and use of Supply and Use tables Meeting on the Group of Experts on National Accounts

Chisinau, Moldova Geneva, Switzerland

2020 Webinars of the Group of Experts on National Accounts Online

2021 Workshop on measuring informal economy Meeting on the Group of Experts on National Accounts

Online Online

2022 Workshop on Financial Accounts Meeting of the Group of Experts on National Accounts

Brussels, Belgium Online

2023 Meeting of the Group of Experts on National Accounts Geneva, Switzerland

4.6.2 Module 2 – Price Statistics

YEAR ACTIVITY LOCATION

2018 Meeting of the Group of Experts on Consumer Price Indices Geneva, Switzerland

2019 Regional Workshop on Consumer Price Indices for EECCA countries

Minsk, Belarus

2020 Webinars on producing the CPI under lockdown Online

2021 Meeting of the Group of Experts on Consumer Prices Indices Online

2023 Meeting of the Group of Experts on Consumer Prices Indices Geneva, Switzerland

40

4.6.3 Module 3 – Business Registers

YEAR ACTIVITY LOCATION

2017 Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers Paris, France

2019 Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers Geneva, Switzerland

2022 Workshop on Business Registers

Meeting of the Group Experts on Business Registers

Online

Online

4.6.4 Module 4 – Migration Statistics

YEAR ACTIVITY LOCATION

2017 Workshop on Migration Statistics Geneva, Switzerland

2018 Workshop on Migration Statistics

Harmonized survey module on international migration & remittances

Geneva, Switzerland

2019 Workshop on Migration Statistics

Testing of harmonized survey module on migration & remittances in countries

Geneva, Switzerland

2020 Analysis of the test results on the survey module

Workshop on Migration Statistics

Online

2021 Harmonized module for measuring & collecting information on migration & remittances after 2020

Workshop on Migration Statistics

Online

2022 Group of Experts on Migration Statistics Geneva, Switzerland

41

4.7 STAKEHOLDERS INVITED FOR IN-DEPTH INTERVIEW

ORGANIZATION FULL NAME TITLE RELATIONSHIP TO THE PROJECT

World Bank Mr. Maurice Nsabimana ECASTAT Task Team Leader Donor

ILO Ms. Valentina Stoevska Senior Statistician Group of Experts on CPI

EFTA Mr. Marius Andersen Deputy, EFTA Statistical Office Group of Experts on NA

European Union, Eurostat

Mr. John Verrinder Head, National Accounts, Methodology, Standards & Indicators

Group of Experts on NA

UNSD Mr. Herman Smith Chief of National Accounts Group of Experts on NA

Consultant Ms. Anna Prokhorova Consultant - Developer Harmonized module for measuring migration and remittances

UNECE Steering Group on National Accounts

Mr. Gerard Eding Director of National Accounts – Statistics Netherlands

Chair of Steering Committee

UNECE Steering Committee on Consumer Price Indices

Mr. Christopher Jenkins Assistant Deputy Director, Prices Division, Office for National Statistics, UK

Chair of Steering Committee

Armenia Ms. Lusya Khachartryan Head of Macroeconomics Indicators and National Accounts Division, Statistics Armenia

Group of Experts on National Accounts

United Kingdom Mr. Sanjiv Mahajan Head of Methods and Research Engagement, Office for National Statistics, UK

Steering Group on National Accounts

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4.8 LIST OF DOCUMENTS REVIEWED

1. ECASTAT Project for 2017-2020 Implementation of 2008 SNA. Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics in Support of the Implementation of 2008 SNA – Project Proposal – Concept note 2016

2. ECASTAT Project no-cost extension for 2021-2023. Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics in Support of the Implementation of 2008 SNA – Project Proposal

3. Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics in Support of the Implementation of 2008 SNA https://www.statswiki.unece.org/display/EC/ECSTAT+Home

4. World Bank’s Implementation Completion and Results Report on a Small Grant to the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) for Enhancing Coherence and Integration of Economic and Social Statistics in Support of the Implementation of 2008 SNA (Draft-v1)

5. Statistical Commission. Report on the fortieth session (24-27 February 2009). https://unstats.un.org/unsd/statcom/doc09/Report-English.pdf

6. SDG Priorities. Supporting countries to achieve the SDGs https://unece.org.sdg-priorities

7. United Nations Geneva, 2021 Guide on producing CPI under lockdown https://unece.org/statistics/publications/buide-producing-cpi-under-lockdown

8. Generic Law on Official Statistics https://unece.org/DAM/stats/publications/2016/ECECESSTAT20163_E.pdf

9. United Nations Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics https://unsd/dnss/hb/E- fundamentatl%principles_A4-WEB.pdg

10. Interim Unaudited Financial Reports - June - December 2017 - January - June 2018 - July – December 2018 - January – May 2019 - June - December 2020 - January – June 2021 - July – December 2021 - January – June 2022

11. Reports from Meetings and Workshops

- Group of Experts on Business Registers (2017; 2019; and 2022) - Group of Experts on Consumer Price Indices (2018; 2021; and 2023) - Consumer Price Indices webinars (2020) - Group of Experts on Migration Statistics (2020; 2021; and 2022) - Group of Experts on National Accounts (2018; 2020; 2021; 2022; and 2023) - Workshop on Migration Statistics (2019) - Workshop on Consumer Price Indices (2019) - Workshop on Financial Accounts (2022) - Workshop on Measuring Informal Economy (2021) - Workshop on Migration Statistics (2017; 2018) - Workshop on Supply and Use Tables for EECCA and SEE countries (2018) - Workshop on the Implementation 2008 SNA: Consistency between national accounts and balance of

payments (2017) 12. Meeting Evaluation Results

- Workshops of Migration Statistics (2017; 2018; and 2019)

43

- Meeting on Migration Statistics (2021) - Meetings of the Group of Experts on National Accounts & webinars (2020; 2021; 2022; and 2023) - Regional Workshop on Consumer Price Indices 2019 - Meetings of the Group of Experts on Consumer Price Indices (2018; 2021 and 2023) - Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers 2019

13. Semi-annual progress reports

- June – December 2017 - January – June 2018 - July – December 2018 - January – May 2019 - June – November 2019 - December 2019 – May 2020 - June 2020 – December 2020 - January 2021 – June 2021 - July 2021 – December 2021 - January 2022 – June 2022 - July – December 2022

14. Global Assessment of the National Statistical Systems of EECCA (beneficiary) countries, where available:

Armenia (2009), Azerbaijan (2017), Belarus (2020), Georgia (2019), Kazakhstan (2017), Kyrgyzstan (2011), Moldova (2013), Mongolia (2014), Tajikistan (2013), Turkmenistan (2014), Ukraine (2017), Uzbekistan (Joint review - 2018)